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KETIDAKPASTIAN KEBIJAKAN EKONOMI CHINA DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI INDONESIA Wilantari, Regina Niken; Oktaviana, Faradilla; Santoso, Edy; Yunitasari, Duwi
BISMA: Jurnal Bisnis dan Manajemen Vol 14 No 2 (2020)
Publisher : Jurusan Manajemen Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.19184/bisma.v14i2.17911

Abstract

Global economic policy uncertainty will influence economic stability among countries integrated into international trade. The trade war between America and China has affected the weakening of macroeconomic indicators in developing countries, one of which is Indonesia. The objective of this study is to examine the influence of China's economic policy uncertainty and macroeconomic indicators, i.e., inflation, investment, and Brent oil price, on Indonesia's economic growth. Research data were secondary time series data taken from the Q1 2009-Q4 2018 quarterly period. The method of analysis used is the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Results showed that in the long run, the uncertainty of China's economic policy and Brent oil price could negatively influence Indonesia's economic growth. On the other hand, inflation, in the long run, had a positive and significant influence on Indonesia's economic growth. Meanwhile, investment did not have a significant influence on Indonesia's economic growth. Keywords: economic growth, uncertainty of economic policy, Vector Error Correction Model
Analysis of United States Quantitative Easing Policy on Real Output in Indonesia Viphindrartin, Sebastiana; Yunitasari, Duwi; Wilantari, Regina Niken
Journal of Indonesian Applied Economics Vol 9, No 2 (2021)
Publisher : Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Brawijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21776/ub.JIAE.009.02.7

Abstract

This study discusses analysis of United States quantitative easing policy on real output in Indonesia. QE policy not only affects US economy but also influences the economic indicators of other countries, especially Indonesia countries with increasingly integrated market conditions. At present the Indonesia economy has been very open, so that policies originating from abroad can affect the country's economic conditions. The possibility of global spillover against non-conventional monetary policies such as QE. It is using the Vector Autoreggresion (VAR) methods to see the effect of QE policy. The data is time series for the 1999Q1-2016Q4. This study will analyze the impact of macroeconomic variables such as interest rates, money supply and inflation on GDP. The results of this study indicate that the implementation of the QE policy has an impact on the rate of GDP growth in each country of  Indonesia. 
Analisis Derajat Desentralisasi Fiskal dan Pengaruhnya Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Provinsi Jawa Timur Adellia Pratiwi; Duwi Yunitasari; Regina Niken Wilantari
Jurnal Humaniora : Jurnal Ilmu Sosial, Ekonomi dan Hukum Vol 5, No 2 (2021): Oktober 2021
Publisher : Center for Research and Community Service (LPPM) University of Abulyatama

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30601/humaniora.v5i2.1590

Abstract

Indonesia mengalami perubahan sistem pemerintahan dari sentralisasi menjadi otonomi. Pelaksanaan otonomi yang didukung desentralisasi fiskal memiliki tujuan agar daerah otonom mandiri dalam hal pengelolaan keuangan daerah termasuk meningkatkan PAD untuk membiayai kegiatan daerah. Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisa derajat desentralisasi fiskal serta melihat pengaruh dari derajat desentralisasi fiskal terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Provinsi Jawa Timur, khususnya pada kabupaten/kota di Koridor Utara Selatan. Penelitian ini menggunakan analisis derajat desentralisasi fiskal dan analisis regresi data panel dengan model fix effect. Hasil analisis derajat desentralisasi fiskal menunjukkan Provinsi Jawa Timur, khususnya kabupaten/kota yang berada di Koridor Utara Selatan rata-rata masih berada pada kategori kurang dengan rata-rata DDF kurang dari 20%. Sedangkan, hasil analisis regresi data panel menujukkan derajat desentralisasi fiskal berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi, belanja modal berpengaruh negatif dan tidak signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi, serta TPAK berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi.Kata kunci : Derajat Desentralisasi Fiskal, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Koridor Utara Selatan
Analisis Spesialisasi dan Konsentrasi Spasial Industri Manufaktur di Provinsi Jawa Timur Syamsul Maarif; Duwi Yunitasari; Regina Niken Wilantari
Ekonomikawan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan Vol 20, No 1 (2020)
Publisher : UNIVERSITAS MUHAMMADIYAH SUMATERA UTARA

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (270.647 KB) | DOI: 10.30596/ekonomikawan.v20i1.3759

