Jurnal Sains Teknologi dan Lingkungan (JSTL)
Vol. 5 No. 2 (2019): JURNAL SAINS TEKNOLOGI & LINGKUNGAN

Model Runtut waktu untuk Peramalan Indeks Kekeringan Daerah Lombok Utara

Humairo Saidah (Fakultas Teknik, Universitas Mataram)
I Wayan Yasa (Fakultas Teknik, Universitas Mataram)
Muh. Bagus Budianto (Fakultas Teknik, Universitas Mataram)
Syamsul Hidayat (Fakultas Teknik, Universitas Mataram)
I.D.G Jayanegara (Fakultas Teknik, Universitas Mataram)



Article Info

Publish Date
27 Dec 2019

Abstract

PDSI is the drought index method which has good accuracy to be applied in Lombok Island. However, this method is only able to hindcast the drought without any procedure to predict the drought index in the future. So, this model aims to recognize the characteristics of drought in North Lombok for early mitigation and anticipating drought disasters purposes in this region. The results obtained from this study are that the drought pattern in North Lombok has the SARIMA model of (0,1,2) (0,1,1)12. The drought in North Lombok mainly occurs between May-October with an increasing of drought index tends for over last 20 years.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jstl

Publisher

Subject

Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Computer Science & IT Public Health

Description

Jurnal Sains Teknologi dan Lingkungan (JSTL), merupakan media untuk publikasi tulisan asli yang berkaitan dengan sains teknologi dan lingkungan baik dalam Bahasa Indonesia maupun Bahasa Inggris. Jurnal Sains Teknologi dan Lingkungan (JSTL) merupakan jurnal ilmiah terbitan berkala dua kali setahun ...