Journal of the Indonesian Mathematical Society
Volume 16 Number 1 (April 2010)

A TRAVELING PULSE BEHAVIOR OF THE SPREAD OF THE AVIAN FLU VIRUSES AMONG FLOCK AND HUMAN

Pudjaprasetya, S.R. (Unknown)
Gunawan, A.Y. (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
05 Aug 2010

Abstract

We propose two disease transmission models: the SI model with di®u-sive terms as a model for transmission of avian in°uenza viruses among °ock withconstant population density, and the host-vector SI model with di®usive terms fortransmission among °ock and human. There is a threshold number that determinewhether the diseases become epidemic or not. It depends on three parameters: theaverage length of the infective period, the contact parameter, and the density ofsusceptible population at the initial time. With di®usive terms in the model, thespatial spread of the infection is obvious. Threshold number greater than one isalso the necessary condition for the spreading of infection in the form of a travelingpulse. Its minimum velocity can be determined. We implement the MacCormackmethod, and simulate the generation of a traveling pulse starting from one infectedbird. Numerically, we obtain the percentage of survival in °ock and human afterthe epidemic. We also simulate the minimal portion of immunization in order toprevent further spread.DOI : http://dx.doi.org/10.22342/jims.16.1.30.39-49

Copyrights © 2010






Journal Info

Abbrev

JIMS

Publisher

Subject

Mathematics

Description

Journal of the Indonesian Mathematical Society disseminates new research results in all areas of mathematics and their applications. Besides research articles, the journal also receives survey papers that stimulate research in mathematics and their ...