Eksakta : Berkala Ilmiah Bidang MIPA
Vol. 21 No. 2 (2020): Eksakta : Berkala Ilmiah Bidang MIPA (E-ISSN : 2549-7464)

Development of COVID-19 Case in District and City of Jambi Province with Exponential Smoothing Methode

Sherli Yurinanda (Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science and Technology, Universitas Jambi, Jambi, Indonesia)
Cut Multahadah (Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science and Technology, Universitas Jambi, Jambi, Indonesia)
Reni Aryani (Information Systems Study Program, Faculty of Science and Technology, Universitas Jambi, Jambi, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Sep 2020

Abstract

Jambi Province is one of the province in western Indonesia, which was affected by COVID-19 in March and until mid-September the number confirmed positive reached 345 people. Until now COVID-19 has become a pandemic.Based on this data, it is necessary to predict the number of COVID-19 in Jambi Province, including every district in Jambi city. Double exponential smoothing: The Holt two-parameter method determines the value of the trend with a tang parameter different from the parameter used in the original series. The principle of forecasting using multiple exponential smoothing: The Holt two-parameter method uses two smoothing constants with values between 0 and 1. Based on the results of forecasting using the double exponential smoothing by Holt method, it can be seen that the number of confirmed cases of Covid-19 in each region in Jambi Province continues to increase. This case is estimated to increase to 352 people in mid-October.

Copyrights © 2020






Journal Info

Abbrev

eksakta

Publisher

Subject

Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Astronomy Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Chemistry Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Energy Engineering Environmental Science Materials Science & Nanotechnology Mathematics Mechanical Engineering

Description

Eksakta : Berkala Ilmiah Bidang MIPA (E-ISSN : 2549-7464) is an open access journal and peer-reviewed that publishes either original article or reviews. The journal is dedicated towards dissemination of knowledge related to the advancement in scientific research. The prestigious interdisciplinary ...