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Determination Of The Same Leading Sectors In Blitar City Satrianto, Alpon; Sasongko, Budi
JEJAK: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Vol 12, No 2 (2019): September 2019
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/jejak.v12i2.22616

The purpose of this study was to determine the same leading sector based on the Klassen Typology method, Location Quotient, Shift-Share, Growth Ratio Models and Overlay. This study was based on the fact that most of previous studies only determined the leading sectors based on one method only and none of them determined which sectors categorized similar. Therefore, it is important to determine superior sectors from several methods and which sectors must be prioritized in the development. The data of this study were derived from the average GRDP of Blitar City on the basis of constant prices in 2010 according to business fields from 2011-2017. The results of this study conclude that the same leading sectors based on these 5 methods in Blitar City are 1) Large and Retail Trade; Car and Motorcycle Repair, 2) Information and Communication, and 3) Financial and Insurance Services. Therefore, the Blitar City government must continue to develop these sectors by increasing investment and ease of licensing so that the sectors can continue to increase its contribution to the economy of Blitar City.

PROSPEK KONSUMSI DAN IMPOR KEDELAI DI INDONESIA TAHUN 2015 - 2020 Aimon, Hasdi; Satrianto, Alpon
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 3, No 05 (2014): Kajian Ilmu EKonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (229.808 KB)

This study aims to analyze the influence of soybean import, per capita income, and soybean price to soybean consumption and to analyze prospect of soybean consumption in Indonesia from 2015 - 2020. Furthermore, the aim is also to analyze the influence of soybean consumption, per capita income and real exchange rate to soybean import and the prospect of soybean import in Indonesia from 2015 - 2020. The data used is from the time series 1983 until 2012. The analysis model in this study uses Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and Forecasting Vektor Autoregression (VAR). The result shows with OLS at soybean consumption equation that soybean import, per capita income, and soybean price significantly effects on the soybean consumption in Indonesia and itâ€™s prospect with forecasting VAR shows that soybean consumption always increasing from 2015 - 2020. Moreover, soybean consumption, per capita income, and the real exchange rate significantly effect on soybean import in Indonesia and itâ€™s prospect with forecasting VAR shows that soybean import always increasing from 2015 - 2020. The Soybean import values larger than soybean consumption values from 2018 - 2020. Accordingly, the recommends to the Indonesian government to reduce soybean imports by increasing soybean production by establishing local soybean prices, so that soybean farmers feel advantaged. Key Word: soybean consumption, soybean import, and soybean price.

ANALISIS DETERMINAN DEFISIT ANGGARAN DAN UTANG LUAR NEGERI DI INDONESIA Satrianto, Alpon
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 4, No 7 (2015): JuRNAL KAJIAN EKONOMI
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (285.304 KB)

This study aims to determine (1) the effect of foreign debt, economic growth, exchange rates, oil prices, inflation and interest rates to the budget deficit in Indonesia. (2) the effect of the budget deficit, net exports, foreign exchange reserves, FDI, and savings investment gap on foreign debt in Indonesia. While this type of data is data documentary, the data source is a secondary data as well as data in the form of time series of the first quarter of 2000 - the fourth quarter of 2014. This study uses a simultaneous equation model analysis tool with Indirect Two Stage Squared method (TSLS). Endogenous variables in the study is the budget deficit and foreign debt. Whereas exogenous variables are economic growth, exchange rates, oil prices, inflation, interest rates, net exports, FDI, investment and savings gap and foreign interest rates. The study concluded that (1) foreign debt, economic growth, exchange rates, oil prices, inflation, and interest rates have a significant effect on the budget deficit in Indonesia. (2) budget deficit, net exports, foreign exchange reserves, FDI, and savings investment gap significantly influence the foreign debt in Indonesia. In other words, when the budget deficit rose, net exports declined, foreign exchange reserves decreased, FDI down, as well as foreign interest rates also decreased the budget deficit will increase. However, variables and savings investment gap does not significantly influence foreign debt in Indonesia. Based on these results the policies that can be recommended increase economic growth as measures to reduce the budget deficit, stabilize the prices of basic necessities that inflation is under control, keeping the exchange rate certainty so that exporters are not at a loss as well as the interest rate that can keep the investment climate. The conditions are expected to emerge from the economic certainty that may increase the state budget so avoid the problem of budget deficit. In addition, a reduction in the dependence on foreign debt can be achieved with fiscal discipline, maintain the balance of payments deficit, the reduction of foreign debt abroad and trying to divert the foreign debt into the country.Â Keywords : Budget Deficit, Foreign Debt Â

