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Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi
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Articles 65 Documents
ANALISIS PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI, INVESTASI, DAN KONSUMSI DI INDONESIA Ernita, Dewi; Amar, Syamsul; Syofyan, Efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 2 (2013)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

ABSTRACT This study aims to analyze (1) Effect of consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports to economic growth in Indonesia, (2) Effect of interest rates, inflation, and economic growth to investment in Indonesia, (3) Effect of disposable income, consumption previously, and the interest  rate on consumption in Indonesia. Data in the form of time series of the first quarter of 2001 to the fourth quarter of 2010. This study using a simultaneous equations model analysis in the form of Two Stage Least Square (2 SLS). The research concludes that (1) consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports have a significant and positive impact on economic growth in Indonesia. If the consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports increased, economic growth will also increase. (2) Interest rates have a significant and negative effect on investment in Indonesia, while inflation is significant and negative effect on investment in Indonesia. If interest  rates and inflation down the investment will rise, while economic growth in significant and positive impact on investment in Indonesia. (3) Disposable income and consumption before significant positive impact on consumption in Indonesia. If disposable income and consumption increases, consumer spending earlier will also increase. And interest rates have a significant negative effect on consumption in Indonesia. Keywords : Government Spending, Net Exports, Interest Rates, inflation,   Disposable Income, Consumption Previously,  Economic Growth,  Investment, and Consumption
ANALISIS PENGARUH KEBIJAKAN MONETER TERHADAP INFLASI DAN PEREKONOMIAN DI INDONESIA Amrini, yassirli; Aimon, Hasdi; Syofyan, Efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 4 (2014)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This article focused on analyze (1) Effect of the money supply, money supply of previous period,  the SBI (Central Bank Sertificate) rate, exchange rate, and economy to inflation in Indonesia (2) The influence of inflation, domestic investment, domestic investment of previous period, foreign invesment, foreign invesment of previous period, and labor to economy in Indonesia. Data used time series of (I year kuartal 2000 – IV year kuartal 2011). This article use analyzer model equation of simultaneous with method of Two Stage Least Squared (TSLS) The result of research concludes that (1) the money supply have a significant and positive impact on the inflation, the money supply of previous period have a significant and positive impact on the inflation, the SBI rate have significant and negative impact on the inflation, the exchange rate have significant and positive impact on the inflation. While the economy is not significant and positive impact on the inflation. If the money supply increase, the inflation will appreciate. If the money supply of previous period increase, the inflation will also appreciate. If the the SBI rate increase, the inflation will depreciate. If the exchange rate increase, the inflation will appreciate. If the economy increase, the inflation will appreciate. (2) The domestic investment, domestic investment of previous period, foreign invesment, foreign invesment of previous period, and labor significantly influence the economy in Indonesia, while the inflation is not significant on the economy in Indonesia. Keywords : Money supply, the SBI (Central Bank Sertificate) rate, exchange rate, economy,, inflation, domestic investment, foreign invesment, and labor
ANALISIS PENDAPATAN ASLI DAERAH DAN DANA PERIMBANGAN TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI KABUPATEN KOTA DI SUMATERA BARAT Aimon, Hasdi; Putra, Rova Luarta
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 4, No 7 (2015): JuRNAL KAJIAN EKONOMI
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

The study explained the effects of the original income of region on economic growth; and equilibrium funds (general allocation funds and special allocation funds) on regencies and city economic growth in West Sumatera.The type of research is the study causative. The data was conducted in 12th regencies and 7th cities in West Sumatra and time series 2009 to 2013. The analysis used Regression Panel Model (Pooled Analysis). The result show that the original income of region and general allocation funds significantly effect on economic growth, but Special allocation funds had no significant effect with the negative direction on regencies and city economic growth in West Sumatera. It’s recomended that the Government is explorated to the sources of revenues primarily to revenue (original income of region) because it’s a major source of financing that will to increase the economic growth of a region. Besides that, districts and cities in West Sumatra so much attention to the use of these funds, so that the assistance provided by the central government targeted and appropriate objectives was boost economic growth in each region.Keyword: Original income of region, Equilibrium funds, and Economic growth.
