Inferensi
Vol 6, No 2 (2023)

Modeling the Number of Pneumonia in Toddlers in East Java Province in 2021 with Generalized Poisson Regression

Fittrofin Amalia Farisa (Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember)
Syarifah Nisrina Hasna Salby (Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember)
Annisa Auliya Rahman (Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember)
Purhadi Purhadi (Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember)



Article Info

Publish Date
29 Sep 2023

Abstract

Pneumonia is one of the highest causes of toddler’s mortality, including Indonesia. In East Java 2021, the discovery of pneumonia is 50%. It is relatively high, especially among children under five. This study aimed to obtain the factors that influence the number of pneumonias in toddlers in East Java by using Generalized Poisson Regression (GPR) model with and without exposure variable. GPR is used when the assumption of Poisson regression is not met due to the overdispersion. Data was obtained from the East Java province health office containing the number of Pneumonia patients in East Java by districts/cities and the factors that allegedly affect them. Based on the analysis, GPR with exposure variable is better than GPR without exposure variable. The possible GPR models with exposure that has the smallest AICc is model that included the percentage of low-birth-weight babies, percentage of coughing/difficulty breathing toddlers given standard management, and percentage of toddlers getting vitamin A. All independent variables included in the model has significance effect to the number of pneumonias in toddlers.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

inferensi

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Engineering Mathematics Social Sciences

Description

The aim of Inferensi is to publish original articles concerning statistical theories and novel applications in diverse research fields related to statistics and data science. The objective of papers should be to contribute to the understanding of the statistical methodology and/or to develop and ...