Article Per Year (5 Year)
p-Index From 2019 - 2024
0.23
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All Journal International Journal of Data Science, Engineering, and Analytics (IJDASEA)
Prisma Hardi Aji Riyantoko
Unknown Affiliation
Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management

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Geometric Brownian Motion and Value at Risk For Analysis Stock Price Of Bumi Serpong Damai Ltd Trimono Trimono; Di Asih I Maruddani; Prisma Hardi Aji Riyantoko; I Gede Susrama Mas Diyasa
Internasional Journal of Data Science, Engineering, and Anaylitics Vol. 1 No. 1 (2021): International Journal of Data Science, Engineering, and Analytics Vol 1, No 1,
Publisher : International Journal of Data Science, Engineering, and Analytics

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1063.683 KB) | DOI: 10.33005/ijdasea.v1i1.3

Abstract

Investment is one of the activities that last actually attractive to the people of Indonesia. One of the most widely traded financial assets in the capital market is stocks. Stock prices frequently experience challenges to predict changes, so they can increase or decrease at any time. One method that can be applied to predict stock prices is GBM. Then, the risk can be measured using the VaR risk measure. The GBM model is determined to be accurate in predicting the stock price of BSDE.JK, with a MAPE value of 5.17%. By using VaR-HS and VaR CFE, the prediction of risk of loss at the 95% confidence level for the period 06/07/21 is -0.0597 and -0.0623
Co-Authors Di Asih I Maruddani I Gede Susrama Mas Diyasa Trimono, Trimono