Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan
Vol 17 No 4 (2015)

The Impact of Macroeconomic Condition on The Banks Performance in Indonesia

Aviliani Aviliani (STIE Perbanas)
Hermanto Siregar (IPB University)
Tubagus Nur Ahmad Maulana (IPB University)
Heni Hasanah (IPB University)



Article Info

Publish Date
07 Oct 2015

Abstract

This paper analyzes the impact of macroeconomic indicator (including the production index, inflation, Bank Indonesia rate, Jakarta stock index, exchange rate and the crude oil price) on the state owned banks’ performance. We apply the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) on the banking data ranging from 2006-2013, and provide us several findings. First, the impulse response function shows the largest response of the bank overhead cost (BOPO) due to the macroeconomic shock; we argue the volatility of this bank efficiency indicator, reflects the inefficiency of the banks in Indonesian. Second, the amount of loan and the lending to deposit ratio (LDR) provide the weakest response due to the macroeconomic shock. This is in line with the result of variance decomposition, where the macroeconomic variable explains the least of the NPL variation. Third, from all macroeconomic variables we observe, the shock of Bank Indonesia’s rate generally provides the largest response of most of the bank performance indicators; which supports the use of the Bank Indonesia’s rate as effective monetary instrument.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

BEMP

Publisher

Subject

Description

The Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan/Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking (BMEB) is an international peer-reviewed journal. This is a quarterly journal, published in January, April, July and August. The BMEB focuses on a broad range of topics covering monetary economics, banking, ...