EVOLUSI : Jurnal Sains dan Manajemen
Vol 8, No 1 (2020): Jurnal Evolusi 2020

Implementasi Metode Triple Exponential Smoothing Untuk Prediksi Penjualan Alat Kesehatan

Ratih Yulia Hayuningtyas (STMIK Nusa Mandiri)



Article Info

Publish Date
15 Mar 2020

Abstract

Easy Touch Kolestrol Strip is one of medical device sought after medical device by medical staff and pharmacies because it is very helpful in checking health. The large demand for these goods, so that the stock of goods becomes out of control and there is an increase in demand at certain times resulting in customer needs not fulfilled. The incraese in demand occurs because there is no estimated number of sales, so there is a need to review the number of sales. For this reason, a forecasting method is needed that can provide a forecast value of the number of goods sold in the following month. In this study, the Triple Exponential Smoothing method uses alpha constants from 0,1 to 0,5. The results of this test produce the smallest error value by looking at Mean Absolute Deviation, Mean Square Error, and Mean Absolute Percentage Error. The smallest error value obtained from the alpha constant value of 0,1 with a MAPE result of 0,33%.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

evolusi

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

The aim of this journal is to publish high-quality articles dedicated to all aspects of the latest outstanding developments in the fields of science, management and informatics in all settings. The scope of this journal encompasses the applications of the development of science, computer science, ...