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All Journal Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Ekonomi dan Keuangan Jurnal Ekonomi
Wahyu Ario Pratomo
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Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

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Analisis Kinerja Keuangan Kabupaten/Kota Pemekaran di Sumatera Utara Paidi Hidayat; Wahyu Ario Pratomo; D. Agus Harjito
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 12 Issue 3, 2007
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/vol12iss3aa377

Abstract

This research attempts to analyze the implementation of regional autonomy to the financial performance in newly-formed district government of North Sumatra. It focuses on the performance of original regional income after fiscal decentralization and the regional financial independency. The result shows that regional autonomy has a positive impact on the growth of original regional income. However, the share of those incomes to regional budget is still small. The newly-formed districts in North Sumatra are unready to face the regional autonomy policy. Most of the newly-formed regencies/municipalities are very dependent to balanced fund through General Allocation Fund and Special Allocation Fund.Keywords: regional autonomy, original regional income, fiscal decentralization.
An Econometric Analysis on Selected Socioeconomic Indicators: Evidence from State of Malacca, Malaysia Rosilawati Amiruddin; Ismadi Ismail; D., Agus Harjito; Wahyu Ario Pratomo
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 12 Issue 1, 2007
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.v12i1.514

Abstract

In attaining a sustainable economic growth, the government or the relevant au-thorities must not disregard social life of the society. Economic development must coincide with the social development of the society. This study will endeavor to investigate the socio-economic level of household in the state of Malacca by gathering information on 334 house-holds located in the District of Alor Gajah. The main objective of this study is to view the socioeconomic level for selected indicators such as income, education and health. The method of this study is by the issuance of questionnaires which conform to the needs of this study. The methodology employed in analyzing the data obtained is through descriptive analysis and econometric techniques especially in examining the relationship between social and economic variables.The result of the study shows that the Malay households control the income in the district and have a higher educational level compared to other ethnics relatively. The cost of education for household depends on the income level, the members in the household which are still studying and the ethnicity. The district’s households still prefer to obtain health ser-vices provided by the government and the degree of dependency decreased accordingly with an increase in income. Although, this study is limited to only few socioeconomic indicators, it still can be considered as an initial step for further studies to be made on socio economy in the state of Malacca.Keywords: socioeconomics, household, econometric analysis.
The Effect of Macroeconomic Fundamentals in Financial Liberalization to the Stability of Indonesia’s Exchange Rate Wahyu Ario Pratomo; D. Agus Harjito; Ahmad Yani Hazir
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Vol. 10 No. 2 (2005)
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.v10i2.597

Abstract

Paper ini mengkaji hubungan antara nilai tukar dengan fundamental makroeko¬nomi Indonesia dari tahun 1997 sampai 2004. Kajian ini menerangkan faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi nilai tukar rupiah terhadap US dollar, baik dalam jangka pendek maupun jangka panjang dengan menggunakan teori kointegrasi. Untuk melihat kestabilan nilai tukar rupiah sebelum dan sesudah krisis ekonomi digunakan Uji Chow. Objektif lain dari kajian ini adalah ingin membuktikan apakah terjadi lonjakan yang tajam (overshoot) terhadap rupiah ketika krisis berlangsung. Hasil kajian menunjukkan bahwa rupiah memang melonjak tajam akibat adanya peningkatan penawaran uang dan inflasi. Hasil juga menunjukkan ter¬jadi hubungan kointegrasi antara nilai tukar dan fundamental makroekonomi serta terjadi perubahan struktural setelah tahun 1998.Keywords: exchange rate; stability; overshooting
ANALISIS PEMANFAATAN DANA PENSIUN TERHADAP PEMENUHAN KEBUTUHAN HIDUP PNS PENSIUNAN GURU KOTA MEDAN Muhammad Fahmi Tanjung; Wahyu Ario Pratomo
Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 1, No 4 (2013)
Publisher : Departemen Ekonomi Pembangunan USU

