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INDONESIA
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi
Published by Universitas Negeri Padang
ISSN : -     EISSN : -     DOI : -
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
Arjuna Subject : -
Articles 15 Documents
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Search results for , issue "Vol 2, No 4 (2014)" : 15 Documents clear
ANALISIS PRODUKSI, EKSPOR TEMBAGA INDONESIA KE JEPANG DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI SEKTOR PERTAMBANGANINDONESIA Darwin, Ranti; Aimon, Hasdi; Syofyan, Efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 4 (2014)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

The study aims to determine and analyze (1)the influence of price of copper, interest rate, domestic consumption of  copper,capital and exports to  copper production,(2) the influence of price of copper, interest rate, consumption domestic of copper, GDP Japan and copper production to exports,(3) the influence of domestic consumption of  copper, capital and exports to Indonesian economic growthin mining sector,(4)Prospect the exports of copper Indonesian to Japan in 2014-2019 to Indonesian economic growthin mining sector. This study utilize a model of simultaneous equation by means of Two-Stage Least Square (TSLS) from 1979-2011. The study concluded that (1) price of copper, interest rate, domestic consumption of copper, capital and exports significantly affect the copper production.(2) price of copper, interest rate, domestic consumption of  copper, GDP Jepang and copper productionsignificantly affect the exports.(3) domestic consumption of  copper, capital and exports significantly affect the Indonesian economic growth in mining sector. (4) Prospect the exports of copper Indonesian to Japan in 2014-2019 have significantly affect the Indonesian economic growthin mining sector. Keyword: Price Of Copper, Interest Rate, Domestic Consumption Of  Copper, GDP Japan, Capital, Copper Production, Exports and Indonesian Economic Growthin mining sector.
THE EFFECT OF OIL REVENUES AND MONETARY STABILITY AGAINST MANUFACTURING SECTOR AND EXCHANGE RATES IN INDONESIA Zulkifli Zulkifli; Idris Idris; Hasdi Aimon
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 4 (2014)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This article focused on analyze (1) the effect of oil production, fuel consumption, oil prices, exports and imports of oil and the rate of inflation affects income in the Indonesian manufacturing sector, (2) the effect of manufacturing revenues, the money supply, rate interest, rate of inflation, exports and imports of oil and oil prices affect the rupiah. This research is descriptive and associative. While this type of data is the documentary data, the data source is a secondary data as well as data in the form of time series of quarter one 2000 to quarter four of 2012. This study uses a simultaneous equation model analysis tools in the form of least squares (LS). Endogenous variables in this study the manufacturing sector revenues and the rupiah whereas exogenous variable is oil production, fuel consumption, oil prices, oil exports, oil imports, inflation rates, interest rates and the money supply The study concluded that ( 1 ) the production of crude oil , oil exports and inflation rate is statistically significant and negative to earnings in the Indonesian manufacturing sector , fuel consumption and oil imports significant and positive impact on revenues statistically processing industry in Indonesia , whereas no significant effect on the price of oil and has a statistically positive direction to the manufacturing sector revenues in Indonesia . ( 2 ) the export of oil and oil prices and the negative effect is statistically significant against the rupiah . But the money supply effect is statistically significant and positive against the rupiah , oil imports , interest rates and income do not affect the manufacturing sector is statistically significant and negative against the rupiah , while the inflation rate has no effect is statistically significant and positive exchange Rupiah . Based on the results of these studies can be recommended policies include the government should reduce the consumption of fossil fuels by finding new alternative energy. Although this policy is not popular but the government must revoke the fuel subsidy, in addition to reducing the burden on the state will also have an impact on the reduction of congestion and air pollution. Indonesian government through the banks should maintain exchange rate stability, as the rupiah will reflect the state of the domestic economy. Keywords : manufacturing revenue, exchange rate
ANALISIS INVESTASI DAN PENDAPATAN DAERAH SUMATERA UTARA Siregar, Enni Sari; Wardi, Yunia; Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 4 (2014)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This article focused on analyze (1) Effect of the income, interest rates, government expenditure, and inflation to investment in North Sumatera. (2) The influence of investment, government expenditure, inflation, money supply, and tax on the income in North Sumatera. Data used time series of 1982 - 2012. This article use analyzer model equation of simultaneous with method of Two Stage Least Squared (TSLS). The result of research concludes that (1) the income have a significant and positive impact on the investment, interest rates have significant and negatively impact on the investment, government expenditure significantly and positive on the investment, while inflation is not significant and negative effect on the investment in North Sumatera. If income increases, the investment will also increase. If interest rates increases, the investment will decreases, and If government expenditure increases, the investment will increases. (2) the investment have a significant and positive impact on the income, government expenditure is not significant and positive on the income, the money supply have significant and positive impact on the income, and tax have significant and negatively impact on the income in North Sumatera. If investment increases, the income will also increase,  if the money supply increase, the income will increase, and then if the tax increase, the income will decreases. Keywords :interest rates, goverment expenditure, inflation, the money supply, tax, income and investment