ANALISIS KONSUMSI DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI PROVINSI SUMATERA BARAT N, Nurhuda; Sentosa, Sri Ulfa; Idris, Idris
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 03 (2013): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh pertumbuhan ekonomi, konsumsi periode sebelumnya, pendapatan disposibel dan suku bunga terhadap konsumsi di Sumatera Barat  dan menganalisis pengaruh konsumsi, kapital dan tenaga kerja terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Sumatera Barat periode 2000 - 2011. Untuk mencapai tujuan tersebut digunakan analisis model persamaan simultan dengan metode Two Stages Least Square (TSLS). Hasil penelitian menemukan bahwa :1) pertumbuhan ekonomi, konsumsi periode sebelumnya, pendapatan disposibel, dan suku bunga secara bersama-sama berpengaruh signifikan terhadap konsumsi di Sumatera Barat. Akan tetapi secara parsial tingkat suku bunga tidak berpengaruh terhadap konsumsi.  2) konsumsi, kapital dan tenaga kerja baik secara bersama-sama maupun secara parsial berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Sumatera Barat. Implikasi kebijakan dari hasil penelitian ini adalah : Pemerintah Daerah Sumatera Barat perlu memberikan insentif terhadap sektor-sektor produktif atau sektor riil agar mampu meningkatkan produksi (ouput) sehingga akan berdampak terhadap peningkatan konsumsi dan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Kata Kunci: Konsumsi, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, konsumsi periode sebelumnya, pendapatan disposibel, suku bunga, kapital dan tenaga kerja
ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN KETIMPANGAN PENDAPATAN DI INDONESIA Putri, Yosi Eka; Amar, Syamsul; Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 3, No 6 (2015): Jurnal Kajian EKonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze and determine (1) the influence of the degree of fiscal autonomy, tax ratio and investment on economic growth in Indonesia, (2) the effect of economic growth, labor productivity, investment and human development index (HDI) against income inequality in Indonesia. This research is descriptive and associative. While the type of data is data documentary, the data source is a data panel started in 2008 - 2012 in 33 provinces in Indonesia with the amount of data (n) as much as 6 x 33 = 198. This study using simultaneous equation model analysis with Indirect Least Squared method (ILS) Common Effect. The study concluded that (1) degree of fiscal autonomy , tax ratio and  investment significant effect on economic growth in Indonesia. (2) variable economic growth, labor productivity, investment and Human Development Index (HDI) affect income inequality in Indonesia significantly. Based on the results of the discussion, the policies that can be suggested is the respective local government - each province is expected to maximize the role of fiscal decentralization to perform its functions effectively and efficiently. The trade off between economic growth in Indonesia by unequal distribution of income, the government is expected to focus on the target appropriate policies that spur growth by taking into account the distribution of income. Keywords: income inequality, economic growth, fiscal autonomy, tax ratio, labor productivity, investment, human development index
KONSUMSI DAN INVESTASI SERTA PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI SUMATERA BARAT Shandra, Yosi; Amar, Syamsul; Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 1 (2012)
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Abstract

ABSTRACT The analysis of aggregate consumption growth, investment and economic growth have been carried out in West Sumatra. The purpose of this study was to clarify   the   effect  of  consumption,      investment,    taxation,   government     spending, consumption   of   the   previous   period,   the   interest   rate   and   disposal   revenue   to GDP in West Sumatra. The study was conducted with descriptive and associative with the use of secondary data in the form of time series, 1994 -2010.  The results on    the   First  Hypothesis     suggests    that  the   development     of  consumption,      the development of investment and the development of government spending together influential     significantly   to   economic     growth.    Partially,    the development        of consumption and the growth of government spending significantly and positively to   affect   economic   growth,   then   the   development   of   a   positive   and   significant effect   of  investment     on  economic     growth.    In  the  Second    Hypothesis     together previous period consumption growth and development of disposibel income and significant    positive   impact    on  the  development      of  consumption.     Partially,   the previous period consumption growth and positive impact on the development of consumption   was   not   significant   and   influential   positive   revenue   development disposibel and significant to the development of consumption. Then on the Third Hypothesis jointly the credit interest rate of investment and economic growth has no   effect   on   the   development   of   significant   investment.   Partially,   credit   interest rates negatively and significant investment toward the development of investment and economic growth has positive influence on   the development and significant investment. The Fourth Hypothesis proved to be influential economic growth on the   development   of   the   tax   was   not   significant   in   West   Sumatra. Government efforts   need   to   be   able   to   continue   to   increase   government   spending   or   reduce taxes by increasing the production of regional output. In addition to government efforts are needed to further improve the quality of human resources by providing education      and   training,   scholarships    and   employment      opportunities     in  labor- intensive   system.   To   overcome   the     problem   of    development     of  investment    the government needs to take expansionary monetary action is by controlling interest rates in order to increase investment development. Key words : consumption, investation, government spending, economic growth
ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI NET EKSPOR DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI PROVINSI JAMBI Putra, Sev Eka; Amar, Syamsul; Syofyan, Efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 3, No 05 (2014): Kajian Ilmu EKonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze (1) Effect of consumption, investment, government spending and net exports to economic growth in Jambi and (2) Effect of production value, exchange rate, foreign income and net exports to economic growth in the province of Jambi. This research is a descriptive study and associative, while the data is the data type of the documentary, the data source is a secondary data as well as data in the form of time series of the first quarter of 2001 to the fourth quarter of 2010. This study using a simultaneous equations model analysis in the form of Two Stage Least Square (2 SLS). Endogenous variables in this study are economic growth and net exports. While the exogenous variables are consumption, investment, government spending, the amount of production, exchange rates and foreign income. The research concludes that (1) the consumption of a significant and positive impact on economic growth, investing a significant and positive impact on economic growth, government spending have a significant and positive impact on economic growth and net exports have a significant and positive impact on economic growth in the province of Jambi. If consumption increases, economic growth will also increase. If the increased investment, economic growth will also increase. If increased government spending, economic growth will increase. (2)  production value and a significant positive impact on net exports, exchange rates have a significant and negative effect on net exports and economic growth have a significant and positive impact on net exports in Jambi Province. While foreign income is not significant and positive impact on net exports in Jambi Province. Keywords : Consumption, Investation, goverment spending, production, exchange rate, foreign income, net exsports and economic growt.