Abstract

Industrial cluster is a phenomenon that is often found in the manufacturing industry so it is interesting to be analyzed and researched. The purpose of this study is to determine in what sub-sectors the manufacturing industry in East Java Province is specialized and where is the spatial concentration of the manufacturing industry in East Java Province. This study uses analysis tools, Krugman Specialization Index, Location Quotient (LQ), Herfindahl Index and Elisson-Glaeser Index. Based on the results of the analysis of the specialization of the regional krugman index that has specialization, namely, Tuban Regency and the City of Kediri. Based on the results of the Location Quotient (LQ) analysis, the manufacturing industry of East Java Province specializes in 11 subsectors. Based on the analysis of the Herfindahl Index, the manufacturing industry in East Java Province is spatially concentrated in several districts or cities, namely, Bojonegoro Regency, Gresik Regency, Kediri City, Surabaya City, Pasuruan Regency and Sidoarjo Regency and based on the Elisson Glaeser index the spatial concentration is supported by the role of natural advantage and knowledge spillover.
THE IMPLICATION OF BRAIN GAIN ON BRAIN DRAIN PHENOMENON IN OVERCOMING THE PROBLEM OF EDUCATED UNEMPLOYMENT IN INDONESIA Duwi Yunitasari; Khusnul Khotimah; Moehammad Fathorrazi
Sosiohumaniora Vol 23, No 1 (2021): Sosiohumaniora: Jurnal Ilmu-Ilmu Sosial dan Humaniora, MARCH 2021
Publisher : Universitas Padjadjaran

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24198/sosiohumaniora.v23i1.26749

Abstract

The high number of educated unemployment of university graduates is a significant problem in Indonesia. This study aims to find out the effect of brain drain, economic growth, and provincial minimum wage on educated unemployment of university graduates in Indonesia. In this study, we were implementing brain gain on brain drain in Indonesia. This study uses panel data regression that describes the relationship between independent variable and dependent variables. There are two models from the panel data regression method: the Chow test and Hausman Test. The regression model used is fixed-effect model. The data is secondary data collected from Statistical Central Agency (BPS) and National Agency for Placement and Protection of Indonesia Labour (BNP2TKI) in 2014-2018. The results show that brain drain and economic growth influence the educated unemployment of university graduates but the provincial minimum wage does not have a significant relationship with the educated unemployment of University graduates in Indonesia.
Analisis Input-Output Produksi Tebu di Provinsi Jawa Timur Duwi Yunitasari; Teguh Hadi Priyono
Buletin Tanaman Tembakau, Serat & Minyak Industri Vol.13 No. 1 (2021) April 2021
Publisher : Balai Penelitian Tanaman Pemanis dan Serat

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21082/btsm.v13n1.2021.36-47

Abstract

ABSTRAKTebu sebagai bahan baku industri gula merupakan salah satu komoditi perkebunan yang mempunyai peran strategis dalam perekonomian di Indonesia. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis kontribusi keterkaitan ke depan dan ke belakang komoditas tebu terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Jawa Timur, dan kontribusi dampak pengganda (multiplier effect) yang ditimbulkanya terhadap multiplier output dan pendapatan di Jawa Timur. Metode yang digunakan adalah perhitungan Tabel Input-Output dari data Badan Statistik Nasional tahun 2015. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa budi daya tebu sebagai input antara untuk industri gula yang bersifat hilir, keterkaitannya sangat tinggi. Keberadaan sektor tebu kurang kuat pengaruhnya dalam meningkatkan output pada sektor tebu dan sektor-sektor ekonomi secara keseluruhan.  Pengganda pendapatan usaha tani tebu adalah tipe I dan tipe II yang bermakna bahwa sektor tebu cukup besar dalam meningkatkan pendapatan dari usaha tani tebu dan sektor-sektor ekonomi secara keseluruhan.   ABSTRACTInput-Output Analysis of Sugarcane Production in East Java Sugar cane as a raw material for the sugar industry has a strategic role in the economy in Indonesia. This study aims to analyze the contribution of forward and backward linkages of sugarcane to economic growth in East Java, and the contribution of the multiplier effect on the multiplier output and income in East Java. The method used was the calculation of the Input-Output Table from the 2015 National Statistics Agency data. The results showed that sugarcane cultivation as an intermediate input for the downstream sugar industry, had a  very high relationship. The existence of the sugarcane sector was less powerful in increasing the output of the sugarcane sector and overall economic sectors. However, the income multipliers of sugarcane farming are type I and type II, which means that the sugarcane sector is quite large in increasing the income from sugarcane farming and the overall economic sectors.  
Analisis Potensi Tebu dalam Mendukung Pencapaian Swasembada Gula di Kabupaten Bondowoso Duwi Yunitasari; Endah Kurnia Lestari; Nanik Istiyani
Buletin Tanaman Tembakau, Serat & Minyak Industri Vol 10, No 1 (2018): April 2018
Publisher : Balai Penelitian Tanaman Pemanis dan Serat

