Indonesian Journal of Geography
Vol 47, No 2 (2015): Indonesian Journal of Geography

Climate Change Dynamics and Imperatives for Food Security in Nigeria

Olumide D. Onafeso (Department of Geography and Regional Planning, Olabisi Onabanjo University, Ago-Iwoye, Nigeria)
Cornelius O. Akanni (Department of Geography and Regional Planning, Olabisi Onabanjo University, Ago-Iwoye, Nigeria)
Bamidele A. Badejo (Department of Geography and Regional Planning, Olabisi Onabanjo University, Ago-Iwoye, Nigeria)



Article Info

Publish Date
18 Feb 2016

Abstract

Decadal variability in African rainfall is projected from General Circulation Models (GCMs) to continue under elevated greenhouse gas scenarios. Effects on rain intensity, spatio-temporal variability of growing seasons, flooding, drought, and land-use change impose feedbacks at regional-local scales. Yet, empirical knowledge of associated impacts on crop yield is limited; thus, we examined the imperatives for food security in Nigeria. Bivariate correlation and multiple regression suggests impending drought in the northern region where livestock farming is predominant. Relative contributions of climate independent variables in determining crop yield by backward selection procedures with stepwise approach indexed the impacts of annual climate variability by a parameter computed as annual yield minus mean annual yield divided by the standard deviation. Results show Z-distribution approximately 5 to + 5, when < 3 or > 3 indicate impacts significant at 95% confidence levels. In conclusion, we established the interwoven relationship between climatic change and food security.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ijg

Publisher

Subject

Earth & Planetary Sciences

Description

Indonesian Journal of Geography ISSN 2354-9114 (online), ISSN 0024-9521 (print) is an international journal of Geography published by the Faculty of Geography, Universitas Gadjah Mada in collaboration with The Indonesian Geographers Association. Our scope of publications includes physical geography, ...