Jurnal Teknik Industri
Vol. 17 No. 2 (2015): DECEMBER 2015

Bayesian-based Project Monitoring: Framework Development and Model Testing

Budi Hartono (Industrial Engineering Program, Mechanical and Industrial Engineering Department, Universitas Gadjah Mada Jl. Grafika 2, Yogyakarta)
Riesa Ayuningtyas (Industrial Engineering Program, Mechanical and Industrial Engineering Department, Universitas Gadjah Mada Jl. Grafika 2, Yogyakarta)
Yun Prihantina Mulyani (Industrial Engineering Program, Mechanical and Industrial Engineering Department, Universitas Gadjah Mada Jl. Grafika 2, Yogyakarta)



Article Info

Publish Date
03 Oct 2016

Abstract

During project implementation, risk becomes an integral part of project monitoring. Therefore. a tool that could dynamically include elements of risk in project progress monitoring is needed. This objective of this study is to develop a general framework that addresses such a concern. The developed framework consists of three interrelated major building blocks, namely: Risk Register (RR), Bayesian Network (BN), and Project Time Networks (PTN) for dynamic project monitoring. RR is used to list and to categorize identified project risks. PTN is utilized for modeling the relationship between project activities. BN is used to reflect the interdependence among risk factors and to bridge RR and PTN. A residential development project is chosen as a working example and the result shows that the proposed framework has been successfully applied. The specific model of the development project is also successfully developed and is used to monitor the project progress. It is shown in this study that the proposed BN-based model provides superior performance in terms of forecast accuracy compared to the extant models.

Copyrights © 2015






Journal Info

Abbrev

ind

Publisher

Subject

Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering

Description

Jurnal Teknik Industri aims to: Promote a comprehensive approach to the application of industrial engineering in industries as well as incorporating viewpoints of different disciplines in industrial engineering. Strengthen academic exchange with other institutions. Encourage scientist, practicing ...