IJISTECH
Vol 1, No 1 (2017): November

Use of Binary Sigmoid Function And Linear Identity In Artificial Neural Networks For Forecasting Population Density

Anjar Wanto (STIKOM Tunas Bangsa Pematangsiantar)
Agus Perdana Windarto (STIKOM Tunas Bangsa Pematangsiantar)
Dedy Hartama (STIKOM Tunas Bangsa Pematangsiantar)
Iin Parlina (AMIK Tunas Bangsa Pematangsiantar)



Article Info

Publish Date
13 Nov 2017

Abstract

Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is often used to solve forecasting cases. As in this study. The artificial neural network used is with backpropagation algorithm. The study focused on cases concerning overcrowding forecasting based District in Simalungun in Indonesia in 2010-2015. The data source comes from the Central Bureau of Statistics of Simalungun Regency. The population density forecasting its future will be processed using backpropagation algorithm focused on binary sigmoid function (logsig) and a linear function of identity (purelin) with 5 network architecture model used the 3-5-1, 3-10-1, 3-5 -10-1, 3-5-15-1 and 3-10-15-1. Results from 5 to architectural models using Neural Networks Backpropagation with binary sigmoid function and identity functions vary greatly, but the best is 3-5-1 models with an accuracy of 94%, MSE, and the epoch 0.0025448 6843 iterations. Thus, the use of binary sigmoid activation function (logsig) and the identity function (purelin) on Backpropagation Neural Networks for forecasting the population density is very good, as evidenced by the high accuracy results achieved.

Copyrights © 2017






Journal Info

Abbrev

ijistech

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering Social Sciences

Description

IJISTECH (International Journal of Information System & Technology) has changed the number of publications to six times a year from volume 5, number 1, 2021 (June, August, October, December, February, and April) and has made modifications to administrative data on the URL LIPI Page: ...