JTSL (Jurnal Tanah dan Sumberdaya Lahan)
Vol. 10 No. 2 (2023)

PREDIKSI KONVERSI LAHAN PERTANIAN BERBASIS ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK-CELLULAR AUTOMATA (ANN-CA) DI KAWASAN SLEMAN BARAT

Tiara Sarastika (Program Studi Ilmu Tanah, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Pembangunan Nasional “Veteran” Yogyakarta)
Yusuf Susena (Departemen Sains Informasi Geografis, Fakultas Geografi, Universitas Gadjah Mada)
Dwi Kurniawan (PT. Aren Internasional)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Jul 2023

Abstract

Analysis and prediction of land conversion using spatial-temporal data are essential for environmental monitoring and better land use planning and management. The West Sleman area has the potential to experience land use changes due to anthropogenic factors. This study aimed to determine the spatial-temporal dynamics of land use change in 2012-2022 and predict future land use change using the ANN-CA model for 20 years (2022-2042). Analyzed the spatial-temporal dynamics of land use change based on land use data derived from SPOT imagery, then predicted future land use change with the ANN-CA model using the MOLUSCE plugin on QGIS Desktop 2.18.11. The simulation results showed an accuracy of 86.66% and an overall Kappa value of 83% obtained by comparing the actual data in 2022 with the simulated data on land use change in the same year. The irrigated paddy fields decreased by 6.39% (685.22 ha) due to conversion to settlements. The area of residential buildings increased by 4.65% (498.49 ha) during 2012- 2017. Predictions of land use change in 2022-2042 show that the reduction of irrigated paddy fields will continue, and the number of residential buildings tend to increase.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jtsl

Publisher

Subject

Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Environmental Science

Description

Jurnal Tanah dan Sumberdaya Lahan (JTSL) dikelola oleh Jurusan Tanah, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Brawijaya, Malang. Artikel dari hasil penelitian orisinil, dan review tentang aspek manajemen sumberdaya tanah dan lahan yang mencakup, kesuburan tanah, kimia tanah, biologi tanah, fisika tanah, ...