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Estimasi model neraca perdagangan Indonesia dalam periode 1998-2017 Liza Azizah; Syamsurijal Tan; Emilia Emilia
e-Journal Perdagangan Industri dan Moneter Vol. 7 No. 3 (2019): E-Journal Perdagangan Industri dan Moneter
Publisher : Prodi Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22437/pim.v7i3.7206

Abstract

This study aims to analyze Indonesia's trade balance dynamics and the factors that influence fluctuations in Indonesia's trade balance in the period 1998-2017. The method used in this study is a quantitative descriptive method. The data used in this study is time-series data on Indonesia's trade balance, exchange rate, GDP, inflation, and interest rates from 1998-2017. The data is processed through multiple regression analysis and development model analysis. The results showed that the variables of the exchange rate, GDP, inflation, and interest rates simultaneously significantly affected Indonesia's trade balance. Partially, the exchange rate, GDP, and interest rates have a significant effect on Indonesia's trade balance. In contrast, inflation does not substantially impact Indonesia's trade balance during the study period. R-square is 0.6882 or 68.82%, which means that Indonesia's trade balance for 1998-2017 is influenced by exchange rates, GDP, inflation, and interest rates, while other factors outside the estimation model influence the remaining 31.18%. Keywords: Trade balance, Exchange rate, GDP, Inflation, Interest rates.
Pengaruh investasi dan tenaga kerja terhadap PDRB sektor pertambangan di Kabupaten Bungo Habibullah Habibullah; Syamsurijal Tan; Dearmi Artis
e-Journal Perdagangan Industri dan Moneter Vol. 6 No. 3 (2018): E-Journal Perdagangan Industri dan Moneter
Publisher : Prodi Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22437/pim.v6i3.8971

Abstract

This study aims to determine the development and contribution of investment, labor, and GRDP in the mining sector of Bungo Regency and the effect of investment and work on the GRDP of the mining sector in Bungo Regency. The analytical method used is multiple linear regression with Ordinary Least Square (OLS). The results of this study indicate that, during the period 2008-2017, investment, labor, and GRDP of the mining sector in Bungo Regency experienced fluctuating developments, with an average GRDP of the mining sector 12.7 percent, investment of 29.8 percent per year, and 2,6 percent of the workforce. The investment contribution to the mining sector has an average annual rate of 45.2 percent. The regression results show that the independent variables simultaneously affect investment and labor on the dependent variable. Meanwhile, partially the workforce impacts GRDP while acquisition does not occur during the period 2008-2017. Keywords : Investment, Labor, GDP mining sector
Estimasi permintaan indeks harga saham gabungan di Indonesia Ade Nugraha Paer; Syamsurijal Tan; Emilia Emilia
e-Journal Perdagangan Industri dan Moneter Vol. 8 No. 2 (2020): E-Journal Perdagangan Industri dan Moneter
Publisher : Prodi Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22437/pim.v8i2.13101

Abstract

The purpose of this study is (a) to see the development of the composite stock price index, exchange rate, inflation, interest rates, and the money supply in Indonesia. (b) analyze the effect of the exchange rate, inflation, interest rate, and money supply on the composite stock price index in Indonesia. The method used in this study is a quantitative descriptive method with multiple linear regression analysis tools using the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. The data used is in the form of a time series. The results of this study average the development of the composite stock price index by 0.22 percent, the exchange rate by 2.57 percent, inflation by -0.90 percent, interest rates by -2.73 percent, and the Money Supply by 0.06 percent. Based on the results of the analysis conducted, exchange rates and interest rates have a negative and significant effect on the composite stock price index, inflation and the money supply have a positive and significant effect on the composite stock price index. Keywords: Composite stock price index, Exchange rate, Inflation, Interest rates, Money supply.
Analisis ekspor minyak nabati Indonesia dan faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhinya Muhammad Apriade; Syamsurijal Tan; Rahma Nurjanah
e-Journal Perdagangan Industri dan Moneter Vol. 6 No. 3 (2018): E-Journal Perdagangan Industri dan Moneter
Publisher : Prodi Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22437/pim.v6i3.13704

