IJCCS (Indonesian Journal of Computing and Cybernetics Systems)
Vol 5, No 2 (2011): July

A New Approach of Fuzzy-Wavelet Method’s Implementation in Time Series Analysis

Seng Hansun (Unknown)
Subanar Subanar (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Jul 2011

Abstract

      Abstract— Recently, many soft computing methods have been used and implemented in time series analysis. One of the methods is fuzzy hybrid model which has been designed and developed to improve the accuracy of time series prediction.      Popoola has developed a fuzzy hybrid model which using wavelet transformation as a pre-processing tool, and commonly known as fuzzy-wavelet method. In this thesis, a new approach of fuzzy-wavelet method has been introduced. If in Popoola’s fuzzy-wavelet, a fuzzy inference system is built for each decomposition data, then on the new approach only two fuzzy inference systems will be needed. By that way, the computation needed in time series analysis can be pressed.      The research is continued by making new software that can be used to analyze any given time series data based on the forecasting method applied. As a comparison there are three forecasting methods implemented on the software, i.e. fuzzy conventional method, Popoola’s fuzzy-wavelet, and the new approach of fuzzy-wavelet method. The software can be used in short-term forecasting (single-step forecast) and long-term forecasting. There are some limitation to the software, i.e. maximum data can be predicted is 300, maximum interval can be built is 7, and maximum transformation level can be used is 10. Furthermore, the accuracy and robustness of the proposed method will be compared to the other forecasting methods, so that can give us a brief description about the accuracy and robustness of the proposed method. Keywords—  fuzzy, wavelet, time series, soft computing

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ijccs

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering

Description

Indonesian Journal of Computing and Cybernetics Systems (IJCCS), a two times annually provides a forum for the full range of scholarly study . IJCCS focuses on advanced computational intelligence, including the synergetic integration of neural networks, fuzzy logic and eveolutionary computation, so ...