IJCCS (Indonesian Journal of Computing and Cybernetics Systems)
Vol 13, No 3 (2019): July

Extended Kalman Filter In Recurrent Neural Network: USDIDR Forecasting Case Study

Muhammad Asaduddin Hazazi (Master Program of Computer Science and Electronics, FMIPA UGM, Yogyakarta)
Agus Sihabuddin (Department of Computer Science and Electronics, Universitas Gadjah Mada)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Jul 2019

Abstract

Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) especially Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) have been widely used to predict currency exchange rates. The learning algorithm that is commonly used in ANN is Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD). One of the advantages of SGD is that the computational time needed is relatively short. But SGD also has weaknesses, including SGD requiring several hyperparameters such as the regularization parameter. Besides that SGD relatively requires a lot of epoch to reach convergence. Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) as a learning algorithm on RNN is used to replace SGD with the hope of a better level of accuracy and convergence rate. This study uses IDR / USD exchange rate data from 31 August 2015 to 29 August 2018 with 70% data as training data and 30% data as test data. This research shows that RNN-EKF produces better convergent speeds and better accuracy compared to RNN-SGD.

Copyrights © 2019






Journal Info

Abbrev

ijccs

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering

Description

Indonesian Journal of Computing and Cybernetics Systems (IJCCS), a two times annually provides a forum for the full range of scholarly study . IJCCS focuses on advanced computational intelligence, including the synergetic integration of neural networks, fuzzy logic and eveolutionary computation, so ...