Optimum : Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Vol 1, No 2 (2011)

FAKTOR-FAKTOR PENENTU TINGKAT TABUNGAN DI INDONESIA: PENDEKATAN MODEL LIFE CYCLE HYPOTHESIS

Arintoko Arintoko (Universitas Jenderal Soedirman)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Sep 2011

Abstract

This study estimates a number of variables hypothesized affect saving rate in Indonesia. These variables such as growth of real income per capita, dependency ratio, interest rate, inflation and lag of saving rate are likely to exert influence on saving rate as suggested by theory and/or prior empirical work. This research employs regression model on time-series data. Research model is based on life cycle hypothesis. It is used to show effect of income growth and population structure on saving rate. Three of five variables used in the model significanly affect saving rate i.e.: real GDP per capita, inflation and lag of saving rate. These variables have positif effect on saving rate. Increasing GDP per capita has impact on increasing national saving rate. Increasing inflation indicates increasing uncertainty motivating households to raise their saving. In addition, there is an inertia of saving rate habit implying that national saving rate in Indonesia would be to exhibit cycle. Thus, saving rate would be increase in the future if there is upward  trend in prior timeThis study estimates a number of variables hypothesized affect saving rate in Indonesia. These variables such as growth of real income per capita, dependency ratio, interest rate, inflation and lag of saving rate are likely to exert influence on saving rate as suggested by theory and/or prior empirical work. This research employs regression model on time-series data. Research model is based on life cycle hypothesis. It is used to show effect of income growth and population structure on saving rate. Three of five variables used in the model significanly affect saving rate i.e.:real GDP per capita, inflation and lag of saving rate. These variables have positif effect on saving rate. Increasing GDP per capita has impact on increasing national saving rate. Increasing inflation indicates increasing uncertainty motivating households to raise their saving. In addition, there is an inertia of saving rate habit implying that national saving rate in Indonesia would be to exhibit cycle. Thus, saving rate would be increase in the future if there is upward  trend in prior time

Copyrights © 2011






Journal Info

Abbrev

OPTIMUM

Publisher

Subject

Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

JURNAL OPTIMUM adalah jurnal Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Ahmad Dahlan Yogyakarta yang terbit dua kali dalam satu tahun yaitu setiap Maret dan September. Jurnal OPTIMUM memuat artikel penelitian bidang Ekonomi Pembangunan, Manajemen, dan Akuntansi yang ditulis oleh dosen, alumni, ...