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ANALISIS KURS DAN MONEY SUPPLY DI INDONESIA Oktavia, Adek Laksmi; Sentosa, Sri Ulfa; Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 2 (2013)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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ABSTRACT ThisÂ article focused onÂ analyze (1) Effect of the money supply, income, domestic interest rates, inflation and the trade balance to the exchange rate in Indonesia. (2) The influence of domestic interest rates, output andÂ the exchange rate on the money supply in Indonesia. Data used time series of (I year kuartal 2000 â€“ IV year kuartal 2010). This article use analyzer model equation of simultaneous with method of Two Stage Least Squared (TSLS). The result of research concludes that (1) the money supply have a significant and positive impact on the exchange rate, incomes have significant and positive impact on the exchange rate, domestic interest rates significantly and negatively on the exchange rate and inflation have a significant and positive impact on the exchange rate. While the trade balance is not significant and negative effect on the exchange rate in Indonesia. If the money supply increases, the exchange rate will also increase or depreciate. If income increases, the exchange rate will depreciate. If the domesticÂ interest rate increases, the exchange rate will appreciate. If inflation increases, the exchange rate will also depreciate. (2) domestic interest rates, output,Â and the exchange rate significantly influence the money supply in Indonesia. Keywords : Income, Domestic Interest Rates, Inflation, Trade Balance, Output, Exchange Rate and Money Supply

PROSPEK PERDAGANGAN INTERNASIONAL DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA Doni, Amsah Hendri; Sentosa, Sri Ulfa; Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 1 (2012)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract This article focused on analyse (1) influence of labor force, exchange rate, consumer price index, policy of tariff import and growth of economics to international trade in Indonesia (2) influence of kapital net, labor force, and international trade to growth of economics in Indonesia.Data used time series data of (I year kuartal 1990Â -Â IV year kuartal 2009). This article use analyzer model equation of simultaneous with method of Two Stages Least Squared (TSLS). The result of research conclude that (1) labor force, exchange rate, consumer price index, and policy of import tariff have an effect on by signifikan to international trade in Indonesia. The increase of to labor force, rate, consumer price index, and policy of import tariff will be the increase of international trade in Indonesia and conversely. While growth of economics do not have an effect on signifikan to international trade in Indonesia (2) kapital net, labor force, and international trade have an effect on signifikan to growth of economics in Indonesia. If kapital net, labor force, and international trade is increase of hence growth of economics in Indonesia will experience of improvement and conversely. Keyword: international trade, growth of economics, labor force, exchange rate, ihk, and capital net.

ANALISIS PERMINTAAN DAN PENAWARAN JAGUNG DI INDONESIA (STUDI PERMINTAAN JAGUNG UNTUK PANGAN DAN INPUT INDUSTRI PETERNAKAN UNGGAS) Desweni, Selly Prima; Sentosa, Sri Ulfa; Idris, Idris
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 3, No 6 (2015): Jurnal Kajian EKonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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This study aims to analyze (1) the effect of the price of corn, rice, and income per capita, against demand of corn consumption in Indonesia, (2) the effect of the price of corn, harvested area and the price of grain to supply maize in Indonesia, (3) the amount of poultry industry workers, poultry population, the price of poultry and poultry prices for corn demand for industrial inputs Indonesia. This research is descriptive and associative study. While the type of data is documentary data, the data source is a secondary data, from 1983 - 2012. This study uses analysis: a) the simultaneous equation models. Endogenous variables in this study corn consumption demand, and supply of corn, exogenous variable is the price of corn, per capita income, the price of rice, harvested area, the price of grain. b). multiple linear regression model where the endogenous variables are demand of corn in poultry industry inputs while the exogenous variables are the amount of poultry industry workers, poultry population, the price of poultry feed, poultry prices. The study concluded that (1) the price of corn and negative significant effect on the level of demand for corn for household consumption Indonesia, Partially no significant difference between the positive and per capita income to the level of demand for corn in Indonesia, the price of rice a significant and positive effect on total demand for corn for household consumption in Indonesia. (2) the price of corn significant and positive impact on deals in Indonesia corn, corn harvested area of significant and positive impact on the offer of corn, grain prices and a significant positive effect on maize offers in Indonesia. (3) the number of workers poultry industry and a significant positive effect on the demand for corn inputs for poultry industry in Indonesia, poultry population does not affect the demand for corn input to the poultry industry in Indonesia, the development of the poultry feed prices and a significant negative effect on the demand for inputs corn for poultry industry in Indonesia, the price of chicken positive and significant impact on the demand for corn inputs poultry industry in Indonesia. Keywords: demand consumption for corn, supply for corn, poultry farming industry