MODEL MAKROEKONOMI TAHUN 2000 - TAHUN 2010 Satrianto, Alpon; Amar, Syamsul; Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 1 (2012)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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ABSRACT This study aims to analyze and find out (1) the influence of consumption, investment, government spending, exports and imports to GDP in Indonesia, (2) the influence of disposable income and deposit rates on consumption in Indonesia, (3) the influence of interest rates on investment, GDP , and the rate of investment in Indonesia, (4) the influence of exchange rate and U.S. GDP to exports in Indonesia, and (5) the influence of exchangeÂ rate and GDP to imports in Indonesia. This study uses a macroeconomic model developed by Keynes with a simultaneous equation model analysis with Two Stages Least Squared method (TSLS) from the first quarter of 2000 - the first quarter of 2010. Â The studyÂ concluded that (1) consumption, investment, government spending, exports and imports significantly affect the GDP in Indonesia. (2) have a significant disposable income on consumption in Indonesia. (3) the investment rate, GDP, and significantly influenceÂ the rate of investment in Indonesia. (4) exchange rate and the GDP of the United States have a significant effect on exports in Indonesia, and (5) exchange rate and GDP have a significant effect on imports in Indonesia. Keyword: GDP, Consumption, Investment, Government Spending, Export, Import, Disposible Income, Invesment Rate, Exchange Rate.Â

ANALISIS TRANSPORTASI UDARA, KUNJUNGAN WISATAWAN, NILAI TUKAR DAN KESEMPATAN KERJA DI INDONESIA: PENDEKATAN VECM Pertiwi, Miya; Satrianto, Alpon
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 2, No 1 (2020): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

This study aims to identify and analyze responses between air transportation, tourist visits, exchange rates and employment opportunities in Indonesia. This type of research is descriptive and associative, where the data used are secondary data in the form of time series from 2000 fourth quarter to 2018 fourth quarter. This study uses the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) method through the analysis of block causality test, Impulse Response Function (IRF) and Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) to seeing the variability response of an endogenous variable due to the presence of other endogenous variables. The results of this study indicate that: (1) Variability of air transportation is not contributed by the shock of tourist visits, exchange rates and employment opportunities in the short term, but in the long run, variability of air transportation is contributed by shock of tourist visits, exchange rates and employment opportunities. (2) Variability of tourist visits is only influenced by short-term air transportation shock. Whereas air transportation, exchange rates and employment opportunities in the long run contribute to influencing the variability of tourist visits in Indonesia. (3) Exchange rate variability is contributed by air transportation shock, tourist visits and work opportunities in the short and long term. (4) Variability of employment opportunities is contributed by air transportation shock, tourist visits and exchange rates in the short and long term in Indonesia.

FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PELUANG PENCARI KERJA DALAM MENGAKSES INTERNET DI SUMATERA BARAT Wiranti, Hilda; Satrianto, Alpon
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 2, No 4 (2020): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Abstract: This study aims to determine (1) the effect of the level of education on the opportunitiesfor job seekers to access the internet in West Sumatra. (2) the influence of gender on job seekers'opportunities to access the internet in West Sumatra. (3) the influence of age on the opportunitiesfor job seekers to access the internet in West Sumatra. (4) the influence of the area of residence onthe opportunities for job seekers to access the internet in West Sumatra. (5) the effect of income onjob search opportunities in accessing the internet in West Sumatra. This type of research isdescriptive - associative. The types and sources of data from the Socio-Economic Survey aresecondary. In this study using data that already exists in a data collection (National Socio-Economic Survey (SUSENAS) in 2018. The analysis tool used is logistic regression analysis, andthe total number of job seekers is 1,641 people. From the results of this study, it is explained that(1) education has a significant positive effect on the opportunities for job seekers to access theinternet in West Sumatra, (2) gender has no significant negative effect on the opportunities for jobseekers to access the internet in West Sumatra. (3) age has no significant positive effect on theopportunities for job seekers to access the internet in West Sumatra (4) the area of residence has apositive and significant effect on the opportunities for job seekers to access the internet in WestSumatra. (5) income has a significant positive effect on the opportunities for job seekers to accessthe internet in West Sumatra. As for the results of the research, so that the government of WestSumatra Province can provide socialization on the use of the internet in looking for work andbecome a consideration for the government in formulating a policy related to job availability forjob seekers in accessing the internet.Keywords: Job seekers, Internet, Logistic Regression.

