Jurnal Absis : Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika dan Matematika
Vol. 3 No. 2 (2021): Jurnal Absis

Metode ARIMA untuk Memodelkan Volume Produksi Kelapa Sawit pada PT. SOCFINDO di Kabupaten Aceh Tamiang

Wiwin Apriani (Universitas Almuslim)
Rahmi Hayati (Universitas Almuslim)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Apr 2021

Abstract

This study aims to create a mathematical model that can be used to predict the amount of oil palm that will be produced at PT. Socfindo in Aceh Tamiang Regency in the coming period. The data used is data on the amount of oil palm that is ready to be produced every month in 2012-2015. The method used is the ARIMA method. The selection of this method is based on the data used, namely time series data. Before carrying out further testing, first, ensure that the data used meets the stationary state. From the test results, it is found that the data used fulfills the stationary state, then it is found that the MA (1) model can be used to predict the time series data. Furthermore, we obtain a model that can be used to predict the volume of oil palm production at PT. Socfindo is: Z_t = a_t-0.4096a_ (t-1) +521.57 With a_t ~ N (0; 29192.72)

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Journal Info

Abbrev

absis

Publisher

Subject

Mathematics

Description

Jurnal Absis adalah jurnal penelitian yang dikelola oleh program studi Pendidikan Matematika Universitas Pasir Pengaraian. Absis diambil dari istilah matematika yang merupakan jarak titik terhadap sumbu tegak. Jurnal Absis memuat artikel hasil penelitian atau kajian literatur dalam bidang pendidikan ...