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Quantitative Economics Journal
Published by Universitas Negeri Medan
ISSN : 20897847     EISSN : 20897995     DOI : 10.24114
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
This journal is contained with the articles that cover the economics area that derived from the research and engineering ideas that are quantitative. The viewers, authors and future authors that expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect the Department of Economics, Post Graduate Program, State University of Medan
Arjuna Subject : Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (semua kategori) - Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (Lain-Lain)
Articles 173 Documents
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SIMULASI PENGELUARAN PEMERINTAH DAN DAMPAKNYA TERHADAP KINERJA EKONOMI MAKRO: SUATU MODEL COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM Indra Maipita
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 1, No 2 (2012)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v1i2.17403

Abstract

This study analyzes the impact of increased government spending on macroeconomic performance, using AGEFIS; a Computable General Equilibrium Model. Simulations carried out with the three scenarios in the sector Construction, Electricity, and Land Transportation. The simulation results shows that, in general, an increase in government spending have a positive impact on macroeconomic performance and increase household income. increase in government spending in the Construction sector provides better impact on increasing household income compared with other sectors, while in the electricity sector have no effect
PERAN SEKTOR PERKEBUNAN DALAM PEREKONOMIAN SUMATERA UTARA Ina Namora Putri
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 3, No 3 (2014)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v3i3.17452

Abstract

The plantation are one of the sectors that are considered able to survive and make asignificant contribution in the post-crisis economic recovery. The purpose of thisstudy was to analyze the relationship plantation sector and the impact of theplantation sector gross output, labor and households in the economy in NorthSumatra. In measuring and analyzing the tables used are Social AccountingMatrix (SAM) or a Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) of North Sumatra. Inconnection table SAM North Sumatra province is not yet available, therefore inthis study was built tables SAM 1995 and 2009, the structure refers to theprocessed products which have been built by Ginting (2006). Based on the analysis it appears that the role of plantations in North Sumatra as indicated by the results obtained have power spread index greater (>1) means the plantation sector has the ability to attract growth in upstream sectors (backward linkages). In addition, this sector has a multiplier of gross output of more than three, which means when in the injection of one unit in this sector, then the resulting output has tripled over the breadth of the effect of forward and backward. And based on the order of rank, occupies five large estates.
VOLATILITAS INDEKS KOMPOSIT PASAR MODAL ASEAN-3 Anhar Fauzan Priyono
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 5, No 4 (2016)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v5i4.17490

Abstract

Rapid integration between domestic and world economy in the last decade has been a major issue. For Indonesia, the situation has been accelerated by the adoption of floating exchange rate regime in 1997, also with the development of Indonesia stock exchange. One notable financial variable that often exposed to external shocks is stock market index. This research will analyzed the behavior of 3 major stock market indices in ASEAN, those are Jakarta Composite Index (JCI), Kuala Lumpur stock index (KLSE), and Singapore stock index (STI). The employment of volatility model is chosen to figured the behavior of those 3 indices, and to analyze the aggregate investment in each stock market. Observation will be based upon monthly basis, from 2010 until 2015.The findings in this research are (i) similarity in the movement behavior of ASEAN-3 stock market indices, (ii) Indonesia stock market shows the highest aggregate investment return relative to Malaysia and Singapore, (iii) Singapore stock market shows the lowest aggregate investment risk relative to Indonesia and Malaysia, as the representation of more developed stock market.
Analisis Peran Pemuda dalam Pengembangan Koperasi di Kota Kisaran Mr Supandi
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 7, No 1 (2018)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v7i1.17552

