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JDE (Journal of Developing Economies)

JDE
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Published by Universitas Airlangga

ISSN : 25411012 EISSN : 25282018 DOI : -

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The Journal of Developing Economies (JDE) is a journal published by the Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Airlangga University with the ISSN 2541-1012 (print version) and 2528-2018 (online version). This journal is published every 6 months, June and December, through a review process from both internal (Airlangga University) and external reviewers.

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Articles 99 Documents

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Determinants of Demand For Money and The Velocity of Money in Indonesia Alvin Sugeng Prasetyo
JDE (Journal of Developing Economies) Vol. 3 No. 2 (2018)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

The demand for money is one of many monetary economics topics that is popular in every country. This study aims to test and analyze some influential factors of the demand for money and the velocity of money in Indonesia. The data source of this study takes from the International Financial Statistics. The method used is ARDL with a period of 2000Q1-2017Q4. The result of the analysis shows that all the variables are stationary on the I (0), a Bound test shows there are cointegration and the selected model that is ARDL (4, 2, 0, 0, 0). The study concludes that the economic growth and the growth rate of the rupiah/USD give a significant effect toward the growth of M2 in the long term and short term, and the velocity of money in Indonesia has an increased trend. Keywords: M2, ARDL, economic growth, the growth rate of the rupiah/USD JEL Classification: O49

The Forecasting of Financial Inclusion in East Java Through Islamic Microfinance Institution: an Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Approach Muhammad Anif Afandi; Indanazulfa Qurrota A'yun
JDE (Journal of Developing Economies) Vol. 3 No. 2 (2018)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

Financial inclusion is an effort intended to eliminate price and non-price barriers toward public access to formal financial institutions. The aim of that is income equalization of the societies affecting increasing economic growth, poverty alleviation, and financial system stability. East Java is one of the provinces in Indonesia with the most number of Islamic Rural Banks (BPRS). This study wants to find out how the role of BPRS in realizing the acceleration of Islamic financial inclusion in East Java. Then, this research is conducted in the period January 2014 – May 2018 in which data sourced from the Islamic Banking Statistics (SPS), Financial Services Authority (FSA). An Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) is applied as research method to predict the level of Islamic financial inclusion in East Java through BPRS by using three from four financial inclusion indicators released by Bank Indonesia in 2014 namely access with number of BPRS as its proxy, usage with amount of third party funds and amount of financing as its proxies, and quality with total assets and Non-Performing Financing (NPF) as its proxies. The results show that based on forecasting values until December 2020, the number of BPRS predicted will decrease with the last number as many as 27 banks, DPK will increase with the last number 1,680,558.79 million Rupiah, the amount of financing will increase with the last number as many as 1,822,810.80 million Rupiah, asset will increase with the last number 2,299,250.44 million Rupiah, and NPF will increase with the last number 12.48 percent. Keywords: Financial Inclusion, Islamic Rural Banks, ARIMA, East Java JEL Classification: N25, G21

Identified of Tobacco Industry Development in East Java: Error Correction Model Approach and The Tripled Layer Business Canvas Model Application M Silahul Mu'min; Yoga Pury Anggara; Reza Bagas Maulana
JDE (Journal of Developing Economies) Vol. 3 No. 2 (2018)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

The agricultural sector is one of the main sectors in the Indonesian economy in addition to the industrial sector and the trade sector. In addition to the purpose of meeting the basic needs of the community, the agricultural sector also contributes to the Indonesian economic structure. In 2018, BPS (Central Statistics Agency) noted that the agricultural sector contributes 14% to GDP (Gross Domestic Product). East Java Province has enormous potential for the development of the agricultural sector today. Agriculture is still a leading sector for the economy of East Java in the digital era as it is today. Tobacco is one of the agricultural derivatives commodities that have an important contribution in the economy. Based on data from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) from 2010-2016, there are four regions with large tobacco production in East Java, namely Jember, Probolinggo, Situbondo and Bojonegoro, which account for 2.01% of Java's Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) East in 2016 with a gross added value of Rp. 27,321 billion. Business competition in the current digital economy era requires industry to be able to try to increase production capacity in the face of competition with similar industries. The purpose of this study is to analyze the factors that influence the development of the tobacco industry both in the short and long term and provide recommendations for sustainable and competitive tobacco industry development policies. This study uses the Panel Vector Error Correction Model (PVECM) method and the preparation of industrial development recommendations based on the Triple Layered Business Model Canvas (TLBMC). The results showed that the level of GRDP and land productivity were the main factors influencing the development of the tobaccoindustries and canvas in TLBMC capable of being the basis for supporting the development of the tobacco industry that is more holistic in the orientation of sustainable innovation business by considering three perspectives namely economic, environmental, and social impacts. Key words : Panel Vector Error Correction Model, Tobacco of industriy, Triple Layer Business Model Canvas

