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ANALISIS PREDIKSI JUMLAH PENDUDUK DI KOTA PASURUAN MENGGUNAKAN METODE ARIMA Ilmiatul Mardiyah; Wika Dianita Utami; Dian Candra Rini Novitasari; Moh. Hafiyusholeh; Dewi Sulistiyawati
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 15 No 3 (2021): BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (553.131 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol15iss3pp525-534

Abstract

Laju pertumbuhan penduduk di Kota Pasuruan pada tahun 2019 sebesar 0.68% dengan jumlah penduduk 200.422 jiwa. Tingginya pertumbuhan penduduk dapat mempengaruhi kepadatan penduduk. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk memprediksi pertumbuhan penduduk Kota Pasuruan menggunakan metode ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average). Metode ARIMA adalah cara prediksi data deret waktu yang memiliki tiga model, yaitu AR (Autoregressive), MA (Moving Average), ARMA (Autoregressive Moving Average). Metode ini memiliki parameter (p,d,q) dapat diketahuidari plot ACF dan PACF untuk memastikan model yang akan digunakan untuk prediksi. Dalam penelitian ini data yang digunakan merupakan data penduduk Kota Pasuruan tahun 1983 sampai tahun 2019 sejumlah 37 data. Dari data tersebut didapatkan ARIMA model (1,1,1) dengan jumlah penduduk Kota Pasuruan pada tahun 2020 adalah 203.221 jiwa, didapatkan nilai MSE 10542507.06 dan MAPE 1.52%.
Implementation of Naive Bayes Classification Algorithm in Determining Appropriate Help Targets of Unlimited Houses (RTLH) in Bojonegoro District Anissa Nurul Farida Tussholikhah; Nurissaidah Ulinnuha; Wika Dianita Utami
CESS (Journal of Computer Engineering, System and Science) Vol 8, No 2 (2023): July 2023
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/cess.v8i2.46295

Abstract

Rumah merupakan salah satu kebutuhan primer bagi setiap individu, dan termasuk kedalam aset terpenting yang harus dimiliki. Kelayakan rumah yang layak huni dan tidak layak huni harus dipertimbangkan. Rumah yang tidak memenuhi kecukupan minimum dari segi ruang dan luas ruangan dianggap sebagai Rumah tidak layak huni (RTLH). Untuk mengatasi terjadinya peningkatan RTLH maka pemerintah menanggulanginya dengan memberikan bantuan kepada masyarakat yang layak menerima dengan tepat sasaran. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menerapkan metode Naïve Bayes dalam menentukan bantuan tepat sasaran menggunakan dua kelas penelitian, yakni layak menerima bantuan RTLH dan tidak layak menerima bantuan RTLH. Dari analisis klasifikasi menggunakan confusion matrix didapatkan hasil akurasi sebesar 63%, recall 100% dan presisi 25% untuk 400 data training dan 100 data testing dari total 500 data dengan 10 atribut pengujian.The house is one of the primary needs for every individual, and is included in the most important asset that must be owned. The livability of the livable and uninhabitable houses should be considered. A house that does not meet the minimum adequacy in terms of space and room area is considered an uninhabitable house (RTLH). To overcome the increase in RTLH, the government overcomes it by providing assistance to people who deserve to receive it on target. This study aims to apply the Naïve Bayes method in determining targeted assistance using two research classes, namely eligible to receive RTLH assistance and not eligible to receive RTLH assistance. From the classification analysis using the confusion matrix, the results obtained are 63% accuracy, 100% recall and 25% precision for 400 training data and 100 testing data from a total of 500 data with 10 test attributes.
Pendampingan Guru Madrasah untuk Mewujudkan Kompetensi Pedagogik Guru Matematika yang Berdaya Melalui Penguasaan Soal High Order Thinking Skills (HOTS) Moh Hafiyusholeh; Ahmad Lubab; Ahmad Hanif Asyhar; Aris Fanani; Yuniar Farida; Dian C. Rini Novitasari; Nurissaidah Ulinnuha; Putroue Keumala Intan; Wika Dianita Utami; Zainullah Zuhri; Ahmad Zaenal Arifin; Dian Yuliati; Abdulloh Hamid
Engagement: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Vol 4 No 1 (2020): May 2020
Publisher : Asosiasi Dosen Pengembang Masyarajat (ADPEMAS) Forum Komunikasi Dosen Peneliti

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.52166/engagement.v4i1.97

Abstract

High Order Thinking Skills (HOTS) is the ability to connect, manipulate, and change the knowledge and experience that is owned critically and creatively in determining decisions to solve problems in new situations. To include HOTS questions in a learning process is an obstacle for Madrasah teachers, including teachers of PC. LP. Maarif NU Lamongan. This community service aimed at improving the pedagogical competence of mathematics teachers of PC. LP. Maarif NU Lamongan. Community-Based Research (CBR) was employed through workshop and training administered by the Mathematics Study Program of UIN Sunan Ampel Surabaya in designing and completing high order thinking questions followed by assistance. The results indicated that the ability of Madrasah teachers to solve HOTS questions as well as its implementation in classroom teaching and learning activities improved significantly.
Economic Empowerment of Housewives Based on OPOR (One Product in One RT) in Pojok Village of Magetan Regency, Using the Asset-Based Community-Driven Development (ABCD) Approach Yuniar Farida; Wika Dianita Utami; Aris Fanani; Latifatun Nadya Desinaini; Silvia Kartika Sari
Engagement: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Vol 6 No 1 (2022): May 2022
Publisher : Asosiasi Dosen Pengembang Masyarajat (ADPEMAS) Forum Komunikasi Dosen Peneliti

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29062/engagement.v6i1.1161

Abstract

Nowadays, the improvement in resources, especially among women, is considered. One of the efforts to empower women in the village can be done through the assistance of Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs). This research-based community service aims to assist the community, especially women (housewives) in Pojok Village of Magetan Regency, in developing home businesses. This community service is carried out by using ABCD approach, which is an approach to understanding and internalizing assets, potential, strength, and utilization independently and optimally. The results of the community service carried out by researchers have positive impact to the community and it fosters a high desire and enthusiasm to make changes for the better in the development of marketing businesses, both during the mentoring process and post-mentoring so that the economy in Pojok Village, Magetan Regency can increase