Jurnal Pengembangan Teknologi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer
Vol 6 No 3 (2022): Mei 2022

Peramalan Jumlah Produksi Padi menggunakan Metode Backpropagation

Dwi Yana Wijaya (Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Brawijaya)
Muhammad Tanzil Furqon (Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Brawijaya)
Marji Marji (Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Brawijaya)



Article Info

Publish Date
03 Feb 2022

Abstract

Paddy a crop that produces rice is a is the most important product for the people of Indonesia. Rice at an affordable price for the community is one of the important factors to maintain national resilience and government stability. In this case, forecasting rice production can be used as a consideration for the government to take a policy because forecasting rice production can provide an overview of information in the form of the number of products produced in the future. This study uses the Backpropagation method to forecast the amount of rice production and to evaluate the error value using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). Forecasting paddy production is carried out in several provinces such as DKI Jakarta, West Java, North Sumatra, Riau, and Banten. This study resulted in the smallest MAPE value with a value of 7.39%. This value is generated from data from the province of West Java with 10 neurons as input neurons, 3 hidden neurons, with initial weight and bias range value from -0.8 to 0.8, a learning rate value of 0.6, and an epoch of 50 times.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

j-ptiik

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering

Description

Jurnal Pengembangan Teknlogi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer (J-PTIIK) Universitas Brawijaya merupakan jurnal keilmuan dibidang komputer yang memuat tulisan ilmiah hasil dari penelitian mahasiswa-mahasiswa Fakultas Ilmu Komputer Universitas Brawijaya. Jurnal ini diharapkan dapat mengembangkan penelitian ...