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Vera Lisna
Badan Pusat Statistik, Jl. Dr. Sutomo 6-8 Jakarta 10710
Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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Dampak Kapasitas Fiskal terhadap Penurunan Kemiskinan: Suatu Analisis Simulasi Kebijakan Lisna, Vera; Sinaga, Bonar M.; Firdaus, Muhammad; Sutomo, Slamet
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia Vol 14 No 1 (2013): Juli
Publisher : Department of Economics-FEB UI

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (598.67 KB) | DOI: 10.21002/jepi.v14i1.433

Abstract

AbstractThis study examines the impacts of fiscal capacity on the acceleration of poverty alleviation through a dynamic simultaneous equations model using empirical data of 23 provinces and conducting historical simulation. The increasing of fiscal capacity from local taxes and tax-revenue sharing have signicant impact on poverty reduction, particularly in agricultural household, which has the largest share in number of poor in Indonesia indicated by larger decline of agricultural headcount index than industrial and trade headcount index. However, the increasing of General Allocator Fund/Dana Alokasi Umum (DAU) has negative impact on agricultural headcount index. The policy implication is to increase revenue from taxation by local governments as the impact is more effective in accelerating poverty reduction.Keywords: Fiscal Capacity, Poverty Reduction, Policy Simulation AbstrakStudi ini menganalisis dampak kapasitas fiskal dalam mempercepat pengentasan kemiskinan di Indonesia melalui jalur pertumbuhan pro-poor melalui model persamaan simultan dinamis atas data empiris 23 provinsi dan simulasi historis. Peningkatan kapasitas fiskal dari pajak daerah dan bagi hasil pajak berdampak paling besar dalam menurunkan kemiskinan terutama di rumah tangga pertanian yang mendominasi jumlah penduduk miskin di Indonesia di mana headcount index pertanian turun lebih besar dibandingkan headcount index industri dan perdagangan. Sebaliknya, peningkatan Dana Alokasi Umum (DAU) berdampak negatif pada kemiskinan pertanian. Implikasinya adalah pemerintah daerah perlu meningkatkan penerimaan dari perpajakan karena dampaknya lebih efektif mempercepat pengentasan kemiskinan.Kata kunci: Kapasitas Fiskal, Penurunan Kemiskinan, Simulasi Kebijakan
Analisis EMP Indonesia dan Empat Negara ASEAN pada Masa Krisis Sulaeman, Clara Septyana Rahma; Lisna, Vera
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia Vol 16 No 2 (2016): Januari 2016
Publisher : Department of Economics-FEB UI

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (305.921 KB) | DOI: 10.21002/jepi.v16i2.592

Abstract

Analysis of Indonesian EMP and Four ASEAN Countries During CrisisContagion effect or domino eect which causes spreading economic crisis from one country to another also occurred in Indonesia in 1997 and 2008. The effect was identified by Exchange Market Pressure (EMP) index which measures economic pressure faced by a country on the exchange market through foreign exchange rate changes and foreign exchange reserves. The results of EMP analysis in Indonesia and four ASEAN countries using VAR method show that EMP contribution of four ASEAN countries in 2008 was larger than that of 1997. Moreover, the 1997 crisis in Indonesia spread from Thailand, while the 2008 crisis spread from Singapore.Keywords: Exchange Market Pressure; Vector Autoregression; ASEAN Countries AbstrakContagion Effect atau efek domino yang merupakan salah satu penyebab menjalarnya krisis ekonomi dari suatu negara ke negara lain juga terjadi di Indonesia tahun 1997 dan 2008. Efek tersebut diidentifikasi dari indeks Exchange Market Pressure (EMP) yaitu ukuran tekanan ekonomi yang dihadapi suatu negara pada pasar valuta asing melalui perubahan nilai tukar dan cadangan devisa. Hasil analisis EMP Indonesia dan empat negara ASEAN menggunakan metode VAR menunjukkan kontribusi EMP empat negara ASEAN dalam menjelaskan EMP Indonesia tahun 2008 lebih besar dibandingkan tahun 1997. Selain itu, krisis tahun 1997 di Indonesia menjalar dari Thailand, sedangkan krisis tahun 2008 menjalar dari Singapura.
Pengaruh Dwelling Time pada Penerimaan Pajak Impor di Indonesia Hilal, Adam Syaiful; Lisna, Vera
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia Vol 19 No 2 (2019): Juli 2019
Publisher : Department of Economics-FEB UI

