JURNAL REKAYASA SISTEM INDUSTRI
Vol 6 No 2 (2021): (Mei 2021)

IMPLEMENTASI PERAMALAN PENJUALAN IKAN LAUT UNTUK OPTIMASI PERSEDIAAN BAHAN BAKU (Studi Kasus di UD Harum Bungah Gresik)

Khanifatus Sa'diyah (Universitas Qomaruddin)
Narto Narto (Universitas Qomaruddin)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 May 2021

Abstract

Indonesian marine waters have high marine resource resources. One of Indonesia's seafood commodities is fish. With proper management and utilization, marine products become one of the promising business opportunities for the community, so that fisheries become one of the supporting sectors of national economic development. UD Harum is one of the businesses engaged in the fisheries sector as a supplier of marine fish raw material needs to meet the needs of the manufacturing industry. To optimize production planning to meet industry demand, forecasting of sea fish sales data forecasting in the previous period is needed to anticipate a shortage of raw materials. The purpose of this forecasting is to implement forecasting using the Single Moving Average (SMA), Weighted Moving Average (WMA) and Centered Moving Average (CMA) methods in forecasting sea fish sales at UD Harum and to find out the best forecasting results to increase sea fish sales at UD Harum. Forecasting results show forecasting using the Single Moving Average (3-monthly) and (5-monthly) methods respectively 8107.67 kg and 8399.4 kg. For the Weighted Moving Average (3-monthly) and (5-monthly) methods, the results of forecasting are 7268,963 kg and 7443,452, respectively. As for the Centered Moving Average (3-monthly) method with forecast results of 8107.67 kg. The forecasting method chosen to optimize sales is the Centered Moving Average method with a forecast value of 8107.67 kg and has the smallest forecasting error compared to other forecasting methods with a MAPE value of 0.30875 and MPE of -0.1720.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

rsi

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Economics, Econometrics & Finance Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Materials Science & Nanotechnology

Description

Jurnal Rekayasa Sistem Industri (JRSI) terbit sebanyak dua kali dalam satu tahun (Mei dan November). Terhitung Mulai edisi Mei 2018 publikasi jurnal ini telah dilakukan versi online (ISSN 2621-1262) yang sebelumnya hanya berupa versi cetak (print) (ISSN 2477-2089). Publikasi ini bertujuan untuk ...