JOURNAL OF HEALTH SCIENCE (JURNAL ILMU KESEHATAN)
Vol 4 No 1 (2019): JOURNAL OF HEALTH SCIENCE (JURNAL ILMU KESEHATAN)

Analisa Peramalan Winter’s Exponential Smoothing Brown Dibandingkan Dengan Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Pada Data Jumlah Kejadian Hipertensi

Wisoedhanie Widi .A (Prodi DIII Keperawatan, Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Kesehatan Panti Waluya Malang)
Nanik Dwi A. (Prodi DIII Keperawatan, Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Kesehatan Panti Waluya Malang)



Article Info

Publish Date
29 May 2019

Abstract

In an attempt to see and examine the situation and conditions that occur in the future to do forecasting (forecasting). Hypertension is a major disease in the ten Clinics Together and almost every month new hypertension cases occur, so the incidence of hypertension is becoming the trend and forecasting needs to be done. The purpose of this research is to do forecasting on the data the number of incident hypertension in Clinics With the city of Malang with Exponential Smoothing method using winter's Brown compared to Autoregressive Integrated Moving Arima. This type of research is the study of non reactive (non reactive research) which is a type of secondary data for research.Unit samples in this research are patients who come for the medication and patients in Clinics With hypertension Malang. in 2013 to 2016. Research data using Minitab software. The results of this study showed that both methods of forecasting results shows that tend to decrease in the year 2018 with the lowest incidence in December that as many as 58 incidents on Exponential Smoothing method of winter's and some 80 events on the method of Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average. The existence of a trend of decrease in the incidence of hypertension can be supported by the growing health services at community health centers With has been doing various efforts in preventive action, promotif and collaborative in the handling of problems Hypertension.Through these research results, it is advisable to draw up a health center party planning and control and eradication programs work for transmission of diseases of hypertension (P2P) with reference to the results of the forecasting incidence of hypertension in the year 2018.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JIK

Publisher

Subject

Health Professions Nursing

Description

Journal of health Science (Jurnal Ilmiah Kesehatan) Adalah Jurnal Resmi Yang Diterbitkan Oleh Fakultas Ilmu Kesehatan Universitas Wiraraja Sebagai Media Pengembangan Keilmuan dalam bidang kesehatan, Jurnal ini terbit 2 kali dalam setahun yaitu pada bulan Mei dan Bulan November. Jurnal ini ...