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (233.583 KB) | DOI: 10.21002/jepi.v19i2.792

Abstract

High dwelling time in Indonesia has been in the spotlight of President since his visit to the Port of Tanjung Priok in 2014. This could bring impact on international trade, one of which is indicated by import tax revenue. The value of import in Indonesia which continues to fall has brought impact to lower country revenue from import tax. The objective of this study is to analyze the effect of dwelling time on import tax revenue in Indonesia. The results from recursive equation system of Error Correction Model (ECM) by using data during January 2014 to November 2016 show that lower dwelling time will increase import tax revenue in Indonesia. ------------------------------------ Lamanya dwelling time menjadi sorotan Presiden RI sejak kunjungannya ke Pelabuhan Tanjung Priok tahun 2014 silam. Hal ini dapat berdampak pada perdagangan internasional, salah satunya diukur dari penerimaan pajak impor. Nilai impor Indonesia yang terus turun berdampak pada rendahnya penerimaan negara dari pajak impor. Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis pengaruh dwelling time pada penerimaan pajak impor di Indonesia. Berdasarkan hasil estimasi sistem persamaan rekursif Error Correction Model (ECM) dengan data periode Januari 2014–November 2016 diketahui bahwa dwelling time yang lebih rendah akan meningkatkan penerimaan pajak impor di Indonesia.
Pengaruh Dwelling Time pada Penerimaan Pajak Impor di Indonesia Hilal, Adam Syaiful; Lisna, Vera
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia Vol. 19, No. 2
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

High dwelling time in Indonesia has been in the spotlight of President since his visit to the Port of Tanjung Priok in 2014. This could bring impact on international trade, one of which is indicated by import tax revenue. The value of import in Indonesia which continues to fall has brought impact to lower country revenue from import tax. The objective of this study is to analyze the effect of dwelling time on import tax revenue in Indonesia. The results from recursive equation system of Error Correction Model (ECM) by using data during January 2014 to November 2016 show that lower dwelling time will increase import tax revenue in Indonesia.
Analisis EMP Indonesia dan Empat Negara ASEAN pada Masa Krisis Sulaeman, Clara Septyana Rahma; Lisna, Vera
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia Vol. 16, No. 2
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Contagion effect or domino effect which causes spreading economic crisis from one country to another also occurred in Indonesia in 1997 and 2008. The e ect was identified by Exchange Market Pressure (EMP) index which measures economic pressure faced by a country on the exchange market through foreign exchange rate changes and foreign exchange reserves. The results of EMP analysis in Indonesia and four ASEAN countries using VAR method show that EMP contribution of four ASEAN countries in 2008 was larger than that of 1997. Moreover, the 1997 crisis in Indonesia spread from Thailand, while the 2008 crisis spread from Singapore.
Dampak Kapasitas Fiskal terhadap Penurunan Kemiskinan: Suatu Analisis Simulasi Kebijakan Lisna, Vera; Sinaga, Bonar M.; Firdaus, Muhammad; Sutomo, Slamet
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia Vol. 14, No. 1
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

This study examines the impacts of fiscal capacity on the acceleration of poverty alleviation through a dynamic simultaneous equations model using empirical data of 23 provinces and conducting historical simulation. The increasing of fiscal capacity from local taxes and tax-revenue sharing have significant impact on poverty reduction, particularly in agricultural household, which has the largest share in number of poor in Indonesia indicated by larger decline of agricultural headcount index than industrial and trade headcount index. However, the increasing of General Allocator Fund/Dana Alokasi Umum (DAU) has negative impact on agricultural headcount index. The policy implication is to increase revenue from taxation by local governments as the impact is more effective in accelerating poverty reduction.
Co-Authors BONAR M. SINAGA Hilal, Adam Syaiful Muhammad Firdaus Slamet Sutomo Sulaeman, Clara Septyana Rahma