Jurnal Agrimanex: Agribusiness, Rural Management, and Development Extension
Vol. 4 No. 1 (2023): September

Analisis Peramalan Penjualan dan Keuntungan Usaha Peternakan Kambing dan Domba di CV Amanah Saebur Kecamatan Tambun Selatan, Kabupaten Bekasi

Rona Yulita (Universitas Singaperbangsa Karawang)
Slamet Abadi (Universitas Singaperbangsa Karawang)
Yeni Sari Wulandari (Universitas Singaperbangsa Karawang)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Sep 2023

Abstract

Types of animals sold in CV. Amanah Saebur is goat and sheep whose sales fluctuate due to erratic demand from consumers which causes companies to be in a condition of excess or shortage of livestock so that they lose the opportunity to get maximum profit. The purpose of this study is to find the best forecasting technique for goat and sheep sales, make sales forecasting rates and calculate the profit from sales forecasting during June to November 2023 for goats and sheep in CV. Amanah Saebur. The method used is descriptive analysis with a quantitative approach using Single Exponential Smoothing, Double Exponential Smoothing, Multiplicative Decomposition and ARIMA forecasting techniques. The results of the study showed that the Multiplicative Decomposition technique is the best forecasting technique with the smallest Mean Squared Deviation (MSD) value of 20.1104. The results of the forecasting rate of goat and sheep sales were 571 heads with an average of 95 heads per month. Total profit from sales for 6 months amounted to Rp516,378,504.00 with an average profit per month of Rp86,063,084.00. The results of sales and profit forecasting can be an illustration for the company in determining the right decisions in the future and can be used as a reference in conducting production planning.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

agrimanex

Publisher

Subject

Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Economics, Econometrics & Finance Environmental Science Social Sciences

Description

Jurnal Agrimanex: Agribusiness, Rural Management, and Development Extension is a media for communicating all research activities in Agribusiness and disseminating result of research in agribusiness, rural management, and development ...