IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI)
Vol 11, No 3: September 2022

Indonesian load prediction estimation using long short term memory

Erliza Yuniarti (Universitas Sriwijaya)
Siti Nurmaini (Universitas Sriwijaya)
Bhakti Yudho Suprapto (Universitas Sriwijaya)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Sep 2022

Abstract

Prediction of electrical load is important because it relates to the source of power generation, cost-effective generation, system security, and policy on continuity of service to consumers. This paper uses Indonesian primary data compiled based on data log sheet per hour of transmission operators. In preprocessing data, detrending technique is used to eliminate outlier data in the time series dataset. The prediction used in this research is a long-short-term memory algorithm with stacking and time-step techniques. In order to get the optimal one-day forecasting results, the inputs are arranged in the previous three periods with 1, 2, 3 layers, 512 and 1024 nodes. Forecasting results obtained long short-term memory (LSTM) with three layers and 1024 nodes got mean average percentage error (MAPE) of 8.63 better than other models.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

IJAI

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Engineering

Description

IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) publishes articles in the field of artificial intelligence (AI). The scope covers all artificial intelligence area and its application in the following topics: neural networks; fuzzy logic; simulated biological evolution algorithms (like ...