Jurnal Matematika: MANTIK
Vol. 3 No. 1 (2017): Mathematics and Applied Mathematics

Aplikasi Metode Singular Spectral Analysis (SSA) dalam Peramalan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia Tahun 2017

Rina Sri Kalsum Siregar (Universitas Padjajaran)
Dina Prariesa (Universitas Padjajaran, Bandung)
Gumgum Darmawan (Universitas Padjajaran, Bandung)

Article Info

Publish Date
26 Oct 2017

Abstract

The purpose of this study was to look at seasonal patterns in the data of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) quarterly in the year 2000-2016 and the implementation of Singular Spectral Analysis (SSA) in the data of GDP to predict the data of GDP in 2017. The SSA method used is the method of recurrent forecasting with bootstrap confidence interval to look at its beliefs of the interval. The source of data derived from the data of GDP in 2000-2016 with the base year in 2000 compiled by the Central Statistics Agency (CSA). The results showed that the SSA method can be used as a reliable method and can be valid that view from the value of MAPE size is 0.82 and the size of the tracking signal at -4.00.

Copyrights © 2017




Citation Download
RIS
EndNote, Reference Manager, ProCite
BibTex
Latex, Jabref
Full PDF
751.293 KB
Original Source
Download Original
Google Scholar
Check in Google Scholar
Journal Info
Jurnal Matematika: MANTIK
Website

Abbrev

mantik

Publisher

Universitas Islam Negeri Sunan Ampel

Subject

Mathematics

Description

Jurnal Matematika MANTIK is a mathematical journal published biannually by the Mathematics Department, Faculty of Science and Technology, UIN Sunan Ampel Surabaya. Journal includes research papers, literature studies, analysis, and problem-solving in Mathematics (Algebra, Analysis, Statistics, ...