Journal of Mathematics and Scientific Computing With Applications
Vol. 2 No. 1 (2021)

MONTE CARLO SIMULATION IN PREDICTING THE SPREAD OF COVID-19 IN MEDAN CITY

Dara Nurul Hasnah (Department of Mathematics, UIN Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau)
Dina Andriani (Unknown)
Ely Sahpitri (Department of Mathematics, UIN Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau)
Zihan Rossus Aini Harahap (Department of Mathematics, UIN Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau)



Article Info

Publish Date
04 Jan 2021

Abstract

Covid-19 or Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is a new type of virus that has given up on the human respiratory system and is currently spreading throughout the world. So, this research will discuss the prediction of the spread of Covid-19 in Medan City. The method used is the Monte Carlo simulation. This method is used to determine the number of patients both ODP patients (people under observation), positive, recovered and died. The Monte Carlo simulation is carried out with the help of Microsoft Excel and the simulation is carried out with 1 to 1,000,000 repetitions. From the simulation results, the smallest error data is 0% and the largest error data is 6%.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jmscowa

Publisher

Subject

Mathematics

Description

Journal of Mathematics and Scientific Computing With Applications is a broad-based journal covering all branches of computational or applied mathematics with special encouragement to researchers in theoretical computer science and mathematical computing. It covers all major areas, such as numerical ...