Telematika
Vol 14, No 1: February (2021)

Local Sensitivity Analysis of COVID-19 Epidemic with Quarantine and Isolation using Normalized Index

Muhammad Abdurrahman Rois (Brawijaya University)
Trisilowati Trisilowati (Brawijaya University)
Ummu Habibah (Brawijaya University)



Article Info

Publish Date
28 Feb 2021

Abstract

This study discusses the sensitivity analysis of parameters, namely the COVID-19 model, by dividing the population into seven subpopulations: susceptible, exposed, symptomatic infection, asymptomatic infection, quarantine, isolation, and recovered. The solution to the ordinary differential equation for the COVID-19 model using the fourth-order Runge-Kutta numerical method explains that COVID-19 is endemic, as evidenced by the basic reproduction number (R0) of 7.5. It means 1 individual can infect 7 to 8 individuals. Then  is calculated using the next-generation matrix method. Based on the value of R0, a parameter sensitivity analysis is implemented to specify the most influential parameters in the spread of the COVID-19 outbreak. This can provide input on the selection of appropriate control measures to solve the epidemic from COVID-19. The results of the sensitivity analysis are the parameters that have the most influence on the model.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

TELEMATIKA

Publisher

Subject

Education

Description

Jl. Letjend Pol. Soemarto No.126, Watumas, Purwanegara, Kec. Purwokerto Utara, Kabupaten Banyumas, Jawa Tengah ...