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (460.862 KB)

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the use of pension funds for the substistence like needs for food, clothing, housing, health needs and their families and family needs. In this study, the data used are primary data by giving questionnaires to 50 respondents retired teacher in Medan. Respondents' answers will be used to answer whether pension funds can fulfill the needs life of PNS retired teacher in Medan. The analysis used is descriptive qualitative analysis. Data analysis techniques using data tabulation of frequency distribution and percentage. The results showed that pensioners living needs during retirement fulfilled. From the results of this research is the income received from pension funds are not sufficient to subsistence. Pensioners get extra income from children and other businesses. From the results of this research is that more pensioners choose to receive a pension funds once the whole than the receiving each month. Keywords: Retirement, basic needs, health needs, the family unit
EFEKTIVITAS PENGGUNAAN ARIMA DAN VAR DALAM MEMPROYEKSI PERMINTAAN KREDIT DI INDONESIA Syarifuddin Syarifuddin; Wahyu Ario Pratomo
Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 1, No 6 (2013)
Publisher : Departemen Ekonomi Pembangunan USU

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (544.657 KB)

Abstract

This research was carried out by using ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrate Moving Avarage ) with VAR method (Vector Autoregressive) to see which one more effective in forecasting. From the results of the study may indicate that the ARIMA method is more effective than VARmethod in predicting demand for credit in Indonesia . ARIMA ( 1,1,0 ) is the best model for forecasting the level of the average forecasting error is quite low with a value of 8.70 (RMSE) compared with VAR models . Additionally VAR models using multiple stages to performforecasting models such as VAR , Impulse Response , Variance Decomposition to be done to project the demand for credit . From the research that has been done quantitatively that the ARIMA method is more effective and efficient in making predictions , the stage or the method used is quite simple with accurate results with relatively low error rates with 8.70 (RMSE) . While the VAR method for forecasting the need to use multiple stages in predicting demand for credit , but no measure of the level of error in the method of the VAR model is best for forecasting the ARIMA model .Keywords : Credit, Credit Demand, Forecasting
ANALISIS PENGARUH INDEKS HARGA SAHAM DI BURSA GLOBAL TERHADAP INDEKS HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN DI BEI Ruth Christa; Wahyu Ario Pratomo
Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 1, No 8 (2013)
Publisher : Departemen Ekonomi Pembangunan USU

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (612.721 KB)

Abstract

This research aims to analyze the effect of the global stock price index against IDX Composite Index as well as to determine the proportion of the global stock price index influence either simultaneously or partially. The global stock price index that is used consists of five indices, namely the Dow Jones Industrial Average (USA), FTSE 100 (UK), Nikkei 225 (Japan), Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite (China), and the Hang Seng Index (Hong Kong). The data used are secondary data, which include the fluctuation of Composite Stock Price Index at BEI and the global stock price index for 48 months ( January 2008-December 2011). The analysis model used in this research is Path Analysis. Based on this research during the period January 2008-December 2011 the global stock price index has a significant simultaneous effect on IDX Composite Stock Price Index. Partially out of five global stock price index that is used there are three that have a significant influence, namely Dow Jones Industrial Average (49.7143%), Nikkei 225 (0.9308%) and Hang Seng (38.2936%).Keywords: Dow Jones Industrial Average Index, FTSE 100 Index, Nikkei 225 Index, Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index, Hang Seng Index, and IDX Composite Stock Price Index.
ANALISIS PERAMALAN HARGA SAHAM DALAM KEPUTUSAN INVESTASI PADA PERUSAHAAN PERKEBUNAN DI PT BURSA EFEK INDONESIA Fauziah Fauziah; Wahyu Ario Pratomo
Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 2, No 1 (2014)
Publisher : Departemen Ekonomi Pembangunan USU

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (439.289 KB)

