Tadulako Science and Technology Journal
Vol. 3 No. 2 (2023): Tadulako Science and Technology Journal

Sales Prediction of Palu Arshop Clothing Using the High Order Chen Fuzzy Time Series Method

Marni Sagap (untad)
Nur'eni (Unknown)
Iman Setiawan (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
23 Jul 2024

Abstract

Introduction: Arshop is one of the clothing stores in Palu City that is in great demand by the community. As one of the many clothing stores in Palu City Arshop to find a strategy to increase sales. One way that can be used is to make predictions to determine strategies to increase sales. Method: Higher-order Chen fuzzy time series method to predict the time series data of Arshop Palu clothing sales. Chen's high-order fuzzy time series is a time series analysis that can capture varied data patterns, one of which is seasonal patterns, and is formed based on two or more data in the past. Results and Discussion: The results of this study indicate that the high-order Chen fuzzy time series method has an accuracy rate of MAPE 15.59%, which is categorized as good the prediction results of the comparison between various orders show that the fourth-order Chen fuzzy time series is the best for predicting clothing sales of Arshop Palu. Conclusion: The prediction of clothing sales at Arshop Palu using the higher-order Chen fuzzy time series method resulted in a MAPE of 15.59%, which shows good accuracy because it is less than 20%. Based on the comparison of the accuracy values of the four orders, the fourth-order FTS proved to be the most effective for predicting the clothing sales of Arshop Palu.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

sciencetech

Publisher

Subject

Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media

Description

Tadulako Sciencetech Journal is an open-access global publication for scientific articles which is intended as a vehicle for the dissemination of new finding research results on science and technology. Manuscripts that are published in Tadulako Sciencetech Journal develop underlying science ...