Abstract

The objective of the research was to find out the development of cooperatives in Kisaran. The population was all youngsters who lived in Kisaran. The samples were 96 managers of cooperatives that were not youth and dwelled in two subdistricts: Kisaran Barat Subdistrict and Kisaran Timur Subdistrict according to Franck Lynch formula. The data were analyzed by using descriptive percentage analysis in order to find out the role of youth in the development of cooperatives in Kisaran and Shift Share method in order to find out the role of cooperatives in the development of Kisaran. The primary data were gathered by using questionnaires and secondary data were obtained from the related agencies such as the Cooperative, Industry, and Commerce Agency of Kisaran and Central Bureau of Statistics of Kisaran. The result of the descriptive percentage analysis shows as the Agent of Change, they are obliged to improve cooperatives and it is the thing which is done by youth(64.58%). As the Agent of Development, they play an active role in development of cooperatives (68.75%). As the Agent of Modernization, they productively active in marketing cooperatives (68.75%). Therefore, the role of youth influences the development of cooperatives in Kisaran. The result of Shift Share has Proportional shift (P) of 69.76877 which indicates that sub-sector of cooperatives in Asahan Regency has quicker growth than that in the sectors of industry, electricity, gas and drinking water, transportation and communication, and the other services in Kisaran and has Differential Shift (D) of 77.18951 which indicates that sub-sector of cooperatives in Asahan Regency has relatively higher competitiveness than that of the other sectors.
ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PENYERAPAN TENAGA KERJA SEKTOR INDUSTRI DI SUMATERA UTARA Dian Novianti Sitompul
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 1, No 4 (2012)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v1i4.17414

Abstract

North Sumatra is a province that has a fundamental problem of high unemployment. Judging from the years 1994-2010, overall pengengguran is the biggest challenge still facing the North Sumatra due to termination of employment due to the economic crisis, rising raw material prices significantly from the various sub-industries are incorporated in the manufacturing category. On the other hand the costs for labor and increase the added value of the resulting output is a condition that must be considered. This research aims to analyze the influence of GDP, the number of industries, inflation and the minimum wage on employment in the industrial sector of North Sumatra simultaneously and partially.The data used are secondary data sourced from North Sumatra Province namely BPS GDP variable, the number of industries, inflation, wages and employment industries in the province of North Sumatra as time series from 1994 till , 2010. Data analysis was performed using OLS (Ordinary Least Square) with multiple linear regression models estimated with the help of the program Eviews 5.1.The results of this research can be concluded that simultaneous simultaneously change the variable GDP, inflation, industrial, and UMR significantly affect the demand for industrial labor in the province of North Sumatra. Furthermore, partially concluded that GDP variable, and the number of positive effect on demand for industrial labor industry, while inflation and minimum wage variables negatively affect the demand for industrial labor in the province of North Sumatra.The results also showed that the most dominant variable effect on the demand for labor in the industrial sector of the province of North Sumatra is the number of industries.
ANALISIS HUBUNGAN ANTARA INFLASI DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI: KASUS INDONESIA Ismail Fahmi Lubis
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 3, No 1 (2014)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v3i1.17443

Abstract

The Phenomena and trends of level of inflation which seem to be high as caused by factors or government policies whilst the level of economic growth averagely shows high and sustainable growth drawing the unusual macroeconomic condition in Indonesia. This research is conducted to find Correlation and Short-run as well as Long-run relationship between inflation and economic in Indonesia during 1968-2012. Besides, it is to find Granger-Causality between the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It first tests its Unit-Root by Augmented Dickey Fuller and Dickey Fuller test, then it tests its Cointegration by Johansen Cointegration test and its causal relationship by Granger-Causality test as well as it makes mechanism of Error Correction Model (ECM). It is found both inflation and economic growth have no Unit-Root. It is found both inflation and economic growth have Correlation. It is found significantly long-run relationship through the probability value of its residual and short-run relationship through the probability value of inflation and economic growth in its differentiation. It is then found significantly one-way Granger-causality GDP causes CPI but not found one-way Granger-causality CPI causes GDP.
INTERNET DAN INFLASI: CROSS-COUNTRY PANEL ANALYSIS ATAS 5 NEGARA DI ASIA Anhar Fauzan Priyono
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 5, No 1 (2016)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v5i1.17481

