Jurnal Teknologi dan Sistem Komputer
Volume 7, Issue 3, Year 2019 (July 2019)

Prediksi Kejadian Banjir dengan Ensemble Machine Learning Menggunakan BP-NN dan SVM

Ike Fitriyaningsih (Faculty of Informatics and Electrical Engineering, Institut Teknologi Del)
Yuniarta Basani (Faculty of Informatics and Electrical Engineering, Institut Teknologi Del)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Jul 2019

Abstract

This study aims to examine the prediction of rainfall and river water debit using the Back Propagation Neural Network (BP-NN) method. Prediction results are classified using the Support Vector Machine (SVM) method to predict flooding. The parameters used to predict rainfall with BP-NN are minimum, maximum and average temperature, average relative humidity, sunshine duration, and average wind speed. The debit of Ular Pulau Tagor river is predicted by BP-NN. BPNN and SVM modeling using software R. Daily climate data from 2015-2017 were taken from three stations, namely Sampali climatology station, Kualanamu meteorological station, and Tuntung geophysics station. Prediction of river water debit is for 6 days and 30 days in the future. The best dataset is a 6 day prediction with a combination of 60% training and 40% testing. Flood prediction accuracy with SVM was 100% in predicting flood events for the next 6 days.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JTSISKOM

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Electrical & Electronics Engineering

Description

Jurnal Teknologi dan Sistem Komputer (JTSiskom, e-ISSN: 2338-0403) adalah terbitan berkala online nasional yang diterbitkan oleh Departemen Teknik Sistem Komputer, Universitas Diponegoro, Indonesia. JTSiskom menyediakan media untuk mendiseminasikan hasil-hasil penelitian, pengembangan dan ...