The Influence of Remittances on Mutual Transactions in an Isolated Village SOULIXAY HONGSAKHONE
JDE (Journal of Developing Economies) Vol. 4 No. 1 (2019)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

In this paper, we investigate the influence of domestic remittances on mutual transactions through the trade of major products among households in an isolated village in a developing country. We use trade data of individual household obtaining from our own Household Survey 2015 and 2016 conducted in northern Lao PDR. By using propensity score matching method, the paper estimates the average treatment effect on the treated, and it finds that remittances have an increasingly significant impact on mutual transactions mainly through increasing in rice, non-timber forest products, and livestock trading among households with remittances. Moreover, this paper also finds that remittances had a more significant contribution to increased stock of goods rather than consumption in households with remittances. Suggesting that households with remittances, which are both consumers and traders, tend to accumulate their resources for future transactions, this is due to external market distance, food insecurity and network constraints. Keywords: Remittance, Developing Country, External Market Distance,Food Insecurity, Network ConstraintJEL Classification: F17, F24, E23

Economic Analysis of Heritage Tourism at Old Town Area Surabaya Muryani Muryani
JDE (Journal of Developing Economies) Vol. 4 No. 1 (2019)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

This study is an application of cultural heritage valuation using non-market methods. Contingent Valuation Method used to measure the amount of economic value by estimating willingness to pay from Surabaya residents. The economic value of the Old Town Area of Surabaya if there were improvementanddevelopment of heritage tourism is Rp. 1.471.764 billion.This value is greater than before improvement and development that is only Rp. 3.914.892.240. Multinomial logit regression was used to identify factors that affect the interest to visit and willingness to pay for the respondent. Results indicates that age, education, income, and knowledge significantly influence the interest to visit and willingness to pay. Therefore, it is necessary to encourage the development of heritage tourism, having regard to the determination of stakeholder and policy priorities.The method used in the determination of stakeholder and policy priorities is the Analytic Hierarchy Process.Overall, the use of three methods provide complete results so it can be a reference in the field of cultural heritage research and advice in the development of heritage tourism, especially in the old city area of Surabaya. Keywords: Economic Valuation, Multinomial Logistic Regression, Contingent Valuation Method, Analytical Hierarchy Process. JEL Classification: A130, D10

Impact of Government Policies on The Competitiveness of Soybean Farming System in Indonesia: Study in Bangsalsari District, East Java Province tri haryanto
JDE (Journal of Developing Economies) Vol. 4 No. 1 (2019)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

Soybean farming in Indonesia, as well as in other countries in the world, has an important role in providing food for the population, food ingredients for the food and beverage industry, and feed ingredients. Some policies have been implemented by the government to increase the profitability, efficiency and competitiveness of soybean farming. This study used the Policy Analysis Matrix (PAM) method to assess the competitiveness of soybean farming and evaluate the effectiveness of government policies in soybean farming. The results showed that soybean farming had a competitive advantage and comparative advantage. The results of the sensitivity analysis indicate that output price policy is an effective instrument to increase the profitability and competitiveness of soybean farming in Indonesia.Keywords: Government policy, Competitiveness, Sensitivity analysis, PolicyAnalysis MatrixJEL Classification: Q1, Q18

Non-Tariff Measures Impact on Indonesian Fishery Export Rossanto Dwi Handoyo
JDE (Journal of Developing Economies) Vol. 4 No. 1 (2019)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

