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JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN

jekp
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Published by Institut Pertanian Bogor

ISSN : 19795149 EISSN : 26862514 DOI : -

Core Subject : Economy,

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Jurnal ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan (JEKP) adalah jurnal yang berisi artikel-artikel meliputi hasil-hasil penelitian, analisis kebijakan, dan opini terkait perekonomian yang berkembang saat ini baik lingkup nasional maupun internasional. JEKP diterbitkan dua kali setiap tahunnya, yaitu periode Juli dan Desember.

Arjuna Subject : -

Articles 105 Documents

1 2 3 4 5

Identification of Premature Deindustrialization and Its Acceleration in Indonesia (Period 1986-2015) Vina Eka Andriyani; Tony Irawan
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 7 No 1 (2018): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

The increase of the manufacturing's share in GDP has reached its peak in the early 2000s while the growth rate of the manufacturing employment is relatively low. Both facts demonstrate that the process of industrialization has slowed down and an indication of deindustrialization in Indonesia. Deindustrialization that occurs in the countries with low GDP per capita is called premature deindustrialization. This study measures the rate of deindustrialization and identification of premature deindustrialization on period 1986- 2015. The result shows that the speed of deindustrialization varies between indicators and between islands. Descriptive analysis showed indication of premature deindustrialization in Indonesia. Keywords: Deindustrialization, Premature deindustrialization, Manufacturing, Indonesia JEL classification: L16, L50, L52, L60, O14, O25

Causality Analysis of Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Indonesia Debby Anggraeni; Tony Irawan
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 7 No 1 (2018): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

This study aims to investigate the relationship between PPI inflation and CPI inflation in Indonesia both in general and for each group of commodity, and to identify whether PPI inflation can be a leading indicator for CPI inflation or vice versa. This study employs Granger causality based on VAR model for monthly data series from January 2010 until August 2016. The results show that there are unidirectional relationship between PPI inflation and CPI inflation generally, bidirectional relationship from PPI inflation to CPI inflation for foodstuffs group, unidirectional from CPI inflation to PPI inflation for clothing group, and no causality between PPI inflation and CPI inflation for processed food, beverage, cigarette, and tobacco group.Keywords: Granger causality, producer price index, consumer price index, VAR JEL classification: E31, C22

Analisis Kinerja Perdagangan Indonesia ke Negara Potensial Benua Afrika Ade Ayu Fleury Amalina; Tanti Novianti; Alla Asmara
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 7 No 1 (2018): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Trade liberalization generates higher commodity export opportunities between countries. The export opportunities to the African countries are evidenced by the high average growth of the total export values from Indonesia to Africa in 2011-2016, amounting to 5.886%. The aim of this research is to determine the potential importing African countries through the identification of export value and share, evaluate the performance and trade integration between Indonesia and the African countries through RCA, EPD and IIT methods. The results showed that South Africa with commodities like HS 71, 15, 40, 87 and 84 and Egypt with HS 15, 55, 40, 48 and 84, could be potential export destinations for Indonesia in 2011-2016. The Indonesian HS 71, 15 and 40 commodities in South Africa and Egypt i.e. HS 15, 55, 40, and 48, face tremendous competitivity. The potential Indonesian commodities in the South African market with HS codes of 15, 84, and 87 were considered as Falling Star while HS 71 and 40 were in retreating position. The HS 15 and 55 in the Egyptian market were in the position of Falling Star, with HS 40, 48, and 84 in the Retreat position. In South Africa, the HS commodities 71, 15, 40 and HS 87 were weakly integrated while the HS 50 had a strong integration. Keywords: African, RCA, EPD, IIT JEL classification: C23, F10, F13

