Jurnal Gaussian
Vol 10, No 2 (2021): Jurnal Gaussian

PERAMALAN INDEKS HARGA SAHAM MENGGUNAKAN ENSEMBLE EMPIRICAL MODE DECOMPOSITION (EEMD)

Rosinar Siregar (Departemen Statistika, Fakultas Sains dan Matematika, Universitas Diponegoro)
Rukun Santoso (Departemen Statistika, Fakultas Sains dan Matematika, Universitas Diponegoro)
Puspita Kartikasari (Departemen Statistika, Fakultas Sains dan Matematika, Universitas Diponegoro)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 May 2021

Abstract

 Stock price fluctuations make investors tend to hesitate to invest in stock markets because of an uncertain situation in the future. One method that can solve these problems is to use forecasting about the stock prices in the future. Generally, the huge size of data non linear and non stationary, and it is difficult to be interpreted in concrete. This problem can be solved by performing the decomposition process. One of decomposition method in time series data is Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD). EEMD is process decomposition data into several Intrinsic Mode Function (IMF) and the IMF residue. In this research, this concept applied to data Stock Price Index in Property, Real Estate, and Construction from July 1, 2019 to July 30, 2020 as many as 272 data. Based on the results of data processing, as many as 6 IMF and IMF remaining were used as IMF forecasting and the IMF remaining in the future. The forecast was performed by choosing the best model of each IMF component and IMF remaining, used ARIMA and polynomial trend. Keywords: Time Series Data, Stock Price Index, EEMD, ARIMA, Polynomial Trend.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

gaussian

Publisher

Subject

Other

Description

Jurnal Gaussian terbit 4 (empat) kali dalam setahun setiap kali periode wisuda. Jurnal ini memuat tulisan ilmiah tentang hasil-hasil penelitian, kajian ilmiah, analisis dan pemecahan permasalahan yang berkaitan dengan Statistika yang berasal dari skripsi mahasiswa S1 Departemen Statistika FSM ...