Abstract

The objective of this research is to understand the effect of internet utilization,proxied by numbers of internet user to inflation rate. Several other factors are alsobeing considered, which are growth of money supply, exchange rate, and world oilprice. There are China, India, Japan, Indonesia, and South Korea, consecutivelyrepresent top five countries with the biggest internet users in Asia to be observed.Pooled Least Square with Panel Corrected Standard Error has been employed interms of analysing inflation's behavior of those countries. The main finding of this research is that inflation and numbers of internet user are negatively correlated, while the causal effect is statistically not significant. This is most probable, since utilization of internet is still dominated by web surfing, social media, and online games. On the other hand, money supply, exchange rate, and world oil price has a positive relationship with inflation. Those findings are true for all the countries being observed.
DAMPAK KEBIJAKAN FISKAL DAN MONETER DALAM PEREKONOMIAN INDONESIA Ada Tua Pardamean
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 2, No 3 (2013)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v2i3.17434

Abstract

The trade-off between achieving price stability and economic growth, especially in the short term is the impact of a decision-making dilemma for the conduct of fiscal policy or monetary policy in the Indonesian economy. The problem is what lies behind this study and aimed to determine the impact of fiscal and monetary policies on the Indonesian economy. The data used are secondary data sourced from Bank Indonesia and BPS variables namely GDP, Government Expenditure, Tax Revenue, Export, Exchange Rate, Money Supply, Interest Rates for time series from 2000 to 2012. Data analysis was performed using Two Stage Least Squares (TSLS) estimation with multiple linear regression models using Eviews 5.0 program assistance. The results of this study it can be concluded that the simultaneous equation model on IS to variable Interest Rate and a significant negative effect on GDP of Indonesia, while the Government Expenditure variable (G0), Export (X0) and Tax Revenue (Tx) and Exchange Rate (ER) effect positively and significantly to Indonesia's GDP, while the equation for the LM model of the Money Supply variables significantly and negatively related to Indonesia's GDP increased at a rate statistically a = 10% and for variable interest rate is not significantly to Indonesia's GDP.
ANALISIS KETIMPANGAN DISTRIBUSI PENDAPATAN RUMAHTANGGA (Studi Kasus: Kecamatan Percut Sei Tuan) Artha Novelia Sipayung
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 4, No 3 (2015)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v4i3.17469

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the income inequality in the four villages, namely: (1) Percut, (2) Saentis, (3) Tembung and (4) Bandar Khalifah in District Percut Sei Tuan Deli Serdang. The data used in this study are primary and secondary data. While methods to collect data using the method of observation while digunanakan data collection techniques are simple random sampling technique. The method of analysis is the analysis of the Gini index, Lorenz curve and the World Bank criteria. The results showed that the analysis of income inequality according to the Gini index in the village Percut 0.39; Saentis 0.29; Tembung 0.24; Bandar Caliph overall 0.32 and 0.42. While the results according to criteria of the World Bank in the village Percut 17.98%; Saentis 24.94%; Tembung 28.98%; Bandar Caliph 23.84% and 21.21% overall. Income inequality in the four villages based on the Gini index Analysis Percut village and Bandar Khalifah included in katerogi being while Saentis village and Tembung included in the overall category is low and the four villages included in the medium category. In addition, based on the analysis of the overall World Bank criteria are included in the low category.
Transmisi Volatilitas antara Nilai Tukar dan Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan di Pasar Finansial Indonesia: Analisa Setelah Krisis Finansial Asia 1997 Anhar Fauzan Priyono
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 6, No 3 (2017)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v6i3.17543

Abstract

Volatility of Indonesia Rupiah and Jakarta Composite Index remain one of main issues in Indonesia economy after 1997 Asian crisis. The objectives of this research are (1) determining the volatility of Indonesia Rupiah to US Dollar exchange rates and Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) and (2) analysing the dynamic volatility transmission between exchange rates and JCI. Exchange rate and JCI volatility were measured using GARCH(1,1) approach. Estimated using VAR model, this study found that current volatility of exchange rate (ER) respond significantly to the change of volatility of Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) in the previous 2 months. On the other hand, contribution of JCI volatility to ER is greater than ER volatility to JCI, supporting the portfolio balanced theory.

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