Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 2 Documents
Search

Future Spot Rate: The Implications in Indonesia R Adisetiawan; Pantun Bukit; Ahmadi Ahmadi
Jurnal Ilmiah Universitas Batanghari Jambi Vol 20, No 1 (2020): Februari
Publisher : Universitas Batanghari Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (994.821 KB) | DOI: 10.33087/jiubj.v20i1.874

Abstract

Investors, multinational companies and governments require a rate forecasting to make informed decisions about the hedging of debts and receivables, funding and short-term investments, capital budgeting and long-term financing. The process of making forecasting from market indicators, known as market-based forecasting, is usually developed based on spot rates and forward rates. The current spot rate can be used as forecasting, as the exchange rate reflects the market estimate of the spot rate in a short period of time. The forward rate is used in forecasting, as the exchange rate reflects the market estimate of the spot rate at the end of the forecasting period. Based on the research conducted by Chiang (1986) of the samples used, empirical evidence indicates spot rates and forward rates are significant as predictors of future spots. Empirical evidence suggests that spot rates provide better forecasting results compared to forward rates. The research uses regression models for market-based forecasting methods. The variables used in this study are spot rates, forward rates and future spots. The samples used are from Bank Indonesia for spot rates in January – March 2019 and future spot in April – June 2019, and from Jakarta Futures exchange for forward rates in January – March 2019. The Stochastic and Chow Test models are selected and their use has been evaluated using quality and precise testing measures. Based on the sample period used, empirical evidence suggests that spot rates and forward rates are significant in predicting future spots for EUR, JPY and AUD currencies. Current spot rates provide better forecasting results in predicting Future spot compared to the forward rate. Both the 15Ft">  and 15St">  coefficient are sensitive to new information from the variation of the coefficient and time, it can increase the forecasting of the equation to each currency exchange rate used. The study states that variables from time series should be effectively utilized and utilized in predicting currency exchange rates, as this research demonstrates the absence of dependence on time series Can be concluded that foreign exchange rates in each country follow a pattern that is not stationary. The spot Euro exchange rate turns out to be statistically more accurate with an error rate of 0.004144% forecasting with the value of regression coefficient of Euro exchange rate is a Future Spot = 21.504,88 – 0.341229Spot + 15et+1"> .
Model Analisis Pengaruh Aktiva dan Hutang Terhadap Kinerja Keuangan Dengan Laba sebagai Variabel Moderasi pada Perusahaan Sub Sektor Food And Baverages di Bursa Efek Indonesia Periode 2016-2020 Yunan Surono; Ali Akbar; R Adisetiawan
Jurnal Ilmiah Universitas Batanghari Jambi Vol 22, No 2 (2022): Juli
Publisher : Universitas Batanghari Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33087/jiubj.v22i2.2468

Abstract

Financial performance is an analysis conducted to see the extent to which a company has implemented by using financial implementation rules properly and correctly. This study aims to explore and prove the effect of asset and debt variables on the company's financial performance with the profit variable as a factor that strengthens or weakens the relationship between these variables. The independent variables in this study are assets and debt as independent variables with financial performance as the dependent variable and profit as a moderating variable. The performance of listed companies in the food and beverage sub-sector which has a large and significant difference and fluctuated during the study period. This research uses SEM (Structural Equation Modeling) analysis based on component or variance, namely Partial Least Square (PLS). The results of the study show 1) The asset variable has no effect on the financial performance variable in the food and beverage sub-sector companies on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period 2016 - 2020. 2) The debt variable has no effect on the financial performance variable. 3) The profit variable is able to moderate the relationship between the asset variable and the financial performance variable and has a positive direction (strengthening) its influence on financial performance. This moderating variable can be classified into predictor moderation where the profit variable has an effect on the financial performance variable, while the moderating effect 1 has no effect on the financial performance variable. 4) The profit variable is able to moderate the relationship between the debt variable and the financial performance variable and has a positive direction (strengthening) its influence on financial performance. This moderating variable can be classified into predictor moderation where the profit variable has an effect on the financial performance variable, while the moderation effect 2 has no effect on the financial performance variable.