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the development of the value, rate, inflation of international prices and Indonesian vegetable oil exports and the effect of weight, inflation, and global prices on Indonesian vegetable oil exports. The data analysis method used is descriptive and quantitative methods. The data analysis tool used is the OLS (Ordinary Least Square) method. Include data for the years 2000-2018. The data analysis technique is multiple linear regression, hypothesis testing using F-test, and simultaneously using t-test. Based on the simultaneous research results, inflation and international prices significantly affect Indonesia's vegetable oil exports. Keywords: Vegetable oil export value, Exchange rate, Inflation, Global prices
Analisis sektor unggulan di Kabupaten Kerinci Gufron Sulman; Syamsurijal Tan; Zamzami Zamzami
e-Jurnal Perspektif Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Daerah Vol. 6 No. 2 (2017): e-Jurnal Perspektif Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Daerah
Publisher : Konsentrasi Pembangunan Regional dan Publik, Prodi Ekonomi Pembangunan, Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (612.459 KB)

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the leading sectors in the economy in Kerinci Regency. The data used are secondary in the period 2011-2016, which was sourced from the Central Bureau of Statistics of Jambi Province and Kerinci Regency. The analysis tool uses Location Quotient analysis and Shift Share analysis. The results of the study found that the leading sectors in Kerinci Regency were the agriculture, forestry and fisheries sector, the water supply sector, waste management and recycling, the real estate sector, the health services and social activities sector
Analisis sektor unggulan perekonomian Provinsi Jambi Bambang Novriansyah; Syamsurijal Tan; Rosmeli Rosmeli
e-Jurnal Perspektif Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Daerah Vol. 11 No. 1 (2022): e-Jurnal Perspektif Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Daerah
Publisher : Konsentrasi Pembangunan Regional dan Publik, Prodi Ekonomi Pembangunan, Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22437/pdpd.v11i1.16251

Abstract

This study identifies the leading sectors in the regional economy of Jambi Province and the share and growth of these top sectors. This study uses secondary data in monographs from the Central Statistics Agency of Jambi Province. The analytical method used is Location Quotient (LQ) and Klassen Typology analysis and use quantitative analysis. Based on the results of the research shows that the leading sectors in Jambi Province are the Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries sectors, Government Administration, Defense, and Social Security sectors, Construction sector, Real Estate sector, Educational Services sector, Wholesale and Retail Trade sector, Car and Motorcycle Repair, Sector Information and Communication, Health and Insurance Services sector, and Other Services sector. Meanwhile, the fast growth and significant contribution share is the Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries sector and the Food and Drink Accommodation Provision sector.
Analisis cadangan devisa Indonesia dan faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhinya Pundy Sayoga; Syamsurijal Tan
Jurnal Paradigma Ekonomika Vol. 12 No. 1 (2017): Jurnal Paradigma Ekonomika
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (627.483 KB) | DOI: 10.22437/paradigma.v12i1.3931

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This study aims to analyze the factors that influence Indonesian coffee exports. The data in this study is time series data, which were obtained from various government agencies. The Error Correction Model (ECM) method is used to analyze the effect of coffee prices, GDP and the exchange rate on the volume of Indonesian coffee exports. The estimation results find that coffee prices, Indonesian GDP and exchange rates have a short-term relationship and a long-term balance of the volume of coffee exports. Based on the long-term estimation of the coffee price variable, GDP and exchange rates do not significantly affect the volume of coffee exports, while in the short term these three variables influence the volume of coffee exports.
Strategi peningkatan pendapatan petani padi di Kecamatan Gunung Tujuh Kabupaten Kerinci Utari Seplida; Syamsurijal Tan; Yulmardi Yulmardi
Jurnal Paradigma Ekonomika Vol. 15 No. 2 (2020): Jurnal Paradigma Ekonomika
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22437/paradigma.v15i2.10324