Analisis Pengembangan Ekspor Cengkeh Indonesia Ely Nurhayati; Sri Hartoyo; Sri Mulatsih
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 7 No 1 (2018): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Exports are an important component of the economy. The higher export performance, the greater positive impact on the economy. From 2012 to 2016, Indonesia's exports continue to decline, so Indonesia needs to boost its exports again. One of the potential commodities developed is cloves. This study analyzes the development of Indonesian clove exports by finding out the competitiveness of cloves, as well as factors affecting its exports. The methods used are RCA, EPD, X-Model, and Gravity. The results of the analysis found that an optimistic market developed is Pakistan, Germany, Italy and United State of America. Potential markets to be developed are Malaysia, Vietnam, Thailand, France and Netherlands markets. Factors affecting Indonesian clove exports are GDP per capita, export price, economic distance and tariff. Keywords: Clove, EPD, Export, Gravity Model, RCA JEL Classification: C23, F10, F13

Respon Return Pasar Modal Indonesia terhadap Kebijakan Moneter Domestik dan Asing Aulia Yulianti Wulandari; Noer Azam Achsani; Lukytawati Anggraeni
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 7 No 1 (2018): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Understanding the impact of external shocks on the stock market return and volatility is crucial for market participants as volatility is synonymous with risk. This paper provides comprehensive evidence on the spillover effects of the change of monetary policies from inside country and foreign origins on Indonesia stock market in the period of the time from November 2, 2012 to May 15, 2017. Used symmetric (IGARCH) and asymmetric (EGARCH and APARCH) GARCH model analysis to evaluate the impact of surprise and anticipated changes of monetary policies from inside country and foreign policies (from another ASEAN countries and leading economies, in this paper are United States, Europe, and United Kingdom). Surprise change of monetary policy is proxied by one day change in 3 months interbank offered rate, while anticipated change of monetary policy is proxied by one day change in target interest rate or policy rate. The result shows that information of the monetary policy news and Indonesia stock return is asymmetric. Indonesia stock market is only affected by foreign monetary policies. Keywords: ASEAN stock market, GARCH, Monetary policy JEL classification: C01, C50, E50

ANALISIS KEUNGGULAN KOMPARATIF DAN FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI KINERJA KOPERASI DI PULAU JAWA Adrian Tri Sasongko; Yeti Lis Purnamadewi; Sri Mulatsih
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 6 No 2 (2017): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Development of cooperatives is an important element that must be done in order to realize the national economic development because the cooperative able to accommodate the community in achieving the goal of improving the welfare of the people based on the principle of mutual cooperation. Differences in regional characteristics lead to diversity in the development and development of cooperatives. Java Island with rapid economic growth, able to build cooperatives in large numbers but the performance of cooperatives and growth is still fluctuating. Therefore, this study aims to determine the comparative advantage in cooperative development and analyze the factors that affect the performance of cooperatives in Java. This research uses secondary data with Method of Econometrika Data Panel and Method of Economic Performance Index of Regional Cooperation (PEKR Index). The results showed that the provinces of Central Java and Yogyakarta have a comparative advantage in the economic development of cooperatives in 2011-2015. Factors affecting the performance of the cooperative is the number of active cooperatives, the number of cooperative employees, own capital cooperatives and PDRB. Keywords: Comparative advantage, Cooperative, Performance, Panel data

ANALISIS FAKTOR EKSTERNAL DAN PERFORMANCE INDIKATOR BPRS INDONESIA TERHADAP PEMBIAYAAN SEKTOR PERDAGANGAN, HOTEL DAN RESTORAN Achmad Adhi Wiyono; Sri Mulatsih
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 6 No 2 (2017): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

The trade, hotels and restaurants sector is one of the economic sectors that have an important role in the growth of the national economy. However, the development of trade, hotels and restaurants are still not optimal, is evidenced by the continued decline in the proportion of financing in this sector. The main problem of the trade, hotels and restaurants in Indonesia is limited access to capital and the regulatory capital faced by the microfinance sector, so that the necessary role of the banking sector one of them through the BPRS. The purpose of this study to analyze performance indicators and external factors affecting BPRS financing for trade, hotels and restaurants in Indonesia. This study uses a model of Vector Error Correction with monthly data from January 2011 to July 2016. The results showed that the BI rate, inflation, PaR and DPK significant effect on the financing of trade, hotels and restaurants, whereas no significant effect Leverage. Keywords: BPRS, Financing, Performance, Trade hotel and restaurant.