Kebijakan Fiskal, Moneter Dan Neraca Pembayaran Di Indonesia: Suatu Kajian Efektifitas Alpon Satrianto
Economac: Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 1 No 2 (2017): Economac: Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Ekonomi Volume 1 Nomor 2 Bulan Oktober 2017.
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

This study is based on the long debate that occurs among economists about the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policy on the output of a country. Some economists argue that fiscal policy is more effective against the output of a country while others argue that monetary policy is more effective. However, the economist's debate only sees the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policy on output. No such economist sees the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policy on other macroeconomic variables such as balance of payment. Therefore, this study contributes to analyzing the most effective policies on balance of payment in Indonesia. This study uses time series data from 1970-2015. Fiscal policy data is measured from real government expenditure, monetary policy is measured from real money supply, and balance of payment is measured from the overall balance sheet value. Data analysis techniques use Vector Auto Regressive (VAR), Impulse Response Function (IRF) and Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD). A policy is said to be effective if the FEVD method shocks one policy against output variability and the price is greatest compared to other policies. The results conclude that fiscal policy is more effective on balance of payment than monetary policy. This is evident from the shock of fiscal policy based on FEVD method is the most important role to the variability of balance of payment in Indonesia when compared with fiscal policy. With the word meaning, fiscal policy has a big role to the changes that occur in the balance of payment in Indonesia.

FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PENYERAPAN TENAGA KERJA DI SEKTOR INDUSTRI DAN PERDAGANGAN DI KABUPATEN/KOTA DI SUMATERA BARAT Muhammad Aidil Idham; Alpon Satrianto
Jurnal Ecogen Vol 1, No 3 (2018): Jurnal Ecogen
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/jmpe.v1i3.5037

This study aims to determine and analyze the factors that influence labor in the industrial and trade sectors in the province of West Sumatra. The type of data in this study is panel data from 19 districts / cities in West Sumatra. In analyzing sequential data for 2011 to 2015, the analytical method is the Regression Model Panel, the Classic Assumption Test and the t Test. Based on the results of testing the economic growth of West Sumatra, this is significant for workers in West Sumatra, while education and health have no significant effect on workers in West Sumatra. Positive economic strengthening of labor absorption Increased economic growth. While education and health do not have the cost to work.. Keywords: economic growth, education, health and labor

Pengaruh Suku Bunga, Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR) dan Pertumbuhan Kredit terhadap Inflasi di Indonesia Putri Yeni; Syamsul Amar; Alpon Satrianto
Jurnal Ecogen Vol 1, No 3 (2018): Jurnal Ecogen
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/jmpe.v1i3.5026

This study aims to analyze the influence of interest rates, Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR) and credit growth to inflation in Indonesia. This type of research is descriptive research and uses secondary data in the form of time-series from 2007 to 2016 using the method of multiple linear regression analysis. The results of this study indicate that interest rates have a significant and positive effect on inflation in Indonesia. The Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR) has a significant and positive effect on inflation in Indonesia. Credit growth has a significant and positive effect on inflation in Indonesia. Based on the results of this study it can be concluded that there is a significant influence between interest rates, Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR) and credit growth to inflation in Indonesia. Keyword: Inflation, Interest Rate, Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR), Credit Growth

FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PENDAPATAN PETANI JAGUNG DI KECAMATAN TANJUNG RAYA KABUPATEN AGAM Rendi Rahma Perdana; Idris Idris; Alpon Satrianto
Jurnal Ecogen Vol 1, No 3 (2018): Jurnal Ecogen
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/jmpe.v1i3.4995

This study aims to examine (1) the effect of capital on the income of sweet corn farmers in Tanjung Raya District, Agam Regency (2) Effect of farming experience on the income of sweet corn farmers in Tanjung Raya District, Agam Regency (3) Effect of education level on income of sweet corn farmers in Tanjung Raya District, Agam Regency. (4) Effect of capital, farming experience and education level on the income of sweet corn farmers in Tanjung Raya District, Agam Regency. This type of research is classified as quantitative research. The population of this study is sweet corn farmers in Tanjung Raya sub-district, Agam district. The sample was determined based on the total sampling method, as many as 50 respondents. Data was collected by distributing questionnaires directly to the respondents concerned. Data analysis techniques using multiple linear regression with t test and F test. he results showed that (1) Capital has a positive and significant effect on the income of sweet corn farmers in Tanjung Raya District, Agam Regency (sig 0,000 <α = 0.05) with a magnitude of 19,164% (2) Farming experience has a positive and not significant effect on income Sweet corn farmers in Tanjung Raya District, Agam Regency (sig 0.360> α = 0.05) with a large influence of 0.923% (3) The level of education has a positive and insignificant effect on the income of sweet corn farmers in Tanjung Raya District, Agam Regency (sig 0.2333 > α = 0.05) with a magnitude of effect of 1.207%. Capital, farming experience and education level, together have a significant effect on the income of sweet corn farmers in Tanjung Raya District, Agam Regency (sig 0,000 at the level of α = 0.05) with the results of the analysis obtained Fcount 159.98> Ftable 2,807. Based on the results of the study, it is advisable for sweet corn farmers to increase the amount of capital and increase knowledge related to maize cultivation, so that the sweet corn farming business gets great results. Keywords : Income, Capital, farming experience, and level of education.

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