FAKTOR â€“ FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PERMINTAAN WISATAWAN DOMESTIK TERHADAP OBJEK WISATA BAHARI PULAU CINGKUAK KABUPATEN PESISIR SELATAN Agustin, Agustin; Sentosa, sri Ulfa; Aimon, hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 3, No 05 (2014): Kajian Ilmu EKonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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This study aimed to analyze factors - factors that affect the demand fordomestic travelers to the island marine attraction Cingkuak. The data used areprimary data with a sample size of 133 people. The study used multiple linearregression method using the OLS approach (Ordinary Least Square). ), Which isassumed to be constant tourist attraction means based on observations did notchange from observation to observation. The study concluded that 1) the joint -the same travel expenses, income travelers, travel motivation, ease of visiting nosignificant effect on the demand for domestic travelers to the island marineattraction Cingkuak. While the number of family members, security and comfortof a significant effect on demand for domestic travelers to the island marineattraction Cingkuak. 2) the partial cost of the trip, travelers income, number offamily members, travel motivation significant effect on the demand for domestictravelers to the island Cingkuak marine attractions, while visiting the ease, safetyand comfort no significant effect on the demand for domestic travelers to theisland marine attraction CingkuakKeywords : Demand, domestic tourists, marine tourism

ANALISIS KONSUMSI DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI PROVINSI SUMATERA BARAT N, Nurhuda; Sentosa, Sri Ulfa; Idris, Idris
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 03 (2013): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh pertumbuhan ekonomi, konsumsi periode sebelumnya, pendapatan disposibel dan suku bunga terhadap konsumsi di Sumatera BaratÂ dan menganalisis pengaruh konsumsi, kapital dan tenaga kerja terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Sumatera Barat periode 2000 - 2011. Untuk mencapai tujuan tersebut digunakan analisis model persamaan simultan dengan metode Two Stages Least Square (TSLS). Hasil penelitian menemukan bahwa :1) pertumbuhan ekonomi, konsumsi periode sebelumnya, pendapatan disposibel, dan suku bunga secara bersama-sama berpengaruh signifikan terhadap konsumsi di Sumatera Barat. Akan tetapi secara parsial tingkat suku bunga tidak berpengaruh terhadap konsumsi.Â 2) konsumsi, kapital dan tenaga kerja baik secara bersama-sama maupun secara parsial berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Sumatera Barat. Implikasi kebijakan dari hasil penelitian ini adalah : Pemerintah Daerah Sumatera Barat perlu memberikan insentif terhadap sektor-sektor produktif atau sektor riil agar mampu meningkatkan produksi (ouput) sehingga akan berdampak terhadap peningkatan konsumsi dan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Kata Kunci: Konsumsi, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, konsumsi periode sebelumnya, pendapatan disposibel, suku bunga, kapital dan tenaga kerja

ANALISIS KESEMPATAN KERJA SEKTOR FORMAL DI INDONESIA Neka, Diarora Arjuna; Sentosa, Sri Ulfa; Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 3, No 6 (2015): Jurnal Kajian EKonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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This study aims to analyze and determine (1) the effect of wages, economic growth, labor productivity, investment, inflation, government spending and government policies (moratorium) on formal employment in Indonesia. This research use descriptive and associative. Analysis this type of data is the documentary data, the data source is a form of secondary data from the 2009 panel - in 2012 in 33 provinces in Indonesia. This study uses panel regression model with common method effect. The research concludes that formal sector employment opportunities in this study is significantly influenced by the wages, economic growth, labor productivity, investment and government spending. While inflation and government policy variables (moratorium) no significant effect on formal employment in Indonesia. This study, economic growth is one of the most well insturmen to increase formal employment opportunities in Indonesia. This is evident from the high number of coefficients to the level of economic growth of formal employment in Indonesia. The trick is to increase incomes through job creation or investment in Indonesia, especially in the real sector. Government needs to set regulations on how and investment requirements are easily accepted by the investors, the guarantee of political stability, security and law enforcement are consistent, providing accurate information to investors in order to promote the area, realizing the mechanism of effective one-stop service for potential investors, as well as increasing the cooperation between the government harmonious, private and public.