Abstract

This study aims to perform the movement Projected of emiten stocks AALI, GZCO, JAVA, LSIP, SGRO, SIMP, SMAR, TBLA, and UNSP and Provides an overview to the investor in making an investment decision on the plantation company in Indonesia Stock Exchange.The data used in this study is a secondary data taken from the Indonesia Stock Exchange which consists of the go public Plantation stocks data from 20 September 2011 to 20 August 2013. The method used is the method of ARIMA with Minitab 16.The results of this study can be concluded that the movement of the stock price forecasting for plantations in Indonesia Stock Exchange is general tend to decrease. technically, it is to take the advantage of short- term momentum , buy on weakness for AALI and JAVA ascending trend, whereas for stock GZCO, LSIP, SGRO, SIMP, SMAR, TBLA, and UNSP the declining trend can take steps to sell. The decline in stock prices caused by lower demand for palm oil due to the global economic crisis.
ANALISA PERMINTAAN AIR MINUM ISI ULANG REVERSE OSMOSIS (RO) DI KOTA MEDAN Ragyl Arieyanto; Wahyu Ario Pratomo
Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 2, No 1 (2014)
Publisher : Departemen Ekonomi Pembangunan USU

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (290.458 KB)

Abstract

This study aims to determine the that influence consumer demand to buy refill drinking water RO types based on price , quality, place / location, and promosi.Untuk determine the most dominant factor affecting the consumer demand to buy RO water refill in the city of Belawan.The data war obtained from a sample of 50 customers buyers RO water refill. Tests using five indicators of factors of production, factor price, location , promotion sales and purchase interest. The research method used is descriptive analysis, statistical analysis and statistical analysis of F test The F in F table is 2.706> 2.61. At α = 5%Based on the results the, regression test results obtained by the value of the product is positive at 0.382, the value is positive rates of 0.206, where the value is positive at 0.356 and is positive promotional value of 0.056, which means that the most dominant factor in influencing consumer purchasing water content RO water is particularly re-factor of the product. So as to increase sales entrepreneurs drinking water should always keep that produced water production and also promotion again.Keywords: Factors of production, price, and production
DETERMINANTS OF POVERTY LEVELS IN MEDAN CITY IN 1998-2021: ERROR CORRECTION MODEL APPROACH Ramadhan Devan Pratama; Adithiya Rahman Atmaja; Sirojuzilam Hasyim; Irsad; Muhammad Syafii; Wahyu Ario Pratomo; Tetty Yuliaty
Jurnal Ekonomi Vol. 11 No. 03 (2022): Jurnal Ekonomi, 2022 Periode Desember
Publisher : SEAN Institute

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Abstract

This research examines the connection between economic growth, education level, government expenditure, and open unemployment in Medan City. This research utilized annual time series data for Medan from 1998 to 2021. This research analysis method employs ECM (Error Correction Model) to comprehend the impact of long-term and short-term predictions processed by Eviews 9 software. According to the research findings, long-term and short-term projections of economic growth, education level, and accessible unemployment have a significant negative impact on poverty levels in the city of Medan. On the other hand, long-term and short-term government spending positively impact the poverty level in Medan City, although the effect is not significant. Based on the result of this research, the Medan City Government should enhance its oversight of the government's budget allocation in the context of reducing poverty in the city of Medan. In addition, the Medan City Government should concentrate its efforts on providing employment opportunities and utilizing competency-based certification and training to decrease unemployment, thereby contributing to reducing poverty in Medan City.
Co-Authors Adithiya Rahman Atmaja Ahmad Yani Hazir D. Agus Harjito Arif Singapurwoko Fauziah Fauziah Irsad Ismadi Ismail Luh Putu Ratna Sundari Muhammad Fahmi Tanjung Muhammad Syafii Paidi Hidayat Ragyl Arieyanto Ramadhan Devan Pratama Rosilawati Amiruddin Ruth Christa Sirojuzilam Hasyim Tetty Yuliaty