Jambura Journal of Biomathematics (JJBM)
Volume 4, Issue 1: June 2023

Mathematical Model and Simulation of the Spread of COVID-19 with Vaccination, Implementation of Health Protocols, and Treatment

Muhammad Manaqib (UIN Syarif Hidayatullah)
Mahmudi Mahmudi (UIN Syarif Hidayatullah)
Galuh Prayoga (UIN Syarif Hidayatullah)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Jun 2023

Abstract

This research develops the SVEIHQR model to simulate the spread of COVID-19 with vaccination, implementation of health protocols, and treatment. The population is divided into twelve subpopulations, resulting in a mathematical model of COVID-19 in the form of a system of twelve differential equations with twelve variables. From the model, we obtain the disease-free equilibrium point, the endemic equilibrium point, and the basic reproduction number (R0). The disease-free equilibrium point is locally asymptotically stable when R0 1 and ∆5 0, where ∆5 is the fifth-order Routh-Hurwitz matrix of the characteristic polynomial of the Jacobian matrix. Additionally, an endemic equilibrium point exists when R0 1. The results of numerical simulations are consistent with the conducted analysis, and the sensitivity analysis reveals that the significant parameters influencing the spread of COVID-19 are the proportion of symptomatic infected individuals and the contact rate with asymptomatic infected individuals.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JJBM

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Mathematics

Description

Jambura Journal of Biomathematics (JJBM) aims to become the leading journal in Southeast Asia in presenting original research articles and review papers about a mathematical approach to explain biological phenomena. JJBM will accept high-quality article utilizing mathematical analysis to gain ...