ANALISIS PRODUKSI DAN EFISIENSI IKAN LAUT NELAYAN BAGAN MESIN DI KOTO XI TARUSAN KABUPATEN PESISIR SELATAN Mariani, Nevi; Aimon, hasdi; Sentosa, Sri Ulfa
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 3, No 05 (2014): Kajian Ilmu EKonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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South coast most of the territory is along the coast has the potential tomake the fishery once the prime mover (prime mover) South Coast economy.Support potential and natural conditions is an area big enough assets to driveeconomic growth in the South Coast region. Production of marine fish fishingcharts are many factors that influence engine. Among them is the amount of labor,fishing experience, working capital, mileage and length of fishing. The estimationresults of multiple regression equation is obtained as follows:LogY = 0,264LogX1 - 0,189LogX2 +0,306LogX3 + 0,97LogX4 - 0,315LogX5.R-squared value of marine fish production equation is equal to 0.382. This showsthe contribution of independent variables on the dependent variable is equal to 38percent. The use of factors of production the amount of labor (X1), the fishingexperience (X2), working capital (X3), mileage (X4) and duration of fishing (X5)is efficient.Keyword: production, Efficiency and fishing chart engine

ANALISIS KAUSALITAS FERTILITAS DENGAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN KEMISKINAN DI SUMATERA BARAT Saputra, Robby; Sentosa, Sri Ulfa
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 2, No 3 (2020): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Abstract: This study aims to determine the causal relationship between fertility, economic growth and poverty in West Sumatra. This type of research is descriptive and associative research. The data used are secondary data in the form of panel data from 2010 to 2017. The research methods used are: (1) Vector Auto Regression Analysis, (2) Granger Causality Test. The results showed that (1) There was no causality relationship between fertility and economic growth in West Sumatra, but there was a direct relationship between fertility and economic growth. (2) There is no causality relationship between fertility and poverty in West Sumatra, but there is a direct relationship between poverty and fertility. (3) There is no causal relationship between economic growth and poverty in West Sumatra, but there is a direct relationship between poverty and economic growth.Keywords: Fertility, Economic Growth, Poverty

PENGARUH UPAH SEKTOR INDUSTRI, TINGKAT PENDIDIKAN, DAN INVESTASI ASING TERHADAP PENYERAPAN TENAGA KERJA SEKTOR INDUSTRI DI INDONESIA Usman, Agung Febrian; Sentosa, Sri Ulfa
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 2, No 4 (2020): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Abstract: This research aims to examined the effect of industry of wage, education and forigninvestment on the agricultural sector labor industry in Indonesia with the selected model is the RandonEffect Model (REM ). The data used is panel data during the period 2014-2018, with thw twchnique ofcollecting documentation data and library studies obtained fromm relevant institution and agencies.Thevariables use are industry of wage (X1), education (X2), foreign invesment (X3), . the research methodused is Ordinary Least Square (OLS). The estimation result show that industry of wage have a positiveand its significant effect on the agricultural sector labor industry in Indonesia. Education have anegative and significant effect on the agricultural sector labor industry in Indonesia. foreign investmenthave a positife and its siknificant effect the agricultural sector industry Indonesia. Meanwhilesimultaneously industry of wage, education and foreign investment effect the agricultural sector laborindustry in Indonesia.Keywords: Agricultural Sector Labor Industry, Industry Of Wage, Education, Foreign Investment, andOrdinary Least Square (OLS)

KAUSALITAS PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI,KEMISKINAN,PENDIDIKAN DAN DISTRIBUSI PENDAPATAN DI PULAU SUMATERA Adriani, Syafika; Sentosa, Sri Ulfa
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 2, No 3 (2020): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Abstrack :This study aims to determine the causality relationship between Economic Growth, Poverty, Education and Distribution of Income on the island of Sumatra by using a panel model Vector Autoregresion panel (PVAR) from 2013 to 2017. The research methods used are: (1) Analysis of the Vector Regression Panel , (2) Granger Causality Test. The results showed that (1) there was no causality or one-sided relationship between economic growth and poverty on the island of Sumatera, (2) there was no causality relationship between poverty and income distribution in Sumatera Island, but there was a one-way relationship between poverty and income distribution. (3) There is no causal relationship or one-way relationship between income distribution and education on the island of Sumatera (4) There is no causal relationship between education and economic growth, but there is a one-way relationship between education and economic growth on the island of Sumatera. (5) There is no causality or one direction relationship between growth and income distribution on the island of Sumatera. (6) There is no causal relationship between education and poverty, but there is a one-way relationship of poverty to education on the island of SumateraKeywords: Economic Growth, Poverty, education, Income Distribution

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