Jambura Geoscience Review
Vol 3, No 1 (2021): Jambura Geoscience Review (JGEOSREV)

Koreksi Bias Statistik Pada Data Prediksi Suhu Permukaan Air Laut Di Wilayah Indian Ocean Dipole Barat Dan Timur

Mohamad Khoirun Najib (Departemen Matematika, IPB University, Jl. Meranti, Bogor 16680)
Sri Nurdiati (Departemen Matematika, IPB University, Jl. Meranti, Bogor 16680, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
19 Jan 2021

Abstract

The IOD can be measured using the Dipole Mode Index (DMI) which is calculated based on the sea surface temperature in the Indian Ocean. Therefore, DMI can be predicted using sea surface temperature forecasting data, such as data provided by the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). However, the data still has a bias as compared to the actual data, so to get a more accurate prediction, corrected data is needed. Therefore, the aim of this study is to predict DMI based on sea surface temperature forecasting data that has been corrected for bias using the quantile mapping method, a method that connects the distribution of forecasting and actual data. The results showed that the DMI prediction using corrected data was more accurate than the DMI prediction using ECMWF data. DMI predictions using corrected data have high accuracy to predict IOD events in October-April.

Copyrights © 2021






Journal Info

Abbrev

jgeosrev

Publisher

Subject

Earth & Planetary Sciences

Description

Jambura Geoscience Review (JGEOSREV, P-ISSN: 2623-0682, E-ISSN: 2656-0380) is an open-access journal, which publishes original papers about all aspects of the Earth and Geosciences. This comprises the solid earth, the atmosphere, the hydrosphere, and the biosphere. In addition, it provides a ...