Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Vol 12, No 2 (2011): JEP Desember 2011

EL NINO, LA NINA, DAN PENAWARAN PANGAN DI JAWA, INDONESIA

Utami, Arini Wahyu ( Jurusan Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Gadjah Mada Jalan Flora Nomor 1 Bulaksumur Yogyakarta 55281, Telepon/Fax. +62-0274-516656)
Jamhari, Jamhari ( Jurusan Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Gadjah Mada Jalan Flora Nomor 1 Bulaksumur Yogyakarta 55281, Telepon/Fax. +62-0274-516656)
Hardyastuti, Suhatmini ( Jurusan Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Gadjah Mada Jalan Flora Nomor 1 Bulaksumur Yogyakarta 55281, Telepon/Fax. +62-0274-516656)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Dec 2011

Abstract

Paddy and maize are two important food crops in Indonesia and mainly produced in Java Island. This research aimed to know the impact of El Nino and La Nina on paddy and maize farmer’s supply in Java. Cross sectional data from four provinces in Java was combined with time series data during 1987-2006. Paddy supply was estimated using log model, while maize supply used autoregressive model; each was estimated using two types of regression function. First, it included dummy variable of El Nino and La Nina to know their influence into paddy and maize supply. Second, Southern Oscillation Index was used to analyze the supply changing when El Nino or La Nina occur. The result showed that El Nino and La Nina did not influence paddy supply, while La Nina influenced maize supply in Java. Maize supply increased when La Nina occurred.

Copyrights © 2011






Journal Info

Abbrev

JEP

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan is a scientific journal that contains the results of theoretical research and studies on economic and development issues. Managed by Department of Development Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business Universitas Muhammadiyah ...