ANALISIS DAYA SAING DAN FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMENGARUHI EKSPOR BAN INDONESIA KE KAWASAN AMERIKA LATIN Mia Ayu Wardani; Sri Mulatsih
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 6 No 1 (2017): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

The tire industry is an industry that has potential to increase Indonesian exports to non-traditional markets such as Latin America. The purpose of the study is to analyze the power of the comparative, competitive, and export dynamic of Indonesian tire and also the factors that affect the export of Indonesian tire to Latin America. The period of analysis used in this study is from 2009 to 2014 using the method of analysis are Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), Export Product Dynamic (EPD), Gravity models and Porter's Diamond. The results of this study are rubber tire Indonesia has strong competitiveness in Latin America than in the country of Argentina. In addition, the rubber tire Indonesia has a good export dynamics position (rising star) in the country of Panama, Venezuela, Uruguay, Mexico, Guatemala, and Costa Rica. Factors that affect the export of Indonesian rubber tire to Latin America is the distance economies, Indonesia's per capita real GDP, real GDP per capita of the destination country, the real exchange rate, and the population of the destination country.Keywords: Competitiveness, Gravity Model, Porter’s Diamond,Tire

DAMPAK TRANSFER FISKAL DAN BELANJA MODAL PEMERINTAH DAERAH TERHADAP PEREKONOMIAN SEKTORAL, KETIMPANGAN DAN KEMISKINAN DI INDONESIA Nor Qomariyah; Suharno Suharno; Dominicus Savio Priyarsono
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 5 No 2 (2016): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

National economic development goal is to improve the welfare of society and to create equitable distribution of income (Todaro and Smith, 2006). In other words, the success of economic development is indicated by the reduction of poverty and income inequality. Poverty is fundamental problem in the economic development of Indonesia and other developing countries in general. The main objectives of this study are to evaluate impacts of Infrastructural budgetary allocation on GDRP sectoral, inequality, and poverty in Indonesian provinces both in the areas where the contribution of the agricultural sector to GDRP is either high or low, in the era of fiscal decentralization. The dynamic simultaneous equation models were used in this study. It used pooled data of 2009-2013 and cross section data of 19 provinces where classified into two groups, based on the contribution of agriculture sector to the respective regional economy. The methode for parameter estimation used in this study was 2SLS. The result of the study showed that the budgetary allocation for infrastructure and agriculture increase the employment and the GRDP sectoral, decrease income inequality, and then reduce poverty both in the areas where the contribution of the agricultural sector to GRDP is either high or low. This study recomended that the central government should improve the injection of funds directly to the regions through a special allocation fund for infrastructure and agriculture as an effective impact on reducing poverty. Keywords: Economic growth, Inequalty, Infrastructure, Poverty, Specific allocation fund

FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMENGARUHI KEBERHASILAN REDENOMINASI Nur Siti Annazah; Bambang Juanda; Sri Mulatsih
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 6 No 2 (2017): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Redenomination is a simplification of the nominal value of the currency by reducing digits (zeros) without reducing the real value of the currency. The research was done because of the theoretical and empirical results are still a debate about the impact of redenomination policy on the economic perspective. This is due to the redenomination policy in each country has a different effect depending on economic conditions when redenomination is applied. The purpose of this study was to analyze the factors that influence the success of the redenomination of a country. Data used in the form of secondary data, historical data of 32 countries that have conducted redenomination. The analysis used is multiple regression. The results showed the better the condition of economic growth when redenomination is applied, it will lower inflation one year after the redenomination. Keywords: Economic growth, Inflation, Redenomination, Regression

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