Abstract

This study aims to: (1) determine the socio-economic characteristics of rice farmers in Gunung Tujuh District, Kerinci Regency (2) to determine what factors affect the income of rice farmers in Gunung Tujuh Subdistrict, Kerinci Regency (3) to determine strategies for increasing income rice farmers in Gunung Tujuh District, Kerinci Regency. The quantitative analysis used in this research is regression analysis. Based on the results of multiple regressions, working capital variables, land area, and total production have positive and significant coefficients on farmers' income, where the amount of production variable is the variable that has the greatest influence on the income of rice farmers in Gunung Tujuh District, Kerinci Regency. The results of this study in the form of a strategy to increase rice farmers' income based on internal and external results showed that the main strategy is the strategic focus that must be done, namely optimizing weaknesses and overcoming various threats by reducing land conversion by providing capital, reactivating Gapoktan, optimizing fertilizer use, overcoming the problem of increasing input prices to increase cooperation between extension workers and Gapoktan in Gunung Tujuh District, Kerinci Regency.
Analisis tingkat inflasi di Indonesia Tahun 1998-2020 (pendekatan error correction model) Bayu Martanto; Syamsurijal Tan; M. Syurya Hidayat
Jurnal Paradigma Ekonomika Vol. 16 No. 3 (2021): Jurnal Paradigma Ekonomika
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22437/jpe.v16i3.14360

Abstract

Inflation is a macroeconomic problem that is of concern to many parties because unstable inflation has a negative impact on people's welfare. This study aims to estimate the factors that influence inflation in Indonesia for the period 1998 - 2020. The research method uses descriptive analysis by providing an overview of inflation, interest rates, exchange rates, household consumption, and GDP in Indonesia during 1998-2020. Quantitative analysis using Error Correction Model (ECM). This study uses secondary data from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and Bank Indonesia (BI). The results obtained indicate that all variables (interest rates, exchange rates, household consumption, and GDP) simultaneously have a significant effect on inflation, both in the long and short term. Based on the partial test results, the interest rate variable has a positive and significant impact on inflation in Indonesia both in the long and short time. The exchange rate variable partially has a negative and significant effect on inflation in Indonesia, both in the long and short term. Furthermore, the GDP variable partially has a positive and significant impact on inflation in a long time but is not substantial in the short term. Meanwhile, the household consumption variable partially has no significant effect on inflation in Indonesia during the 1998-2020 period.  
PENGARUH PARTISIPASI ANGGARAN DAN MOTIVASI TERHADAP KESENJANGAN ANGGARAN DENGAN GOOD GOVERNANCE SEBAGAI VARIABEL PEMODERASI PADA KEPALA SKPD PROVINSI JAMBI Mohammad Orinaldi; Syamsurijal Tan; Wirmie Eka Putra
Jurnal Akuntansi & Keuangan Unja Vol. 2 No. 3 (2017): Jurnal Akuntansi & Keuangan Unja
Publisher : Magister Ilmu Akuntansi Universitas Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (777.561 KB) | DOI: 10.22437/jaku.v2i3.4696

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menguji pengaruh partisipasi anggaran dan motivasi terhadap kesenjangan anggaran dan pengaruh partisipan anggaran dan motivasi terhadap kesenjangan anggaran yang dimoderasi oleh good governance. Objek dalam penelitian ini adalah 39 Kepala Satuan Kerja Pemerintah Daerah Provinsi Jambi. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA) untuk menguji pengaruh variabel independen terhadap variabel dependen yang dimoderasi oleh variabel pemoderasi. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa partisipasi anggaran dan motivasi terbukti berpengaruh terhadap kesenjangan anggaran, sedangkan good governance tidak terbukti memoderasi pengaruh antara partisipasi anggaran dan motivasi terhadap kesenjangan anggaran. Kata Kunci: Partisipasi Anggaran, Motivasi, Kesenjangan Anggaran, Good Governance