Jurnal Transportasi
Vol 12, No 1 (2012)

PERBANDINGAN MODEL ANDREASSEN DAN MODEL ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK UNTUK PREDIKSI FATALITAS KORBAN KECELAKAAN LALULINTAS

Agus, Supratman (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
15 Jul 2014

Abstract

In ASEAN, Indonesia has largest area and population, longest road infrastructure, and largest number of motor vehicles, but road victims’ fatality is low. This indicates under-reporting. Existing model of road victims’ fatality is Andreassen models which use population numbers and motor vehicles numbers asvariables to prediction numbers of fatality. This study aimed to obtaining the best predictive model of road victims’ fatality which suits Indonesia’s conditions. Three models were compared are Andreassen model, Artificial Neural Network with two variables (ANN2) and four variables (ANN4), with driving license holderand road length as two additional variables. Model validation was performed on three cities in West Java with different categories population densities. The results reveal that ANN4 is the best fatality prediction model. In addition, predictions of road victim numbers in Indonesia are not only influenced by populationand vehicles number, but also by driving license holder numbers and road length.Keywords: fatality, model comparison, Andreassen model, Artificial Neural Network model

Copyrights © 2012






Journal Info

Abbrev

journaltransportasi

Publisher

Subject

Transportation

Description

Jurnal Transportasi adalah jurnal ilmiah di bidang ilmu transportasi yang diterbitkan tiga kali setahun oleh Forum Studi Transportasi antar-Perguruan Tinggi (FSTPT). Makalah-makalah yang dimuat di jurnal ini merupakan makalah-makalah terbaik dari Simposium FSTPT yang diadakan setiap tahun. Selain ...