Journal of Applied Science, Engineering, Technology, and Education
Vol. 3 No. 2 (2021)

Modeling Behavioural Evolution as Social Predictor for the Coronavirus Contagion and Immunization in Nigeria

Ojugo, Arnold Adimabua (Unknown)
Eboka, Andrew Okonji (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
04 Dec 2021

Abstract

Since the outbreak of the novel coronavirus (covid-19) pandemic from China in 2019, it has left the world leaders in great confusing due to its fast-paced propagation and spread that has left infected a world population of over Eleven Million persons with over five hundred and thirty four thousand deaths and counting with the United States of America, Brazil, Russia, India and Peru in the lead on these death toll. The pandemic whose increased mortality rate is targeted at ‘aged’ citizens, patients with low immunology as well as patients with chronic diseases and underlying health conditions. Study models covid-19 pandemic via a susceptible-infect-remove actor-based graph, with covid-19 virus as the innovation diffused within the social graph. We measure the rich connective patterns of the actor-based graph, and explore personal feats as they influence other nodes to adopt or reject an innovation. Results shows current triggers (lifting of inter-intra state migration bans) and shocks (exposure to covid-19 by migrants) will lead to late widespread majority adoption of 23.8-percent. At this, the death toll will climb from between 4.43-to-5.61-percent to over 12%.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

asci

Publisher

Subject

Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Electrical & Electronics Engineering Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Other

Description

Journal of Applied Science, Engineering, Technology, and Education (ASCI) is an international wide scope, peer-reviewed open access journal for the publication of original papers concerned with diverse aspects of science application, technology and ...