This study aims to analyze the impact of Non tariff measures using sanitary and phytosanitary policy (SPS) and technical trade barriers (TBTs) on fishery exports of Indonesia and its trading partner countries such as China, South Korea, Vietnam, Canada, Russia and the European Union in period of 2007 to 2016. SPS and TBT are measured using inventory approach in the form of coverage ratio. In addition, this study uses a gravity model and panel data regression method. The results of this study indicate that the variables GDP of exporting country and GDP of importing country have a positive and significant effect on Indonesian fishery exports. Distance and SPS have a negative and significant effect on Indonesian fishery exports, while TBT has no effect on Indonesian fishery exports. Keywords: Export, SPS and TBT, Fishery Export, Coverage Ratio JEL Classification: F10, F130

Impact of Trade Creation and Trade Diversion in Asean-Japan Comprehensive Economic Partnership (AJCEP) Gayatri Talita Aprilia; Rossanto Dwi Handoyo
JDE (Journal of Developing Economies) Vol. 4 No. 2 (2019)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jde.v4i2.12688

This study uses a gravity model to analyze the impact of the ASEAN-JAPAN COMPREHENSIVE ECONOMIC PARTNERSHIP (AJCEP) agreement on total Indonesian exports and to analyze the occurrence of trade creation or trade diversion. The data used in this study is panel data, the time used in this study from 2000 to 2015 consisting of 16 countries. This result finds the coefficient value of the FTA dummy of 0.207. This positive relationship indicates that there is a trade creation in AJCEP member countries and non AJCEP members. So it indicates that the welfare of member states and non AJCEP members. Total GDP, real exchange rate is positively correlated and GDP per capita difference and distance are negatively related to total Indonesian exports. Keywords: ASEAN-Japan Comprehensive Economic Partnership, Gravity Model,Trade Creation and Trade Diversion.JEL Classification: G230, G400, O330

Economic Valuation of Mangrove Forest in The East Coast of The City Of Surabaya, East Java Province, Indonesia Deni Kusumawardani
JDE (Journal of Developing Economies) Vol. 4 No. 1 (2019)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

The city of Surabaya has been voted as one of the pilot areas of mangrove forest conservation in ASEAN. Most of the mangrove forest area in the city of Surabaya spread across the East Coast (Pamurbaya). The purpose of this study is to estimate the total economic value of mangrove forests in the area as a source of information for planning and evaluation of conservation policy. The results of the valuation involving some valuation techiques, both market and non-market approaches, yield total economic value of about Rp 49.6 billion (US$ 3.8 million) per year, or 105.3 million (US$ 8,101.8) per ha per year. Almost all of these values is the use value, particularly direct use valule both extractive (timber and fisheries) and non extractive (outdoor recreation). Indirect use value which consists of abrasion barrier and carbon sinks contributed relatively small compared to the direct use value. Meanwhile, non-use value is the smallest contributors to the total economic value. This fact proves that the mangrove forest in Pamurbaya has economic benefits outweigh the ecological benefits. Keywords: Economic Valuation, Mangrove, Non-Market Approach, The Cityof SurabayaJEL Classification: A130, D78

Analysis of Indonesian Trade: Case Study After The AFTA Agreement Ronald Pratama Poetra
JDE (Journal of Developing Economies) Vol. 4 No. 2 (2019)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jde.v4i2.13045

The ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) began in 1993. The hope of this agreement was that intra-ASEAN trade to grow rapidly turned out to be slow. Based on data from the ASEAN Secretariat in 2016, intra-ASEAN trade experienced a slow journey in the range of 20-24 percent over the past few years. This study empirically analyzed the influence of AFTA on Indonesia's trade structure towards ASEAN using TSI, GL / IIT, and CTB index. In the period of 2012-2017 Indonesia's trade balance against ASEAN suffered a loss. Despite the loss, there was a decrease in trade balance losses from 2015-2017 (after AFTA). To analyze trade there are 10 commodity classifications determined by SITC revision 3. Based on the results of the TSI analysis, there is a specialization of 6 commodities trading which have high export power. The CTB analysis is only commodities of Chemicals and related products, n.e.s, which contribute positively to Indonesian trade. For IIT analysis there are 4 commodities where the average IIT index increases after the AFTA agreement. Keywords: ASEAN, Trade, AFTA, IIT, TSI, CTB JEL Classification: F180, F140, F130

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