EKONOMIS : Journal of Economics and Business
Vol 7, No 2 (2023): September

Volatility Composite Index and Exchange Rates in Indonesia: EGARCH/TARCH Model for VAR Estimation

Lia Amaliawiati (Universitas Widyatama)
Gusni Gusni (Universitas Widyatama)
Eristy Minda Utami (Universitas Widyatama)
Farida Nursjanti (Universitas Widyatama)
Siti Komariah (Universitas Widyatama)



Article Info

Publish Date
11 Sep 2023

Abstract

Composite index and exchange rate are important indicators that represent a country's economic performance, where there is a relationship between the two. In this study, the ideal model to capture the volatility of the composite index and exchange rate will be determined. to investigate the dynamic dependency relationship between the composite index and the exchange rate, first use a Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model. The best model in describing the volatility of the composite index is the EGARCH model while the exchange rate is using the TARCH model. According to research, there is an asymmetry relationship between the volatility of stock returns and the exchange rate, which means that the market will react to bad news more quickly than good news. According to the VAR model, the present volatility is influenced by the volatility of the prior period and there is a one-way causal relationship between the composite index and the exchange rate.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ojsekonomis

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Ekonomis: Journal of Economics and Business diterbitkan oleh Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian pada Masyarakat Universitas Batanghari Jambi, Jurnal ini mencakup bidang ilmu Ekonomi Manajemen, Ekonomi Pembangunan, Akuntansi dan Bisnis. Ekonomis: Journal of Economics and Business Jurnal ini ...