Jurnal Gaussian
Vol 8, No 2 (2019): Jurnal Gaussian

PEMODELAN B-SPLINE UNTUK MENGESTIMASI KURVA YIELD OBLIGASI PEMERINTAH KODE FIXED RATE

Nurcahyanti, Tri Meida (Unknown)
Widiharih, Tatik (Unknown)
Warsito, Budi (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 May 2019

Abstract

Bond is a medium-long term loan agreement that can be handed over, it contains a promise from the issuer to pay rewards in the form of interest on a particular period and paying off the principal debt on the time that has been appointed to the bond buyer. A method to find out the relationship between yield and time to maturity for a type of bond at any given time is illustrated through the yield curve. One of the methods for estimating yield curve is B-spline. The data that used to estimate the yield curve with B-spline model are sourced from Indonesia Stock Exchange, namely Government Bond Trading Report with code FR (Fixed Rate). The data periods used are 9, 16, and 23 November 2018. The best model for estimating the yield curve at any period of the data is linear B-spline model with 6 knots but the knot position is different for every data period. Based on the calculation of MAPE, the ability of the model to predict is very good. Investment with maximum profit based on the estimation of yield curve using B-spline linear model with 6 knot is FR0071.Keywords: bond, yield, yield curve, Government Bond, B-spline

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Journal Info

Abbrev

gaussian

Publisher

Subject

Other

Description

Jurnal Gaussian terbit 4 (empat) kali dalam setahun setiap kali periode wisuda. Jurnal ini memuat tulisan ilmiah tentang hasil-hasil penelitian, kajian ilmiah, analisis dan pemecahan permasalahan yang berkaitan dengan Statistika yang berasal dari skripsi mahasiswa S1 Departemen Statistika FSM ...