Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan
Vol 9 No 3 (2007)

KARAKTERISTIK TEKANAN INFLASI DI INDONESIA: PENGARUH DINAMIS SISI PERMINTAAN-PENAWARAN DAN PROSPEK KE DEPAN

Solikin M. Juhro (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
03 Aug 2007

Abstract

This preliminary study is aimed to look into characteristics of inflation and sources of shocks triggering inflation pressures in Indonesia. A focus will be directed to find a better measurement about the role of supply and demand shocks. Based on parsimonious model estimation, it can be concluded that the contribution of supply shocks predominant demand shocks ‘proportionally’, implying that a prudent monetary policy is still feasible and can be implemented effectively along with the structural efforts to combat inflation in Indonesia. A further preliminary exercise shows that the prospect of inflation pressures in two year ahead will be statistically the same with the 2006 inflation pressures. However, cautious policy response should be taken in the second year as inflation pressures from supply side will be potentially greater.Keywords: Characteristics of inflation, supply shock, demand shock, inflation, Indonesia.JEL Classification:  JEL Classification: E31, P24

Copyrights © 2007






Journal Info

Abbrev

BEMP

Publisher

Subject

Description

The Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan/Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking (BMEB) is an international peer-reviewed journal. This is a quarterly journal, published in January, April, July and August. The BMEB focuses on a broad range of topics covering monetary economics, banking, ...