PENGARUH KEBIJAKAN FISKAL DAN MONETER TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI PROVINSI JAMBI Mahdi, Mahdi; Aimon, Hasdi; Syofyan, Efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 4 (2014)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze and determine the effect of: (1) government spending on economic growth Jambi province, (2) taxes on economic growth Jambi, (3) the money supply to economic growth Jambi and (4) interest rates on economic growth Jambi province.. This research uses the methods of analysis tools Ordinary Least Squared (OLS). The dependent variable in the study of economic growth. While the independent variable in this study is government spending, taxes, the money supply and interest rates. The research concludes that (1) government spending significant and positive impact on economic growth of Jambi Province. (2) taxes affect economic growth Jambi significantly and negatively. (3) the money supply is also a positive effect on economic growth signifikandan Jambi Province. (4) interest rates affect economic growth Jambi significantly and negatively. Based on these results the policies that can be advised Local Government (LG) is the need for local government or policy makers efforts by increasing government spending (Expansionary Fiscal Policy). The Government is expected to set the proper allocation of tax so as not to weaken the purchasing power of consumers. The Government is expected to set the proper allocation of tax so as not to weaken the purchasing power of consumers. Local government and Bank Indonesia in order to maintain liquidity or the availability of money in the economy Jambi. Government along the banks especially Bank Indonesia in order to maintain a healthy rate so it does not impact on the decline in the interest of investors to invest. Keyword : Fiscal Policy, Moneter Policy, Government Expenditure, Tax, Money Supply, Interest Rate
ANALISIS PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI, DAN INDEKS HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN DI INDONESIA Juita, Popy Citra; Wardi, Yunia; Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 4 (2014)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze (1) Influence of investment, inflation and the exchange rate of the economic growth in Indonesia. (2) Effect of exchange rate, money supply, interest rates and economic growth SBI on stock prices in Indonesia. This study uses a simultaneous equation model analysis tools using Indirect Least Squares (ILS). The study concluded that (1) investment and exchange rate jointly significant effect on economic growth in Indonesia, while inflation is not significant and negative effect on economic growth in Indonesia. (2) the exchange rate, money supply, interest rate SBI and economic pertunbuhan significant effect on stock price index in Indonesia. This study only uses five macroeconomic variables, so that further research needs to find other macroeconomic variables that presumably affect the economic growth and stock prices. Keywords:investment,inflation,exchange rate,money supply,interest rate,economic growth and stock prices
ANALISIS PENGARUH KEBIJAKAN MONETER TERHADAP INFLASI DAN PEREKONOMIAN DI INDONESIA Amrini, yassirli; Aimon, Hasdi; Syofyan, Efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 4 (2014)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This article focused on analyze (1) Effect of the money supply, money supply of previous period,  the SBI (Central Bank Sertificate) rate, exchange rate, and economy to inflation in Indonesia (2) The influence of inflation, domestic investment, domestic investment of previous period, foreign invesment, foreign invesment of previous period, and labor to economy in Indonesia. Data used time series of (I year kuartal 2000 – IV year kuartal 2011). This article use analyzer model equation of simultaneous with method of Two Stage Least Squared (TSLS) The result of research concludes that (1) the money supply have a significant and positive impact on the inflation, the money supply of previous period have a significant and positive impact on the inflation, the SBI rate have significant and negative impact on the inflation, the exchange rate have significant and positive impact on the inflation. While the economy is not significant and positive impact on the inflation. If the money supply increase, the inflation will appreciate. If the money supply of previous period increase, the inflation will also appreciate. If the the SBI rate increase, the inflation will depreciate. If the exchange rate increase, the inflation will appreciate. If the economy increase, the inflation will appreciate. (2) The domestic investment, domestic investment of previous period, foreign invesment, foreign invesment of previous period, and labor significantly influence the economy in Indonesia, while the inflation is not significant on the economy in Indonesia. Keywords : Money supply, the SBI (Central Bank Sertificate) rate, exchange rate, economy,, inflation, domestic investment, foreign invesment, and labor