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21082/btsm.v10n1.2018.13-20

Abstract

Impor gula mengalami peningkatan dari tahun ke tahun. Walaupun penelitian yang mendukung pencapaian swasembada gula telah banyak dilakukan, namun penelitian terkait analisis potensi suatu wilayah untuk pengembangan komoditas tebu belum banyak dilakukan.  Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis potensi tebu dalam mendukung pencapaian swasembada gula di Kabupaten Bondowoso.  Metode analisis yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah analisis kuantitatif dengan menggunakan pendekatan sistem dinamik untuk menghitung share tebu terhadap Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB) dan analisis Shift Share Esteban Marquillas untuk menghitung potensi/spesialisasi komoditas tebu di Kabupaten Bondowoso.  Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa Kabupaten Bondowoso selama kurun waktu 2010–2015 mempunyai keunggulan kompetitif dan spesialisasi pada komoditas tebu, sehingga Kabupaten Bondowoso mempunyai peluang untuk keberlanjutan komoditas tebu ke depan.  Strategi yang dapat dilakukan adalah membuka lahan-lahan perkebunan tebu baru di wilayah lain yang belum terdapat komoditas tebu seperti Kecamatan Binakal, Sempol, dan Pakem. Analysis of Sugar Cane Potential to Support the Achievement of SelfSufficiency of Sugar in Bondowoso DistrictSugar importation increases in the last decade. Several studies have been conducted to achieve self-sufficiency in sugar, but few studies have looked at whether a region/area has an excellence potenty for further sugarcane development.  This study aims to analyze the sugarcane potency in supporting achievement of sugar self-sufficiency in Bondowoso District. The analysis method used in this research is quantitative analysis using dynamic system approach to calculate sugarcane share to Gross Regional Domestic Product, and Shift Share Esteban Marquillas analysis to calculate potency/specialty of sugar cane commodity in Bondowoso regency.  The analysis showed that Bondowoso district during 2010-2015 has competitive advantage and specialization in sugarcane, so that Bondowoso district has an opportunity for sustainable sugarcane development in the future.  Strategies that can be done is to open new sugarcane plantations fields in other regions that have no sugarcane plantation such as in Binakal, Sempol, and Pakem sub-district.
Perencanaan Pengembangan Kawasan Perdesaan Berbasis Potensi di Bagian Selatan Provinsi Jawa Timur (Studi: Kabupaten Banyuwangi) Herman Cahyo Diartho; Endah Kurnia Lestari; Duwi Yunitasari; Agus Lutfi; Fivien Muslihatinningsih
MediaTrend Vol 15, No 1 (2020): MARET
Publisher : Trunojoyo University of Madura

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21107/mediatrend.v15i1.6524

Abstract

Rural development becomes important as an effort to minimize disparitiesbetween regions. The purpose of this study is to analyze the economic potentialin rural areas and design policies in Banyuwangi Regency, especially in thesouthern part. The method used to analyze data is Location Quotient (LQ)analysis. Sampling data taken in 10 districts in Banyuwangi Regency. TheBanyuwangi Regency was chosen because it was included in the largest foodgranary in East Java. The analysis shows that each sub-district has a superiorsector each, namely certain commodities that have a competitive advantagecompared to other districts.
Analisis Pusat Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Pada Tingkat Kecamatan di Kabupaten Asahan Sumatera Utara Herman Cahyo D; Leni Kunia Optari; Duwi Yunitasari Duwi Yunitasari
MediaTrend Vol 16, No 2 (2021): OKTOBER
Publisher : Trunojoyo University of Madura

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21107/mediatrend.v16i2.5459

Abstract

One of the regional development strategies that became the focus of this research was the determination of the growth center. This study aims to find out the areas that are the growth in Asahan Regency and the highest relationship between spatial interactions between the growth centers and the hinterland. This analysisi tool used area scalogram, centrality index, and gravity index.. The results showed that the area that had a hierarchy with a high upward categorization as the center of growth was Kecamatan Kisaran Barat. Kisaran Barat as the growth center with the hinterland region which has the highest interaction value is the Kisaran Timur District, Air Joman District, and Pulo Bandring District.
Analisis Valuasi Ekonomi Berdasarkan Perhitungan Total Economic Value Ekosistem Mangrove Di Desa Banyuurip Kabupaten Gresik Duwi Yunitasari; Zainuri zainuri; khiyatul masfufah
MediaTrend Vol 15, No 2 (2020): OKTOBER
Publisher : Trunojoyo University of Madura

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21107/mediatrend.v15i2.5415

Abstract

Mangrove is one of ecosystem that has potentials diversity, such as protecting shorelines and supporting fisheries in coastal areas. This study aims to determine the total economic value of mangrove forest in Banyuurip Village, Gresik Regency by using the concept of calculating economic valuation and strategy for developing mangrove ecotourism by using SWOT analysis. The total economic value was obtained from primary data by doing interview through questionnaires, and the secondary data was obtained from Banyuurip Village office. Based on the calculation of the total economic value of mangrove forest in Banyuurip Village, the result was Rp 16.059.675.381. This total economic value can be used as a reference and basis of comparison for the community and the government to determine the policy, management and utilization of existing mangrove. Furthermore, for the development of mangrove ecotourism in Banyuurip Village by using SWOT analysis.