ANALISIS KONSUMSI MASYARAKAT DI INDONESIA Parsaulian, Baginda; Aimon, Hasdi; Anis, Ali
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 2 (2013)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

ABSTRACT The purpose of this study to identify and analyze: (1) consumption of the previous period, the current period disposable income and disposable income previous period on the level of consumption in Indonesia (2) the current period disposable income, disposable income of the previous period, the consumption of the current period, consumption and interest rates on saving the current period in Indonesia (3) inflation and money supply current period the interest rate in Indonesia (4) income taxes in the current period against Indonesia. The results showed (1) there is a significant effect between the consumption of the previous period, disposable income of the current period and disposable income together the level of consumption in Indonesia. (2) There is a significant effect between the current period disposable income, disposable income of the previous period, the current period consumption, the consumption of the previous period and current period interest together towards savings in Indonesia. (3) There is significant inflation period between now and the money supply current period jointly against interest rate in Indonesia. (4) There is a significant effect between the current period income tax in Indonesia. Keywords Consumption, Disposable Income, Interest Rates, Saving, Money Supply, Income Taxes and Inflation
Analisis Permintaan Uang di Indonesia Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 4 (2014)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study was foscused on demand for money (narrow and broad money). The demand for money is a function of riel nation income, interest, inflation adn lag demand for money. data used are time series (1980-2009) and being analysed with "demand for money samudram approprite with economics theory, the demand for many M2 is only riel nation income with signification but not the other. this condition was estimated based on; (1) community of Indonesia has not bank minded yet, (2) community of Indosesia only a little intrest on demanding mony for speculation objective, and (3) the money crisis problem hasn't finished yet
THE EFFECT OF OIL REVENUES AND MONETARY STABILITY AGAINST MANUFACTURING SECTOR AND EXCHANGE RATES IN INDONESIA Zulkifli Zulkifli; Idris Idris; Hasdi Aimon
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 4 (2014)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This article focused on analyze (1) the effect of oil production, fuel consumption, oil prices, exports and imports of oil and the rate of inflation affects income in the Indonesian manufacturing sector, (2) the effect of manufacturing revenues, the money supply, rate interest, rate of inflation, exports and imports of oil and oil prices affect the rupiah. This research is descriptive and associative. While this type of data is the documentary data, the data source is a secondary data as well as data in the form of time series of quarter one 2000 to quarter four of 2012. This study uses a simultaneous equation model analysis tools in the form of least squares (LS). Endogenous variables in this study the manufacturing sector revenues and the rupiah whereas exogenous variable is oil production, fuel consumption, oil prices, oil exports, oil imports, inflation rates, interest rates and the money supply The study concluded that ( 1 ) the production of crude oil , oil exports and inflation rate is statistically significant and negative to earnings in the Indonesian manufacturing sector , fuel consumption and oil imports significant and positive impact on revenues statistically processing industry in Indonesia , whereas no significant effect on the price of oil and has a statistically positive direction to the manufacturing sector revenues in Indonesia . ( 2 ) the export of oil and oil prices and the negative effect is statistically significant against the rupiah . But the money supply effect is statistically significant and positive against the rupiah , oil imports , interest rates and income do not affect the manufacturing sector is statistically significant and negative against the rupiah , while the inflation rate has no effect is statistically significant and positive exchange Rupiah . Based on the results of these studies can be recommended policies include the government should reduce the consumption of fossil fuels by finding new alternative energy. Although this policy is not popular but the government must revoke the fuel subsidy, in addition to reducing the burden on the state will also have an impact on the reduction of congestion and air pollution. Indonesian government through the banks should maintain exchange rate stability, as the rupiah will reflect the state of the domestic economy. Keywords : manufacturing revenue, exchange rate