PERENCANAAN PETERNAKAN SAPI POTONG DAN KAITANNYA DENGAN PEMBANGUNAN WILAYAH DI KOTA SAWAHLUNTO Oktarifah, Dissa; Idris, Idris; Syofyan, Efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 4 (2014)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This research has purpose for (1) To know and analize the possible of beef cattle business become basic sector in being a catch with development of Sawahlunto. (2) To knowthe advisability of beef cattle business in being a catch with development of Sawahlunto. (3) To arrange the planning of expanding the straregy of beef cattle business in being a catch with develoment of Sawahlunto in 2013-2018. This kind of research is descriptif source of data is primer and scunder data. The technique of collecting data in this research is primer data that is obtaimed by direct interview of breeder that is being of research sample. While scunder data is obtaimed from organization or institution that is interalated. While data analisis that is used is analisis location quation (LQ), income multiplier and labour multiplier, analisis B/C ratio, BEP, analisis Net Present Value (NPV), analisis Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and analisis SWOT. The outcome of the research concludes that (1) From calculation product LQ is obtaimed value LQ > 1, indicate that cattle beef business in Sawahlunto is potential for being expanded, income multiplier and labour multiplier, community of RTP from beef cattle selling, selling of waste and income of manpower is the sector that is having multiple income rate RTP that give big contribute in national developing special in Sawahlunto. (2) Calculation product is obtaimed B/C ratio is 1,228, indicate that B/C ratio > 1, so according to economics is suitable for being expanded in Sawahlunto. Then if seen from IRR value is 21,006% and bigger than interes red as big as 12%. It means that economical, beef cattle business is advisability to be expanded. (3) The result of SWOT analize in expanding beef cattle business in Sawahlunto can be created strategy for expanding in :To increase the total of beef cattle population giving more illumination and following training in beef cattle business, to complete coals of controllong meet import and prospective cow and to raise knowledge and giving training program for breeder. Keywords: Beef cattle, the advisabilty of business, development Strategy.
ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI TINGKAT INFLASI DAN KINERJA PEREKONOMIAN DI INDONESIA Mulvita, Loly; Amar, Syamsul; Idris, Idris
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 4 (2014)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze and determine (1) the influence of the economy, interest rates, money supply, government spending and wages on inflation in Indonesia, (2) the effects of inflation, government spending, taxes, and wages on the economy in Indonesia. Type of data is the documentary data, the data source is a secondary data as well as data in the form of time series from the first quarter of 2000 - the fourth quarter of 2012. This study uses a simultaneous equation model analysis tool with Two Stages Least Squared method (TSLS). Endogenous variables in the study was the economy and inflation. And exogenous variable is government spending, tax, interest rate, money supply and wage. The research concludes that (1) the Economy, interest rates, money supply, government spending and wage on inflation in Indonesia affected significantly. (2) inflation, government spending, taxes have a significant effect on the economy in Indonesia. However, the study does not affect wages in the economy significantly. Based on the results of the discussion, Governments and Bank Indonesia is expected to maintain the stability of prices and restrained inflation range in order to maintain macroeconomic stability Indonesia. The policies that can be suggested is Bank Indonesia needs to conduct monetary policy gradually and consistently setting interest rates in order to control the money supply and the inflation rate. Required effort or government policy makers to be able to continue to increase in Indonesia's economy by increasing government spending (Expansionary Fiscal Policy) which aimed at the improvement of development expenditure. Keywords: economy, inflation, government spending, tax, interest rate, money supply and wage.
ANALISIS PERUBAHAN KURS RUPIAH TERHADAP DOLLAR AMERIKA Wati, Yeni
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 4 (2014)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

The research aims to identify and analyze (1) effect of inflation to the fluctuation of Rupiah exchange rate against US dollar  and (2) effect of interest rate to the  fluctuation of Rupiah exchange rate against US dollar.  Data used in the research are quarterly time series data, namely in period from 1998-II to 2012-.IV. The analysis tools used in this research are multivariate linear regression. The result of this research concluded that the variables of inflation have significant and negative impact to rupiah exchange rate against US dollar. Variable interest rate have significant and positive impact to rupiah exchange rate. Policy implications of the result of this study are Bank Indonesia as monetary authorities need to be careful in raising the BI rate as measures to prevent collapse of the rupiah against USD.Bank Indonesia also needs to pay attention to the inflation rate can affect the growth rate of the economy and the exchange rate in relation to trade with foreign countries.
Analisis Permintaan Uang di Indonesia Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 4 (2014)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study was foscused on demand for money (narrow and broad money). The demand for money is a function of riel nation income, interest, inflation adn lag demand for money. data used are time series (1980-2009) and being analysed with "demand for money samudram approprite with economics theory, the demand for many M2 is only riel nation income with signification but not the other. this condition was estimated based on; (1) community of Indonesia has not bank minded yet, (2) community of Indosesia only a little intrest on demanding mony for speculation objective, and (3) the money crisis problem hasn't finished yet

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