Building of Informatics, Technology and Science
Vol 3 No 4 (2022): Maret 2022

Penerapan Metode Trend Moment Untuk Memprediksi Jumlah Pertumbuhan Penduduk

Laily Rizky Amalia (STMIK Royal Kisaran, Kisaran)
William Ramdhan (STMIK Royal Kisaran, Kisaran)
Wan Mariatul Kifti (STMIK Royal Kisaran, Kisaran)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Mar 2022

Abstract

Population growth is caused by three components, namely birth (fertility), death (mortality), and migration. These three components greatly affect the process of population growth that occurs. The development of population growth in one sub-district is very important to be detailed so that the development of the subdistrict can be improved. Forecasting is an important tool in effective and efficient planning. An important step after forecasting is done is verification of forecasting in such a way that it reflects past data and the underlying causal systems of such growth. As long as the forecasting representation is reliable, forecasting results can continue to be used. The purpose of this study is to apply the Trend Moment method to predict the population growth in Joman Water District in the next few years based on three components, namely birth (fertility), death (mortality), and migration. The results of this study can predict the number of population growth using the Trend Moment Method in 2022 with birth rates of 1573, 641 arrivals, 601 arrivals, and 235 displacements with errors below 10%

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Journal Info

Abbrev

bits

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

Building of Informatics, Technology and Science (BITS) is an open access media in publishing scientific articles that contain the results of research in information technology and computers. Paper that enters this journal will be checked for plagiarism and peer-rewiew first to maintain its quality. ...