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Rosihan Asmara
Faculty of Agriculture, Brawijaya University

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PRODUCTION, CONSUMPTION AND PRICE (IMPORTS, PRODUCERS AND CONSUMER) VOLATILITY OF SHALLOT IN PROBOLINGGO REGENCY Susanti Evie Sulistiowati; Ratya Anindita; Rosihan Asmara
Agricultural Socio-Economics Journal Vol 21, No 3 (2021): JULY
Publisher : Socio-Economics/Agribusiness Department

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21776/ub.agrise.2021.021.3.8

Abstract

Changes in production, consumption, and import variables cause the price of shallots to fluctuate. A high and unpredictable price fluctuation increasing the volatility problem. This phenomenon gives results in risk, uncertainty and leading to a decline in the welfare of producers and consumers. Based on the description of the problems above, it is important to analyze price, production, import, and consumption volatility to determined the level of risk and uncertainty faced by producers and consumers. This study uses monthly secondary data (time series) on production, price, imports, and consumption of shallots in Probolinggo Regency, for seven years (2013-2019). The ARCH/GARCH method is used to analyze the volatility of prices, production and consumption. The results from the analysis are the production variable has a low level of volatility, the consumption and import prices have high-level volatility, producer price has low-level volatility, while consumer prices has-high level volatility. From the results means that the risks and uncertainties faced by producers in conducting shallot cultivation are low. While for the consumer means the risks and uncertainties in consuming shallots are high.
Indonesian Frozen and Processed Crab Export Performance and Competitiveness Analysis Uswatun Khasanah; Wen-Chi Huang; Rosihan Asmara
Agricultural Socio-Economics Journal Vol 19, No 3 (2019): AUGUST
Publisher : Socio-Economics/Agribusiness Department

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21776/ub.agrise.2019.019.3.5

Abstract

This paper aimed to analyze the performance and competitiveness of Indonesian crabs in the international market by comparing it with other major crab export countries (China, Philippines, Vietnam and Korea). Two crab products were included in the study, namely processed crabs in cans (HS 160510) and frozen crabs (HS 030614). The Trade Balance Index (TBI), Normalized Revealed Comparative Advantage (NRCA), and the Comparative Export Index (CEP) were used by analyzing data from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), Ministry of Maritime Affairs and Fisheries (KKP) in Indonesia as well as from UN COMTRADE, and Trade Map. The results based on TBIĀ that the processed crabs were at the maturity stage, while the frozen crabs were at the growth stage. Only processed crab products had CEP values above 1, which means Indonesia is specialized and more competitive in processed crab products.