BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan
Vol 15 No 1 (2021): BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan

PEMODELAN DINAMIKA VIRUS RUBELLA DENGAN RISIKO SINDROM RUBELLA BAWAAN

Abadi Abadi (Jurusan Matematika, FMIPA, Universitas Negeri Surabaya)
Rudianto Artiono (Jurusan Matematika, FMIPA, Universitas Negeri Surabaya)
Budi Priyo Prawoto (Jurusan Matematika, FMIPA, Universitas Negeri Surabaya)

Article Info

Publish Date
01 Mar 2021

Abstract

Rubella is a common cause of childhood rash and fever. It is typically a mild infection but it can be serious condition in pregnant women, as it may cause Congenital Rubella Syndrome (CRS) in the fetus. The study aimed to model and analyze it in order to get picture about the dynamics of the rubella virus transmission. The paper discussed two models of rubella transmission involving child-bearing age women and newly born infants of infected mothers. The models are SEIR-IR without seasonality and SEIR-IR with seasonality. The results from the first model showed that a pitchfork bifurcation occurred in the dynamics of the solution of the system with constant infection rate and the increase of the infection rate value do not make impact to the incidence of rubella among infants. The second model involving seasonality gave interesting dynamics where big seasonality may lead to a more complex dynamics of the solution.

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Journal Info
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan
Website

Abbrev

barekeng

Publisher

Universitas Pattimura

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Economics, Econometrics & Finance Energy Engineering Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Physics Transportation

Description

BAREKENG: Jurnal ilmu Matematika dan Terapan is one of the scientific publication media, which publish the article related to the result of research or study in the field of Pure Mathematics and Applied Mathematics. Focus and scope of BAREKENG: Jurnal ilmu Matematika dan Terapan, as follows: - Pure ...